- Our first half 2016 forecast dates will be available
Dec 20th
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
M E R R Y C H R I S T M A S to all.
SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are
entering the 17th week of Primary
cycle 1
cycle that started
on Aug 24th. This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15
to 21 weeks. This is the chart we have been following for many months. See the
red line and dates on the chart. It is anticipated we will have a Primary cycle
low between Dec 7, 2015 and Jan 15,
2016.
Since we are in the 17th week, with a dramatic move down on
Dec 17th and 18th, it appears we had the Primary
cycle crest on Nov 3rd (i.e. crest
for this Primary cycle).
Note in the bottom right corner of
the following chart is the forecasted time frame for the Primary cycle low. We
should expect a Primary cycle low within a few weeks. If we reverse up from
here then the low of Dec 14 would be the Primary cycle low. I'm looking for
further lows although we may get a bounce first.
When we hit the trough for the
Primary cycle I expect a left translated
cycle and moves further down in the New Year.
We have mentioned a number of
longer term cycles in previous blog posts and below.
From last weeks blog:
"Dec 14th has the Sun
squaring Jupiter which often has a powerful effect on US indices, both up and
down. Since we are in the 16th week of the Primary cycle watch for a potential
Primary cycle trough.
Before last week I was looking for Dec 14 to be a high
and then down but with last weeks move down we may see the Primary cycle trough
near the Dec 14th date. It has a history of 1/2 Primary or Primary cycle turns."
So the
SP500 did go down into December 14th. At this point this could be the trough of
the Primary cycle although I suspect we'll go down further next week but may
have a bounce first. I'm looking at the 1990 area. The most significant
Astrological event is Uranus turning direct on Christmas day. This is also a
Full Moon. The Uranus direct event could come into effect a week before or
after the exact day. Think sudden unusual unplanned events.
We still have Uranus and Pluto in
a long term aspect so an explosive event
may be imminent. I would also expect the markets to be volatile over the
next few weeks as well.
The following clears up some
outstanding ALERTS sent to subscribers.
Alerts sent Dec 6,
2015
Gold
This Gold trade is still active and I'm long but a daily
close below the Dec 3rd low and I'll close the trade. If Gold continues in
sideways consolidation past this week I'll also close the trade. I had expected
a Primary cycle low in this time frame and a move up.
SP500
I was looking for a high in the SP500 which did not go above
the Nov 3rd high. We got that high on Dec 16th so I'm trading with a bearish
outlook.
Alert sent Dec 17,
2015
SP500
This was a one day trade for Dec 18th where I was looking
for a sharp drop. The indices did go down and I closed the trade on Dec 18th,
afternoon.
Attacks
from religious terrorists and general strife and discord should continue into December 2015 and again in mid-April 2016 when Mars turns stationary
in religious Sagittarius (a mutable sign) and makes difficult aspects, conjunct
Saturn and square Neptune . This is not a
direct forecast, but points to a period of time where these events are more
probable to occur.
Other
than Uranus turning direct on Dec 25 there are no major transits over the next
week. This signature is active for about a week before and a week after the
exact date. Remember Uranus is still in square to Pluto and getting closer.
Other long term transits mention last week are still in orb. They are Saturn
square Neptune and Jupiter square Saturn. All things considered I'll be trading
with a bearish outlook. The next two weeks are typically a quieter time in the
markets but with Uranus involved we could get dramatic moves. We also have some
of the longer term cycles coming due
like the Kitchin cycle we have included for a few months (see below).
There are many other Astrological
aspects and events in 2016 but these are the longer term aspects affecting the
first half of 2016 as seen on the following chart which has been in previous
posts for many weeks.
Simply
the placement of planets in signs during the course of a year can have a
dramatic effect.
For
example, many of the U.S.
largest stocks markets losses have occurred while
Saturn
is in mutable signs. The mutable signs are Gemini, Virgo, Sagittarius and
Pisces. Saturn will be in Sagittarius until Dec 20, 2017.
And Neptune
continues to transit through Pisces (a mutable sign), the sign it rules. Neptune rules crude and water amongst other things.
The
week of Dec 21 could be another hot
spot with hard transits to the ISIS formation
chart. This will also be a test if
the date and time for the ISIS formation chart
are correct.
Saturn is in Sagittarius which
rules the law, religion, philosophy and science. With the square to Neptune is a good signal for a religious message that
gets perverted.
Other longer term cycles that may
be close to seeing their lows in the next couple of months are the 6.5 - 7 year
cycle and the Kitchin cycle (40 months). I'm looking at the period from mid-December through Jan 2016 as a
potential time period for these cycles. They are long term cycles and need a
broad orb.
The Kitchin cycle on the SP500
chart. This is a monthly chart. cycles may appear closer than when they
actually due.
Other long term cycle due,
including the 6.5 - 7 year.
Longer term cycles on a monthly
chart of the DJIA. These need a wide orb.
The following weekly chart shows
the 21 and 34 weekly moving averages and the fact price broke through both
averages but moved down through the averages this past week. Also the 21 and 34
week moving averages are still pointing down or flat. This was looking like a 4-Year low but now
we've broken down through the averages, it may be a retest of the lows or moving to a
deeper low. There are a number of powerful
heliocentric aspects on Jan 29, 2016 +- a couple of weeks. One of these is the
heliocentric Saturn / Neptune square.
The question is, do we have a significant low in front of us.
At this point I think yes and it could be the December '15 - January '16 time
frame.
The 1st half 2016 forecast dates will be available tomorrow or Monday latest.
The following chart shows the 2nd half 2015 forecast dates. These dates were forecast in May 2015 with no changes. Not bad. The red arrows point to the date. The direction of the arrows has no meaning, they are just pointing to the date.
The following chart shows the 2nd half 2015 forecast dates. These dates were forecast in May 2015 with no changes. Not bad. The red arrows point to the date. The direction of the arrows has no meaning, they are just pointing to the date.
Gold
Gold put in a Primary cycle 1
trough on July 24th.
We are in the timeframe for a primary cycle low (nominal 18
week cycle) although Gold is currently in a sideways consolidation. This makes
it difficult to pick the Primary trough. We are either in week 1 or week 3 of a
new Primary or in week 22 of an older Primary.
As mentioned above, if I do not see at least a move out of
the consolidation area the outstanding long trade will be cancelled.
I had bought Dec 2nd spike low. Even with a move up in Gold
the move should be limited at this time.
I'm expecting the bigger move in Gold next year possibly at
the end of the next primary cycle which may also be a 17 month cycle low. The
move should be up. Subscribers have the potential dates. On the following daily
chart we are in the area where the heliocentric Venus and Jupiter price lines
cross. We often get sharp moves from this setup.
Crude
This coming week of Dec
21st we should be entering the 17th
week of a nominal 18 week cycle which started August 24th.
Crude has gone down since November 26th where we had Saturn square Neptune .
We are watching closely for any aspect involving Jupiter and Neptune for turns
in crude.
I expect crude to be quite volatile. With Neptune
active to this degree I would also expect our old friends, illusion, delusion,
lies, deceit and falsehoods to be apparent. As mentioned Neptune
is in Pisces, the sign that it rules and is most powerful here.
It is difficult to forecast Crude here with all the
geopolitical events, OPEC and our climate change friends. I'll be changing
focus to NatGas in the next few weeks. NatGas is very local so we'll look at
NatGas prices in North America . I'll start
this in the new year.
We should start looking for potential Primary cycle lows
over the next few weeks, although crude prices may have further to go down with
the current Astrological aspects and therefore may have a longer Primary cycle.
Looking at heliocentric aspects there is a very interesting date on January 29th, 2016
+- a few.
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude
also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?
The 1st half 2016
dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in Jan) will be available
for purchase Dec 20th.
Hi Gord, Happy Holidays!
ReplyDeleteDo you see the S&P 500 reversing to the downside after the Uranus Direct Station on Christmas Day? The markets seem to having a bit of a Santa Rally at the moment.
Yes I do. Uranus turns direct on Christmas day. Also on Christmas day:
ReplyDeleteFull Moon
Moon at North Declination
Mercury is coming in from Out Of Bounds and is parallel the Sun.