Saturday, April 9, 2016

Financial Astrology - April 11, 2016

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A general note. I'm expecting volatility and possibly a big move in the markets in the April to mid-June time frame. There are also some violent aspects which could be pointing to war-like activity or terrorist event. These are mainly mid-month as are geophysical events and potential violent weather.

SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise Feb 11 was the Primary cycle trough.  1 that started on Aug 24th. Feb 11th was a slightly lower low than Jan 20th low. Jan 20th was the low for a number of other indices. Feb 11th starts a new nominal 18 week cycle in the SP500 and we are entering the 9th week. We most often see a nominal 6 week cycle to start a new nominal 18 week cycle and this time was no exception. The crest is MT and the trough is MB on the following daily chart. The nominal 6 week cycles has a range of 5 to 7.

Normally we would expect the SP500 to continue up in the 2nd nominal 6 week cycle in the primary cycle. In the current case we have a number of difficult transits and Astrological events that may directly effect the markets or a world event that indirectly effects the market. One that stands out is the Jupiter / Uranus parallel which is in aspect most of the month of April. On the surface this would be interpreted as being very positive and potentially very sudden good fortune. Jupiter however is in Virgo which is Jupiter's detriment. The sign it works with the least power. A parallel is an aspect of declination. We may have seen the crest for this nominal 18 week cycle and the end would be approx. mid-June 2016. That's a long time to be going down and I expect volatility. This coming week is the start of the 1st QTR earnings season and it is not expected to be good. We may see a rise in the indices during this week or the early part of the week before a more major move down.



Price just broken through the 15 day sma (red moving average). The 15 day sma is above the 45 day. This looks like a setup for a move down, however we could go up this coming week and then a larger down period.
My outlook is bearish going into the Spring due to the Astrological aspects being formed, namely the Saturn / Neptune square and the Jupiter / Saturn square. There are others. These 3 planets will be forming a powerful T-Square in mutable signs.

I mentioned an unusual / possibly explosive environment in April and the dates and potential events will be included in the April monthly subscribers report. For purposes here watch out early in the month and near the 3rd week of April.

The Uranus / Pluto square is still in orb but will soon be fading. March through June of 2016 looks troublesome and very volatile. I'm looking for two and possibly 3 lows from now into June with one of the lows coinciding with the current nominal 18 week cycle. The new nominal 18 week cycle which started on Feb 11 is therefore forecast to end as a trough approx. 18 weeks hence. That puts us in the week of June 13 with a range from  May 30 to July 4th.

Feb 11 was an important low. Subscribers look at your list of forecast dates and you will find Feb 10th. This is from the 6 month forecast dates originally forecast in November 2015.

Also as a partial example of what Subscriber ALERTS look like, following is from a recent ALERT.
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
ALERT - April 3, 2016
New items from last post in red.
Results in blue
A path forward - All are +- 2 td's
  
SP500
March 7-8        - short term high
                        - the high was March 4,7

March 23-25    - should be a turn with a high or low
                       - watch technical indicators to see which direction the market is moving
                        - turned down from high on March 22

March 30         - short term low
                        - Jupiter square Saturn, Saturn Retrograde
                        - Note: I'm still looking at March 30 as a low with the 45 cd cycle                                                              discussed a number of times. (+- 3 tds)
                        It appears this low came in on  March 24 3 td's before March 30
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

The week of June 13th, just discussed is the week for the next Saturn / Neptune waning square with Neptune going retrograde earlier in the week. This is a potential time for a more significant low. It could also be a time that epidemics break out or lingering disease. This could also involve water.

Two weeks ago we had the Jupiter square to Saturn on March 23 which is 2 days before Saturn turns retrograde and we got the turn down in many markets we were expecting.

There was also a Saturn parallel Pluto aspect on Feb 9, 2 days away from the important Feb 11 date. Watch the days around April 28 for a possible low or start of a move down when Saturn is parallel Pluto once again.

Mars leaves Scorpio, where it has given Gold a huge thrust up and entered Sagittarius on March 5. This results in both Mars and Saturn in Sagittarius , a signature for a religious conflict or the amplification of one.

I'll be watching the U.S.A financial system / currency in follow up to the video from the February 29 post. This should be a long process. Note in the video the last similar occurrence took almost one year to see an effect.

With the longer term market cycles we use the Astrological aspects and Astrological events to determine a more exact time. Note: I have taken off the brief description of the Uranus / Pluto waning square. Longer term geocentric Astrological cycles that are coming up include:

Jupiter waning square Saturn
- in the middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year
"The business cycle and direct effect on European history. Major changes will be occurring in Europe as result of the refuge migration. There is a major sign change coming up when Jupiter and Saturn are conjunct in 2020. More on this 240 year conjunction in a future post."
           
Saturn square Neptune
-in the middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year
Saturn is about social order, structure and regulations. Neptune can be politically unrealistic and a desire to avoid confrontation. It can be devious, underhanded and use subversive tactics.
"This aspect is often present near times when there is a change in trend for interest rates or inflation. It can also be a period of epidemics, pandemics suffering, depression and money valuation problems. This could be a change in the world's reserve currency or issues around it. A large increase in precious metals is also possible as it is a money valuation issue. This 36 year aspect has been associated with political changes, reforms and development of socialism. One wonders in regards to epidemics and sickness, would this be natural illnesses or man-made." If you feel depressed or not at ease this aspect may be the cause. One of these planets may be hitting a planet in your horoscope.

On the following weekly chart of the DJIA, the red squares are Jupiter square Saturn and the green squares are Saturn square Neptune.



For 2016 we have Jupiter, Saturn, Neptune and the North Node in mutable signs. In addition both eclipses are in mutable signs. Mutable signs are about flexibility and the ability or need to change. They are also about things that are not in control and extremes. We are in for a wild ride for the next couple of months in the markets and other areas of life.

With all these planets in mutable signs one might expect a fast changing, exciting, fun environment. Let's not forget that Saturn is the focal point of a T-Square, with a square to Neptune. Amongst other things Saturn is fear. This could be pointing to life threatening epidemics and with Neptune this could mean water borne diseases. Natural or
man-made?

For April, Mars and Pluto will be turning retrograde within a day of each other. This will probably be the most important Astrological event for the month. This time frame is also tied to the Jan 11, 2011 Solar Eclipse. That's right 2011. In my opinion this eclipse kicked off the "Arab Spring". From that eclipse date Uranus has moved to now square Mars position in the Jan 11, 2011 eclipse.

Following is a link to a post and picture of that eclipse. If there is going to be a major world event in the mid-April time frame (April 15-20) it will probably be within the area covered by this eclipse. Note it's coverage, the Mid East and Europe.


The next 2 charts are daily charts of the SP500, and the Russell 2000. The horizontal blue lines are the average longitude of the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto on all 3 charts This average is converted to price and displayed on the charts. Notice how well they have acted as support and resistance. The SP500 is sitting on one of the averages (2058) which is based on planetary longitude. We'll see over the next couple of days whether this is support or resistance. I'm still thinking resistance.

The red vertical lines on the chart are the 45 cd cycle. This cycle has been accurate since May 20, 2015, the all time high. It appears to have run it's course as there was little movement around the date of the 45 cd.



The second chart is the Russell 2000. This index is subject to far less manipulation than the SP500. Notice how well it respects the Astrological average price lines. It's too bad we have to bring up manipulation but the reality is, it happens.



Other longer term cycles that may be close to seeing their lows in the next couple of months are the 6.5 - 7 year cycle. I'm looking at the period from now through the spring of 2016 as a potential time period for these cycles. They are long term cycles and need a broad orb. Assuming the 2009 low was an 18 year cycle low, we may be looking at a 9 year cycle low late 2017 - 2018.



I was asked for my long term view and here it is. I'm looking for the world wide economy to be basically down until 2020. This coincides with a long term Astrological phenomenon known as Tigonalis which involves the Jupiter / Saturn conjunctions. Every 240 years the conjunction of these planets changes elements. In 2020 the Jupiter/ Saturn conjunction will occur in Aquarius, a fixed, air sign. I expect dramatic technological developments leading into this time which should be, like the internet, life-changing developments.

"Every movement in the market is the result of a natural law and of a Cause which exists long before the Effect takes place and can be determined years in advance. The future is but a repetition of the past, as the Bible plainly states…"
-- W D Gann

Gold
Gold put in a  nominal 18 week cycle   1 trough on Dec 3rd. 2015 which has marked an important low.

This puts us entering either the 19th week of the Primary cycle or March 28 was the trough for the Primary cycle and we are about to enter the 3rd week of a new nominal 18 week cycle.  

As we've mentioned before Mars in Scorpio often results in big moves in Gold both up and down. Mars entered Scorpio on Jan 3, 2016 and left Scorpio for Sagittarius on March 5, 2016. Due to retrograde motion Mars will be back in Scorpio later in the year, May 27th in fact, 1 day after a Jupiter / Saturn square. This should be an important period for Gold.

Following is a daily chart for Gold. The orange vertical lines are a 14 cd (calendar day) cycle which has been at highs and lows and hit on April 7. This was also a Hanging Man Doji which is a reversal signal.  Note that price is now above the 15 day sma and 45 day sma. Monday is important for Gold but there is a date further on in April with more importance for Gold. Subscribers have that date.

I'm looking for Gold to hit it's trough during the 3rd weeks of April, so I'm expecting the Hanging Man Doji to mark a reversal down.



Perhaps investors are getting somewhat nervous with fiat currencies. "The emperor has no clothes". Negative interest rates certainly helps.

The FED wants to get inflation rising. Inflation is NOT caused by rising prices for goods. It is caused by the weakening of the dollar which requites more money to buy the same goods. Rate hikes would not help with their stated goal of increasing inflation.

I was expecting a bigger move in Gold later in the year but it could occur sooner than my original thoughts.

The price lines on the following daily Gold chart take the longitudinal position of the geocentric planet and converts it to price. Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) have provided good support and resistance.

Gold has been trying to break through the Jupiter price line (blue) and then went down and touched the Venus price line a number of times. I think the Jupiter price line will be resistance and Gold will go down to it's cycle trough. If wrong the March 28 was the Primary cycle trough and Gold should be going up.



Crude
Feb 11 had another lower low and is now marked a Primary cycle trough which has us starting the 9th week of the nominal 18 week cycle. Bear in mind there are geopolitical issues affecting crude which can effect the price quickly and directly.

For crude, nothing has changed with the demand, supply situation or the over flowing storage capacity or the flotilla of ships carrying crude with no place to unload. There has been no agreement to limit production quotas although there is another meeting of OPEC producers on April 17th. This is right in the middle of the Mars and Pluto retrogrades with Venus squaring Pluto on April 19th. This appears to be a wild period of change coming up.

It appears crude put in a nominal 6 week crest (MT) on March 18 and move down to a trough (MB) on April 5th. This would put us at the start of the second nominal 6 week cycle of the Primary cycle. Under normal conditions this should rise here. These are probably not normal conditions. The 50% retracement was just below the 15 day sma and it is still there.

The following daily chart for crude also has the average longitude of the planets from Jupiter to Pluto. This is converted to price and printed on the chart as the blue horizontal lines. Note we just bounced off one of these averages on April 5th, at the nominal 6 week bottom.



April has a number of war-like / terrorist aspects. Most of them are to the middle of the month. Subscribers have the dates.

I've been looking for Astrological aspects that hit Jupiter or Neptune. Both are co-rulers of crude. There are a few, April 8,  13, 24. Watch these dates for possible moves in crude,.

Many commodities and financials should be affected by the Saturn / Neptune waning square this year. This is a 3 pass with the last 2 occurring mid-Year and then September 2016. This is a 36 year cycle so looking back 36 years we had severe problems with the lack of crude and interest rates went over 20%. Things are never the same, but often close as we now have an abundance of crude and very low (negative?) interest rates approximately 36 years later. These longer term aspects color a period of history rather than a day, week or month.

Looking at the crude chart we see a Primary cycle low now on Feb 11. The last cycle is an example of a left translated cycle with the crest forming closer to the beginning trough. Left translated cycles are bearish, they simply spend more time going down than moving up. After 7 years of QE in the U.S. and loose monetary policy we haven't seen many left translated cycles for some time.

A chart we haven't shown for some time follows. This is a daily chart of crude with Jupiter (blue) and Neptune (grey) price lines on it. They work the same as we have shown for Gold. Notice crude stopped right on the Neptune (grey) price line on March 24th. On Friday April 8 price broke through that area on the up-side. Watch this early next week to see if crude can hold above that area and will it reach the next level in the 43.00 - 43.50 area. I'm looking for a move back down but the jaw boning about the April 17 OPEC meeting may drive the price up.




Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 1st half 2016 dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in Jan) are available for purchase.


9 comments:

  1. Great post mate.

    What about this though.....Big ass metals investor bets 2 MILLION Dollars GOLD WILL GO HIGHER SOON!...http://sentiment-trader.blogspot.com.au/2016/04/someone-bet-2-million-on-gold-rally-see.html

    ReplyDelete
  2. Just found out your Blog. So interesting indeed. Sir, what do you think by "This is right in the middle of the Mars and Pluto retrogrades with Venus squaring Pluto on April 19th. This appears to be a wild period of change coming up." will Crude prices spurt or nose dive ? What will be its impact on Stock Market on 19th - Nose dive ?
    Regards,
    Deepak Sharma
    Lucknow, India

    ReplyDelete
  3. I'm looking for a bad stretch possibly starting this week. If not this week early the week of April 18 should be down and maybe down sharply.

    I've mentioned in the blog and market letter the possibility of a geophysical event (i.e. earthquake / volcano). We've already had one but if no more geophysical events the market should still go down.

    I'll be hiding under the bed for a few days. {^_^} Looks nasty.

    ReplyDelete
  4. spx 2000 any time soon? and are we going to get a break out of all time highs?

    ReplyDelete
  5. Looks like we are headed to new all tome highs in May !!!

    ReplyDelete
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