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SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise November 4th was the Primary cycle trough. 1 which
puts us entering the 17th week of a nominal
18 week cycle. November 4th was the 40
week cycle trough as well. The 1st Half 2017 Forecast dates, given to subscribers,
are estimated from Astrological events only. As time unfolds we have the benefit
of market cycles and possibly additional Astrological events. Nevertheless the
original dates have fared very well. See the blog post of December 11, 2016,
showing the original forecast dates for the SP500. These are the original 6 month
dates with no adjustments for the last 3, 6 month periods.
It should be noted Primary cycles (18 weeks) most often
start with a nominal 6 week sub-cycle. The 2nd most common start is a 1/2 Primary or
9 week sub-cycles.
This blog post will
be shorter than usual as I'm working on the March Monthly subscribers reports. You
may wish to read the previous blog post as well.
I'm looking for closes below 20,780 for the DJIA and lower than 2357 for the SP500. If we can get below those levels this will look like a topping process process for both indices.
We are in the
difficult period of time mentioned over the past few weeks. The exact date for a number
of the heavy transits have either passed or we are in the middle of them.
Immediately coming up are the Venus retrograde transit,
war-like Mars trine Saturn and most of the upcoming week will have Saturn
conjunct the Galactic Centre. The latter often appears near a change in trend
on stocks. I had expected a sharper reversal. After next week the
Astrological aspects and other events should get quieter for a couple of weeks
then get stronger again in late March and early April.
There is more coming but this weekly blog takes us up to
March 10th. There is much more to come over the next 2 months. Mars is very
active and in it's ruler-ship, Aries, so we may see more aggressive and violent
events. The Martian energy should emphasize the Jupiter / Uranus opposition. Watch
for potential geophysical events, violent weather or increased conflict. Mars
is the planet of war, conflict and aggression
Looking to the next Presidential election, 2020 Jupiter and
Saturn will be conjunct near the cusp of Aquarius an Air sign. More on this and
the Mutation conjunction of Jupiter and Saturn in an ensuing subscribers
report.
The next estimated Primary
cycle ( aka nominal 18 week cycle)
low is estimated to be March 6th +- 3 weeks with a range of February 13th, 2017 to March 19, 2017. It could also be the
week of March 19, 2017 +- 3 weeks. March
6th, we can now see is too early but
the week of March 19 is still possible.
April is another possibility which is appearing more likely.
The March 6, 2017
forecast was first mentioned in our blog post of November 14, 2016.
On March 7th +- 3
td's, Saturn conjuncts the Galactic
Center . The 2 week
period could define a move down. This may be very important. Bear in mind we
are in an 8 year bull market. A move down could start at any time, the above
are the most probable from an Astrological perspective.
As mentioned in previous weeks both Israel and Egypt (mid-East) may come to the
fore this year as regards to conflict and aggression. Iran and Turkey may be included as well.
This may be seen before the end of April. This is connected to the on-going Saturn / Uranus trine, a 45 year aspect
which is exact again on May 19th.
Following are the change in trend dates for the next couple
of weeks all +- 3 td's.
March 4 Venus retrograde (could be very
important and a change in trend)
March 5 Mars waxing trine Saturn (conflict,
geophysical)
March 6 -13 Saturn conjunct the Galactic Center
( markets down or depressed)
Mars is active and can result in war or conflict. The US should stay
out of any conflicts as they should concentrate on growing health and legal
problems at home. If the US
does get involved it could result in many casualties.
The second pass of the 14 year aspect, Jupiter opposing Uranus occured on March 2nd. At times this opposition will be a T-square
with Pluto at the Apex. The French Astrologer, Barbault considers this transit
to be predominantly a capitalist oriented cycle. This transit could bring a
spirit of collective optimism. This may
be particularly opportune at this time in the USA . Don't look for an immediate
event. Look for a swing to the right politically. Revolutionary activity. This
aspect has a history of market turns
There is a Venus
cycle which could be important. That is every 8 years or 5 Venus retro
occurrences, Venus returns to approximately the same spot in the Zodiac. Venus
turns retrograde on March 4th 2017. 8
years ago or 5 Venus retro occurrences Venus
turned retrograde on March 6, 2009. This was the day of the low in the
major US
indices. If, for some reason, we do not get a change in trend in late January /
early February then the March 4 date would be a good candidate for a turn.
The following chart shows Venus retrograde dates (retro, red arrow pointed left), Venus direct (blue arrow pointed right)
and the Sun / Venus conjunct noted
as Inferior or Superior, (I or S). Mercury and Venus are the two planets inside
the Earth's orbit and the only one's that can have Inferior and Superior conjunctions with the Sun. The next
conjunction is an Inferior conjunction. Note the previous Inferior conjuncts
(I) on the following chart.
Following is a daily chart of the SP500. The brown line is
an adjusted Bradley indicator. It's purpose is to find a change in trend. This
is not straight forward to read and the details with video are in section 9 of
the subscribers report. What appears to be the next Bradley turn is March 1st
+- 3 tds.. Also Price is above both the
15 and 45 day sma's. and the 15 day sma is above the 45 day. This would
still be a good time frame for the start of a slide down.
Harmonics
I continue to watch the 24th
harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles. The brown squares are Sun / Saturn 15 degrees
on the following daily chart.
The last hit was on March 1st. This may have started the
change in trend.
The next hits are March 27, 2017 then April 18th.
I have added 3 price lines to this
chart.
Saturn - black
Uranus - purple
These price lines can act as
support / resistance. Also on this chart are blue vertical line which is the 24 cd (calendar day) cycle. It has
been at highs and lows.
The date of March 1st is the same
date as the 24 Harmonic.
Looking forward I'm expecting
difficult markets in the late February through April timeframe.
There have been a number of
earthquakes over the last couple of weeks. I'm expecting more.
Gold
December 15 may have been the Gold
low we have been looking for. This puts us in the 12th
week. We had a brief pullback. Since December 15th Gold has been trending
up showing three crests and down on February 27th.
It appears we had the second
nominal 30 day cycle crest (MT on the chart) and we are headed down into the nominal
30 day cycle trough. So we should look for a turn back up before we close below
the 1210 area.
Gold like many markets will be
affected by the Astrological aspects from February 22 through April.
Following is a daily Gold
chart with the arrows identifying retrograde and direct dates and the
Inferior and Superior Sun / Venus
conjunctions. Coming up we have the Venus
Retrograde date of March 4th then March
25 for the Inferior conjunction and April
15 has Venus turning direct again.
Any of these 3 dates could be a turn in Gold. I was looking for a move down near the Venus retrograde
date of March 4th +- 3 tds which we got. It may have a little to go but we
should be aware this could be a big move.
Beyond the nominal 18 week cycle
there is a 13 1/2 month cycle that
is due for a trough then up. This cycle typically lands in the 11 to 14th month. It may have been December
15th.
The following weekly chart for Gold
has the 13.5 month cycle shown as the blue vertical lines. The purple squares
are Uranus turning Direct. They often occur near a low then up.
The next chart is a longer term
monthly chart showing the 7.4 year cycle in Gold. They are the red vertical
lines. Note that the 7.4 year cycle put in a low in late 2015. We are now in a
pull back but we are very early in the 7.4 year cycle which should be bullish
in the long term.
Crude
August 3rd was the start of a Primary cycle. With the move up it
now appears we had the Primary cycle low on November 14. This would put us in the 16th week of a Primary cycle. The high is still the high of January
3rd. Price is now below the 15 and 45 day sma's and looks headed down into the
Primary cycle trough. We are still under the influence of Jupiter and Neptune
transits for this past week. Watch crude closely on Monday. These two planets are co-rulers of crude.
The blue horizontal lines are the
average longitudes of the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto
converted to price. They should act as good support / resistance areas. That
blue line currently above price is at 54.85 and I'm looking for this area to be
strong resistance. Looking down 50.30 should act as support.
I'm watching
all aspects to Jupiter or Neptune,
the two rulers of crude. The price of crude is subject to the vagaries of the
OPEC group and the actions of it's individual members.
Following is a daily chart of crude
showing the price lines for the Sun
(green) and Pluto (black). Note that move down on Thursday went through the
green Sun price line and bounced up on Friday to just below the same Sun price
line.
I'm looking for a move down. The
two price lines will cross again on March 21st +- 2 tds.
No reversal yet in US or global market. Why astro failing.??
ReplyDeleteI don't think astro is failing, it is the interpretation of the astros that might have to be revised. Also planets are slow moving so the time period has an orb or +&- time. Here in Australia our market is falling but only slightly. Didn't your Vedic astro say gold was supposed to go up by Mid March? What happened there?
ReplyDeleteIn terms of when the market might start falling hard we should watch for the fomc news next week. If Janet Yellen announces a rate higher than the market expects then this would surprise the market and maybe trigger a sell off. The next CIT dates are March 25 and April 15. Is March 25 close enough to 25th? Not sure. If no rate hike, April 15 could be a double top due to Venus square Saturn twice in April and the US Tax returns due. That means if you are a US Taxpayer you would want to sell your shares near April 15 to pay your taxes. If you are a retiree you might be eligible to withdraw your $$$ so some selling pressure could arise during next few years.
ReplyDeleteI forgot to mention Saturn turning retrograde April 9 along with Mercury. If anything Saturn is the ultimate bearish planet so I would expect some selling around the Saturn retrograde period. This period is also near when Venus turn direct.
ReplyDeleteYes i still see gold n silver gng up after mid march after a panic low. Gud to buy. Market reversal means i see crash not correction for now. It shd be total collapse now.
DeleteSaturn retro doesnt say correction rather saturn in sagittarius is very bearish. So saturn wd play its role sooner or later. need to see.
Remember where we are. 17 weeks along an 18 week cycle. Also the 18 week cycle is +- 3 weeks. There are big problems ahead and into April.
ReplyDeletethe market is going to crash by last week of march. And no one wl get chance to exit now. Its done.
DeleteI'm basically flat now. Problems start at any time and go into April.
Delete