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SP500
The last Primary cycle low was August 21st, the day of the
Total Solar Eclipse.
We are now starting the 12th week and another new high. This
has been an unusual time with the general market indices seemingly unstoppable.
Price has touched the 15 day sma for one of the few time in months. Whether it is
central bank money or money from some other source we need to know the time
periods where a correction is more probable. We try and look at Cycles and
Astro events that have a history of being 65% - 72 % correct. We will continue
with this approach.
Note this last Primary cycle low
on August 21 was not very deep. Price was below the 15 and 45 day sma and the
15 day dipped just below the 45 day sma.
The following daily chart of the
SP500 shows the Geocentric Bradley indicator (thick red line). It indicates a
possible, I emphasize possible, change in trend near Nov 17.
November 24 / 25 is also a
Martin Armstrong turn date. Look for surprise events. The Martin Armstrong turn
dates are based on his Economic Confidence model. It is defining turns for the
world economy although they often show up as turns in the markets.
We should stay aware the trends in the major US
indices remain up and that is the way they should be played.
Tomorrow, November 11th. we have the 45 year
aspect with Saturn in waning trine to Uranus. This trine is part of a grand
trine with the North Node the third point in the grand trine in fire with
Saturn in Sagittarius, Uranus in Aries and the North Node in Leo.
The Saturn trine Uranus on Nov. 11,
2017 is often seen at Primary and
greater cycles. This aspect has been covered a number of times. It covers a
period of right-wing and conservative processes, quarrels and sudden
separations. It is associated with capitalism. This cycle
also has a strong association with the middle east including Israel and
Egypt. Look for events in this geographic area. Watch for sudden events
nearby. There is another aspect in December that has a history with France which we will include in next weeks post.
The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the
Jupiter price line (blue) and the Sun/Earth price line (green). Both of these
price lines have a history of providing support and resistance. Price has just followed
the Sun/ Earth price line and may have broken resistance. Watch closely on
Monday.
The following chart of the daily
SP500 shows the Venus latitude as a green wavy line. Note I put green vertical
lines at the center of each wave up. Note; the market tends to turn down shortly
after the mid-point of the Venus latitude. The red squared boxes are an attempt
at forecasting which is being tested.
The next weekly chart
shows the 33 week cycle (light blue circles). It has come in at highs and lows.
The next weekly chart shows the
18 month cycle which is coming due. In fact the 18 month and 23 month cycle are
coming due. I’m looking for a turn any time between now and the end of January
2018.
The following weekly chart of
the SP500 shows the 5 month (blue) and
10 month (red). The 5 month cycle was September
4. The 5-month cycle often is at the start of a slide down but not sliding
yet. This looks like the 5 month cycle came in early, around August 21, the
Solar eclipse, and continued up.
I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles for
short term turns. The brown squares are Sun / Saturn 24 degrees on the
following daily chart. The blue vertical lines are 24 cd’s (calendar days).
The next hits are Nov. 17th then Dec.5th
I have added 3 price lines to
this chart.
Saturn - black
Uranus - purple
Neptune - light blue
These price lines can act as
support / resistance. It has been at highs and lows. Note also when they cross
often gets a reaction in price on a short-term basis. Also note, near the top
of the chart is a light blue line. This is the Neptune Price Line. Note how it
has been strong resistance to price but has broken through. It should act as
strong support when the market turns down.
Also watch around November 10
/ 11 where the Saturn and Uranus Price Lines cross.
In summary with the aspects in
front of us I’m looking for a surprise event to turn the markets. This may not
happen until later in November.
Gold
Gold put in an impressive rally
into Sept. 8th. July 10th was a Primary cycle low and we are now 18 weeks along. It is possible October
6th was a Primary cycle low. Much will depend on where Gold goes
from here. A Primary low on October 6th puts us 5 weeks along in a
new Primary cycle. Remember the 6 week and 9 ½ week are typical cycle lengths
for cycles in Gold. The Primary cycle has an average length of 18 weeks but has
a range from 15 to 22 weeks.
The 15 day sma is below the 45
day sma and price is below both. Both the 15 and 45 sma’s are curling over. This
appears to be moving down into the
Primary cycle low which I expect in November. Potential dates are Nov 13 or Nov 22.
Note on the Gold chart below,
the red horizontal lines are the retracement from the move up from December 2015
to Aug 4, 2016.
Also note the low on Oct. 27th is close to
the Oct 6 low and if you look back
this area has been support and
resistance. I wanted to see this area hold. If it does not hold then I’m
looking at the
38.2 % retracement around 1248. If it goes into the box, between 38.2% and 50% this is a common area for Primary cycle lows.
38.2 % retracement around 1248. If it goes into the box, between 38.2% and 50% this is a common area for Primary cycle lows.
The following chart shows
seasonal tendencies for Gold. The 2nd half of the year, on average, is up.
The 4th quarter of 2017 may
still see a rising Gold price.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The last one being on October
30th and the next November 27th.
The red lines headed up are the
Mars price lines. It has hit one of the main Mars Price lines (darker red) and
may get support here. Looking at this whole chart it is based on a 24 harmonic.
If you count each line from one darker red line to the next you will find there
are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.
The following daily chart of
Gold shows the days Mars is entering a new sign (red squares). Look at this
using +- 3 td’s (trading days). The next date is December 8th. I
suspect this will be after the Primary cycle low.
Crude
We were looking at June 21st
or October 6th as being
the trough of the last Primary cycle.
The move out of that date was the start of a Primary cycle. We are
entering either the 5h week of the
Primary that started on October 6th
and possible we are still working off the Primary low of June 21, 2017 low.June
November 3 crude broke through
both the $55.00 Fib (red)area and the planetary average longitude for the planets
from Jupiter to Pluto, blue horizontal line. This area may act as strong
support.
The horizontal blue lines are
the average longitude of the planets
Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto (blue). Note how price stopped
on August 1 and August 31, right on
the average longitude. See it again on Sept 14. The next blue line is in the
$55 + near the top of the chart.
The horizontal red lines are the
Fibonacci retracement from Nov 14, 2016 to Feb 21, 2017.
There have been a number of
aspects involving Jupiter and Neptune, which resulted in a move up from June 21st. Jupiter and Neptune are the co-rulers of
Crude and NatGas. November 3rd
will be the powerful Sun trine Neptune and December
2nd Jupiter trine Neptune.
Watch the red Fibonacci
retracement lines and the blue planetary averages.
Also watch the 15 and 45 day
sma. Both are pointed up with price rising above both. This has been a strong
move.
On the following daily chart of
crude note the green lines sloping up. This is the price line for the
Sun/Earth. The blue lines moving horizontal is the Pluto price line (blue).
Note how price often follows the
Sun price line up and often stops and reverses at the Pluto price line. We
often get big range days when the two lines cross, like October 27th.
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