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The last Primary cycle low was February 9th. The standard for the Primary cycle is 18 weeks. We appeared to have put in the Primary cycle trough on February 9th at a low of 2532.69. This was late at the 23th week but this may be distorted as there are other longer-term cycles due. This may have been the 9-month cycle trough as well. Longer tern cycles may push the Primary cycle further out.
The SP500 Primary cycle has a range from 15 to 23 weeks so we were at the limit. The high for this Primary cycle was 2872.87 on January 26th. The high for the COMPQX was Friday March 9th as of this writing.
This puts us 5 weeks along in a new Primary cycle. We often get a short pull back in the 2nd to 3rd week at the start of a new Primary cycle. We may have just seen that pull back, remembering the longer-term cycles may push the Primary cycle out further.
We should be watching for a potential pull back into the 6th week trough remembering we could get a 9 – 9 ½ week cycle instead. The 6 and 9 and 9 ½ are sub cycles of the Primary cycle.
The key Astro activity over the next couple of weeks are the Sun and Mars changing signs, Mercury turning retrograde and Mars aspects. Mars is about to get more active as it makes a number of aspects to other key planets.
March 17 Mars enters Capricorn.
Mars, being energetic, forceful, violent, destructive, and strongly discordant.
Mars powered by Capricorn has a quiet strength that you sense and know not to mess with. The will of Mars is strong, this being a cardinal sign. It's also one with a lot of patience, and the ability to deny short term gratification, in favor of something down the road.
March 20 The Sun is thought, politics and executive and administration. In politics, bosses and the ruling class. Mars add strength and fortitude. Sun the Aries, the spring equinox, Mars rules Aries. The Sun in sign of Mars has strength
March 22 Mercury turns retrograde
Mercury goes retrograde approx. every 3 months and stays retrograde for 19 to 24 days. Mercury rules correspondence, commerce, buying and selling, short term communication and negotiations. For trading don’t hold on to stocks too long.
Mars quintile Neptune
March 23 Venus waxing square Pluto
Has a history of occurring unexpectedly? These tend to be strong signatures which can result in a sharp change in trend.
March 24 Sun squares Mars
This is the weakest of the Sun Mars aspects.
The last two weeks of March has challenging aspects from the FED natal chart to the current transits to that FED chart. I will base this on March 28th. Understand the aspects can affect a number of days either side.
Transiting Uranus in the 10th house squares natal Neptune in the 1st house. This could represent sudden change in politics in a country.
Transiting Venus in the 10th house conjuncts transiting Uranus. With the previous signature this could represent a change / problem in currency or money supply.
Transiting Pluto conjunct Jupiter has a strong history of powerful cycles in the US indices. Watch this with the previous signature. There may be problems with currencies.
The 15 day sma on the SP500 chart is flat to moving over. It is just below price. The 15 day sma is also below the 45 day sma which is flat and on price. I am looking for price to move down into a 6 week cycle trough.
Some of the cycles that are coming due are:
- The Primary Cycle (nominal 18 week) on Feb 9th.
- 9 month cycle
- 5 week.
These are all coming due. See the charts below
The Primary Cycles
The week of Feb 4 had Pluto conjunct the heliocentric nodes of Pluto which should give Pluto more power. This was exact on Feb. 8th, 2018. This moves very slowly and I think the cause of the move down. The last time it occurred was Feb 20, 1772 just before 1776. This needs a broad orb +- weeks. There were a number of other factors pointing to a move down but Pluto conjunct the heliocentric nodes of Pluto seems most precise. For big moves there are usually multiple Astrological aspects and / or events.
Pluto stands for major change, breakdown and regeneration. Pluto can also stand for political breakdown, organized crime and secret intelligence. We have seen all the above in the US. Pluto also rules banking systems, stock and shares, manipulation and corruption. It was due. It could also be the source of the long move up. This Pluto aspect will be exact two more times in 2018 due to retrograde motion, July 11 and Dec 15th.
So we may see some sudden event early in the week indicating something has been overdone.
The 9 month cycle
The above chart shows the 9 month or 39 week cycle (blue vertical lines). It is due and it was late but appears to be forming last week. The 20 week cycle was added as well (red vertical lines)
The 3.8 – 4 Year
The above weekly chart of the SP500 shows the synodic cycle for Mars and Vesta. The red circles are the conjunction of the two and the green double arrows are the middle of the cycle. These are the heliocentric aspects (Sun centered).
Note how the conjunction is often at a top with a quick decline. The next Mars / Vesta conjunction is April 23, 2018.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”
Following are the significant earthquakes (> 6.0) so far in January 2018.
Jan 23 Alaska 7.9
Jan 10 Honduras 7.5
Jan 14 Peru 7.1
Jan 19 Mexico 6.3
Jan 21 Chile 6.3
Jan 25 Russia 6.2
Feb 16 Mexico 7.2
Feb 25 Papua New Guinea 7.5
There has been a number of volcano’s erupting as well.
On a longer term basis the following monthly chart of the DJIA shows the 15 year cycle (red vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle (blue lines). The 15 year is due now, the 45 year due in Sept 2019.
In May Uranus will enter Taurus. Look for financial or banking system problems or changes. Uranus will go retrograde and then move backward into Aries before Uranus enters Taurus for good. This may also be a problem in currencies.
Generally speaking the first couple of months of 2018 should be volatile. There are 2 Super Moons and 2 Eclipses.
The above combination, with Saturn, could be defining problems / restrictions for the general population, particularly the mature population (pensions?) and with the Sun could affect the President or other leaders. This combination could affect a number of years in the future as Saturn is in a sign for approx. 2 ½ years. Other conditions this may highlight are State funerals, public sorrow and disappointment in general. State assets could be affected as well as industries connected to metals and mining.
The following monthly chart of the DJIA shows when Saturn has been in Capricorn (red x’s). Notice they have all had significant drops.
There could be some type of surprise coming in 2018 from the government or exposing something from the past. There could also be a major breakdown in world affairs or leaders.
The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the Jupiter price line (blue) and the Sun/Earth price line (green). Both of these price lines have a history of providing support and resistance.
When the two lines cross we often see a big range day or reversal. Note how price went down and stopped on the Sun / Earth Price Line. Price touched the Sun (thick blue) price line today but finished close to the next
The blue horizontal lines are the Jupiter price line. The thicker blue line just above price may act as solid resistance to any move up in price. The two lines will doss again on March 13 which is a trine between the Sun and Jupiter. This signature would typically be indicating a positive mood in the market but remember, Jupiter can stand for something that is overdone.
The month of March is open to high drama with possible major surprises out of Washington DC.
I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles for short term turns. The brown squares are Sun / Saturn 24 degrees on the following daily chart. The blue vertical lines are 24 cd’s (calendar days).
The next hit is March 29, 2018 and May 14, 2018 I have added 3 price lines to this chart.
- Saturn – black
- Uranus – purple
- Neptune - light blue
Note the date, Feb 9th, 2018 was the day of the low and a big range day.
These price lines can act as support / resistance. It has been at highs and lows. Note also when they cross often gets a reaction in price on a short-term basis. Also note, near the top of the chart is a light blue line. This is the Neptune Price Line. Note how it has been strong resistance to price but has broken through. It should act as strong support when the market turns down.
This week we have Mercury turning retrograde on March 22nd. The inferior conjunction between Mercury and the Sun occurs on April 1st and Mercury turns direct again on April 15th. Any one of these three dates could see a change in trend close by. I have placed this description between the SP500 and Gold. The samples charts are for Gold.
As a reminder the two planets inside the Earth's orbit are Mercury and Venus. Both can have inferior and superior conjunctions depending on whether they are on the Earth’s side of the Sun or the far side of the Sun.
The following chart shows Mercury retrograde (red arrow pointing left), Mercury turning direct (blue arrow pointing right), the geocentric inferior conjunction (small red circle) and the heliocentric conjunction (small blue circle) on the same day. They are on a daily Gold chart. Note the swings in the SP500 and Gold charts on any of those dates in the past.
This Mercury retrograde period is occurring in Aries, a Cardinal, Fire sign. Mercury also rules communication, commerce and trading, that is buying and selling. It has a reputation for problems, both communication, contracts and wrong decisions or choices. Pay close attention to moves in stocks or Gold when Mercury is retrograde. Note the 3 dates above. The Mercury retrograde period is known to be volatile.
Gold started a new Primary cycle on December 12. We are entering the 13th week of a new Primary cycle. December 12 was close to the Mars entering Scorpio mentioned a few weeks ago.
Gold has been moving up as the US$ has moved down. It is important for Gold to stay above 1309. Look back to see days that could act as support around $1309.
We have seen the crest of the nominal 6-week cycle on January 25th and then a nominal 6 week cycle trough. To continue up, Gold needed to move above the Jan 25 high.
March 14th or early in the week may have been critical for precious metals.
Price is below the 45 sma and the 15 day sma. The 15 sma is curling over while the 45 day sma is moving sideways. This looks like Gold is trying to turn down.
The following chart shows seasonal tendencies for Gold. The 2nd half of the year, on average, is up.
The longer term.7.4 Year cycle is shown in the following weekly chart. Note we are still early in the latest 7.4 year cycle.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue vertical lines). The next being March 13, 2018. The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. We went through the Mars price line. Moving below the dark red Mars price line was bearish now we need to move above the Mars price line. It may hit resistance. Price went through the next Mars price line and is sitting on it.
The 27cd cycle (Blue vertical line) showed a turn on March 13th. There was also a Jupiter semi-square Saturn signature on March 14th. These may have been the start of a move down. I was looking for this time frame to be a move up..
Looking at this whole chart it is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees. Note price went down to Dec 12 where it bounced off a Mars Price Line.
The following daily chart of Gold shows the days Mars is entering a new sign (red squares). Look at this using +- 3 td’s (trading days). The last date was Jan 26th. These can be at highs or lows. Dec 8 was Mars entering Scorpio the sign that it rules. Note on the chart, Mars changing signs, to any sign, often has a change in trend in Gold price. The blue circles highlight when Mars enters Scorpio, the sign that it rules. The last red circle shows Mars entering Sagittarius on January 26th. The next sign is Mars entering Capricorn on March 17th. Expect a change in trend.
We were looking at February 9th as being the trough of the Primary cycle. We are 5 weeks along, remembering we often get a pullback near the 1st 2 – 3 week period of a New Primary. Crude price has moved below the 45 day sma and the 15 day sma but made a strong move up on March 16th.
It is quite possible we make another low or at least attempt a low. Neptune rules Pisces, the sign it is currently in and Jupiter is the co-ruler. The week of March 12 had the Sun in trine with Jupiter just after it turned retrograde and thus appears slower than usual These signatures may affect the price of crude and / or NatGas.
The horizontal blue lines on the chart below are the average longitude of the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto (blue). Note how price stopped on August 1 and August 31, right on the average longitude. See it again on Sept 14 and now Jan 16, 2018 which was also a 27 td (trading day’s). Now the last few days have got support at the blue planet average line as well.
The horizontal red lines are the Fibonacci retracement from Nov 14, 2016 to Feb 21, 2017.
Watch the red Fibonacci retracement lines and the blue planetary averages. Crude price made a strong move on Friday March 16. I had expected some resistance at this level. Note the 15 and 45 day sma are curling over. The next level is currently at 64.68.
On the following daily chart of crude note the green lines sloping up. This is the price line for the Sun/Earth. The blue lines moving horizontal is the Pluto price line (blue). The Pluto price line acted as support on March 1st and 2nd and again on March 9th, although on March 9th crude made a strong move during the day.
Note how price often follows the Sun price line up and often stops and reverses at the Pluto price line. We often get big range days when the two lines cross, like October 27th.and Nov 22.
Watch March 23rd where the Sun price line crosses the Pluto price line. We often see a big range day or a change in trend.