Friday, September 14, 2018

Financial Astrology - September 17, 2018



This has been a difficult time forecasting the markets. Looking back the markets have just reached the January 2018 highs although there have been ups and downs in between.

Bond yields have been inching up and there is descension between members of the FED on more raises. The whole environment seems to be preparing for inflation .

SP500

The last Primary cycle trough was June 28, 2018. We are now about to enter the 12th week of the new Primary and in the 2nd 6 week cycle which may be about to dip.

Price is above the 15 day sma and above the 45 day sma and the 15 day sma is above the 45 day sma. Friday ended with a small doji.

Realizing we had a bad call I’m still looking for a dip in the USA indices. Coming up we have.:

All dates are a minimum of +- 3 tds (trading days)

Sept 18           Mars square Uranus

Sept 22           Sun enters Libra.
The Sun entering a new sign often results in changes in trends. Watch for open enemies.

The following daily chart shows the SP500 is just above the January 2018 highs.



The following daily chart of the SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. Look at the area in the red circle. This is the basis of what we have been forecasting on.

Following is the 24 Harmonic chart we have shown for many months.



The next hits are Sept. 25, 2018 then Nov 13, 2018.

Both could be big moves or big range days.

Also hitting at this time is a 162 week cycle which is close to 3 years. For you Tesla fans
162 = ( 3 * 6  * 9 ).



The 9 month cycle



The above chart shows the 9 month or 39 week cycle (blue vertical lines). It was due and appears to have formed in late January. The 20 week cycle was added as well (red vertical lines). Any green lines are a combination of the 20 and 40 week cycles.

From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”

Following are the significant earthquakes (> 6.0) so far in January 2018.
Jan 23             Alaska                         7.9
Jan 10             Honduras                    7.5
Jan 14             Peru                            7.1
Jan 19             Mexico                        6.3
Jan 21             Chile                            6.3
Jan 25             Russia                         6.2

Feb 16             Mexico                        7.2
Feb 25             Papua New Guinea    7.5

Mar 6               Papua New Guinea    6.7
Mar 8               Papua New Guinea    6.8
Mar 24             Papua New Guinea    6.3
Mar 24             Southeast Indian Ridge 6.3
Mar 25             Indonesia                     6.4
Mar 26             Papua New Guinea    6.6
Mar 29             Papua New Guinea    6.9

Apr 2               Bolivia                         6.8
Apr 7               Papua New Guinea    6.3
Apr 10             Chile                            6.2
Apr 19             Prince Edward Island 6.0

May 5              Tajikistan                     6.2
May 5              Papua New Guinea    6.0
There’s more

There has been a number of volcano’s erupting as well. Japan and Hawaii.

On a longer term basis the following monthly chart of the DJIA  shows the 15 year cycle (red vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle (blue lines). The 15 year is due now, the 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer term cycle possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.



The following daily chart of the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the centered 
20 week envelope channel. Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the Sun / Neptune square which is often a short term change in trend.


We have had this noted it was due for a sell.  Also so note the dark blue squares. They are the dates of the Mars square Uranus transit.



We are entering the difficult time mentioned over the last few months.

The envelope channel charts are easy to calculate. In the above case the blue lines are based on a 40 day average but when they are plotted they are centered. For a 40 day it will be shifted by 20 days which is the ½ cycle.

The red averages are based on the 20 week so they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle.

August 11th was the 3rd and last  Eclipse of the summer.

Gold

The Primary cycle in Gold has been difficult to ascertain. There was a Primary cycle trough on Dec 12, 2017 but determining the next Primary trough has been very difficult.

We may have seen a low on Aug 16th but it must be confirmed. This was 4 trading days after the Lunar Eclipse on Aug 11.

On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away from it’s more normal 18 week length. This looks like one of them. I’m looking for astrological aspects which have a history of changing the trend for Gold. Mars changing signs into Aquarius has a history of moves in Gold. This will be Sept 10.

Other signals that a move in Gold is imminent is Saturn turning Direct on Sept 6th  and Sept 7 when the Sun is in opposition to Neptune.

Seasonally Gold is usually flat over the early summer months with a history of moving up starting in August.




Price is below the 15 sma and below the 45 day sma., This pattern with a possible Primary trough on Aug 16 may point to a change in Gold price. Gold price often moves down 2 to 4 weeks after a new Primary cycle commences and then continues with a move up. We are currently 3 weeks along.



The following chart shows two daily envelope channels like the chart for the SP500 above. The blue squares are the Sun square Neptune which often results in a short term change in trend. We should be getting close to a buy.



The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue vertical lines). The next being Sept 17, 2018. The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.

The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving sideways and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The darker red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line was bearish now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive sign for a move up in Gold.

The small x’s on the chart show when heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold.

Looking at this whole chart it is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.



The following chart shows when Mars enters a new sign.(red squares).
. On September 11 Mars will re-enter Aquarius. On Nov 16 Mars moves into Pisces.
A turn is possible near either of these dates.



Crude

Oil appears we have put in Primary low on June 18th. We would be entering the 12th week of a new Primary cycle. With price action at both the 15 dau sma and 45 day sma’s I’m looking for a breakout from a short term pullback. Watch for support at the 45 sma and possible sharp move if support fails.

I’m leaning to June 18 being the trough of the Primary Cycle. This was also the date Neptune turned retrograde. Neptune and Jupiter rule crude. August 19 had Jupiter trine Neptune, both co-rule crude. In addition, Mercury changes to direct motion, another sign of change.

There are many issues with Crude. The new Shanghai crude exchanged opened on March 26. This should have a negative effect of the Petrodollar (US Dollar) and possibly cause the US to lose it’s status as the world’s reserve currency. Watch this over the next few weeks / months. As Crude is sold in Yuan, purchasers are given the option to exchange Yuan to Gold. Yes there is a relatively new Gold exchange as well. They sell physical Gold rather than paper Gold as is often the case in the US. On Friday Crude was down as other commodities were also affected by the Euro moves.



Crude started up on June 18 when Neptune turned retrograde.

Note how price often follows the Sun price line up and often stops and reverses at the Pluto price line. We often get big range days. The next day would be Sept 11th. Currently crude price has bounced down to the Sun price line (green). If crude moves below 64.88 it could continue down. Crude is being affected by geopolitical events, and the economy.

Looking at the following chart there is a prominent Head and Shoulders pattern. This pattern is typically stronger when the right shoulder is lower. This is the sign of a top and down.



8 comments:

  1. Gold closed at 1193$. We have been waiting to buy like you mentioned in July. T+3 is already from Sep 11th,2018. But nothing changed.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Watch Gold on and after Sept 18. That is Mars square Uranus. Often puts in a low then up. None of these are 100%. I'm picking dates and time periods that have had a history with moves in the selected stock or commodity. In this case Gold.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi sir,

      S&P has pullback and should we go short now???

      Delete
    2. also there was mars square uranus on 2nd August amd May 16th but there were no gold rallies then?

      Delete
  3. I think the upcoming Venus retrograde station is more of a definite date. Also the date Mars moves out of the shadow zone is something to watch.

    ReplyDelete
  4. I would agree, they are potentially strong dates but they are a few weeks in the future.

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  5. Hey sir, s&p500 is still going up. What happens now? You sad a big move down?????

    ReplyDelete
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