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The last Primary cycle trough started on June 28, 2018 and may have completed it’s Primary cycle on Oct. 29, 2018. Please note we could have a secondary pull back so the Primary cycle trough is not firm yet. Markets should be volatile next week with the mid-term elections on Nov 6 and the FOMC meeting on Nov 8th.
If that was the Primary cycle low then we are in the first week of a new Primary.
If the current Primary takes out the Feb 9th low at 2532 we may be looking at a much larger drop. I’m bring this up as a possibility. I think the low is in.
Price is below the 15 day sma and the 45 day sma and the 15 day sma is below the 45 day sma. Both averages are pointed down. We are in a period of volatile congestion.
The recent move down was timing the 18-week Primary cycle and a 2 year cycle. The longer term cycles (2 year) can distort the smaller term cycles (18 week).
September 21 seems to be the crest of the current Primary cycle.
The following dates may have significant moves or start a move. When the Primary cycle trough is confirmed the later dates will not apply.
Nov 6 North Node enters Cancer
Uranus squares the North Node and enters Aries (backwards, it’s retrograde)
Experience of upsets when together with other people.
People advocating for reforms
Difficulty in unions od people.
Sun trine Neptune
Often marks a high then down
Weakness and illness.
Uncertain times, masses of water
Mid-term elections in the USA
Nov 7 Jupiter trine the North Node
Unexpected good acquaintance, fortunate unions
Nov 8 Jupiter enters Sagittarius
May involve the start of inflationary periods.
Nov 16 Venus Direct
As usual dates are a minimum +- 3 tds. On longer timed aspects a time frame will be included.
Nov 6 are the USA mid-term elections. We should be aware of actions by either political party which could affect the markets.
The following daily chart of the SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the basis of what we have been forecasting on.
Following is the 24 Harmonic chart we have shown for many months.
The next hits are Nov 13, 2018 and Jan. 2, 2019. The latter number is on the Uranus price line. Watch closely.
Both could be big moves or big range days.
The 9 month cycle
The above chart shows the 9 month or 39 week cycle (blue vertical lines). It was due and appears to have formed in late October. The 20 week cycle was added as well (red vertical lines). Any green lines are a combination of the 20 and 40 week cycles. The 20 week cycle was only 1 day away from the sharp move down.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”
See the link under “Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS.
There has been a number of volcano’s erupting as well. Japan and Hawaii.
On a longer term basis the following monthly chart of the DJIA shows the 15 year cycle (red vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle (blue lines). The 15 year is due now or took place April – June 2018. The 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.
We are entering the difficult time mentioned over the last few months.
The envelope channel charts are easy to calculate. In the above case the blue lines are based on a 40 day average but when they are plotted they are centered. For a 40 day it will be shifted by 20 days which is the ½ cycle.
The red averages are based on the 20 week so they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle.
Mercury moved out of Heliocentric Sagittarius on Oct 20th. This often results in sharp moves both up and down. In this case it is close to a short term high before going down.
The Primary cycle in Gold has been difficult to ascertain. There was a Primary cycle trough on Dec 12, 2017 but determining the next Primary trough has been very difficult.
We may have seen a low on Aug 16th but it must be confirmed. This was 4 trading days after the Lunar Eclipse on Aug 11.
We are now 52 td (trading days) from the potential Primary cycle low on Aug 16th. The sharp move up may be the beginning of the second 6 week cycle of the current Primary cycle. The Primary Cycle, which is 18 weeks (approx.) is often composed of 3, 6-week cycles.
On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away from it’s more normal 18 week length.
I’m looking for astrological aspects which have a history of changing the trend for Gold. Mars changing signs into Aquarius has a history of moves in Gold. So does Pluto Direct and Venus Retrograde / Direct. In addition Mercury into heliocentric Sagittarius has a history of moves in precious metals. Mercury enters helio Sagittarius on Oct 9th. The big move occurred on Oct 11.
Seasonally Gold is usually flat over the early summer months with a history of moving up starting in August.
Price is now just above the 15 sma and above the 45 day sma. Gold price often pulls back 2 to 4 weeks after a new Primary cycle commences and then continues with a move up. We are currently 11 weeks along.
The following chart shows two daily envelope channels like the chart for the SP500 above. The blue squares are the Sun square Neptune which often results in a short term change in trend. We should be getting close to a buy.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue vertical lines). The last being Oct 24, 2018. The next is Nov 20th.The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving sideways and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The darker red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line was bearish now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive sign for a move up in Gold which we got on Oct 11. Gold may follow the red, Mars price line up. Watch closely.
The small blue x’s on the chart show when heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold when Mercury exits heliocentric Sagittarius.
Looking at this whole chart it is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.
The following chart shows when Mars enters a new sign.(red squares). It often affects Gold.
Oil appears we have put in Primary low on June 18th. We are entering the 19th week of the Primary cycle. Crude pulled back from Oct 3. Crude may have difficulty moving up from here.
Price is now lower than the June 18, 2018 low of the Primary cycle. This can be very telling for crude. Watch this for a possible bear market starting in crude.
I’m looking to June 18 being the trough of the Primary Cycle. This was also the date Neptune turned retrograde. Neptune and Jupiter rule crude. August 19 had Jupiter trine Neptune, both co-rule crude. In addition, Mercury changes to direct motion, another sign of change.
Looking at Oct 5th was the 16 and 24 week cycles conjunct. This may have indicated a move down in crude.
Crude started up on June 18 when Neptune turned retrograde.
On the next chart note how price often follows the Sun price line up (green line) and often stops and reverses at the Sun price line or the Pluto price line. We often get big range days. The red vertical lines are the 40 cd (calendar day) lines.
Watch the green Sun price line and see if crude follows that price line up.