Friday, March 29, 2019

Financial Astrology - April 1, 2019


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Summary

SP500.
This follows along from 2 weeks ago. The low did come in on March 8. The local high was
March 21 but there wasn’t much of a change in trend there. We are in the 13 week of the Primary cycle.

On further review the 4 year low may have been Feb 19, 2018 or December 24, 2018 or it is still forming.

The change is due to a chart I saw some time ago. I believe this was from Bill Meridian. It shows a Mars, Vesta conjunction approximately every 3.9 years.



This does look like the Primary cycle low (18 week) on Dec 24, 2018.

Volatility should continue and in April 2019 in particular. Longer term I’m expecting bigger moves and changes from 2020 through 2023.

Jupiter square Neptune which we have mentioned numerous times may be the real problem as these planets in aspect can be quite inflationary. There are also large debt problems in many countries, companies and individuals. One of the reasons I’m looking at Gold here is Inflation coupled with the above debt problems. This may be pointing to serious financial problems late 2019 or 2020.

Gold From last week. “When the pullback is complete, I’m looking for Gold to move up into mid-March”. The move up into mid-March was complete. Then we were looking for a sharp move down which we got. We may see a move in precious or currencies with heliocentric Mercury entering Sagittarius.
We are in week 19th week of the Primary cycle.

Crude's  Crude started up on Dec 24. This should be the Primary cycle trough and we are entering the 13th week of the Primary cycle. . I was looking for a move down in Crude but with Jupiter and Pluto active it may move up. The US is looking for a drop in pricing.
We may see some geophysical activity or some type of aggression in April. We will fine tune any forecasts as we approach each week.

SP500
The Primary cycle trough was on Dec 24th 2018. We are currently entering the 13th week of a new Primary cycle. This is also 55 Fib along. The Primary cycle is approx.18 weeks and is typically composed of 3- 6 week sub-cycles or 2-9 week sub-cycles. This Primary cycle put in a Primary top on March 4th in the 9th week.

The Price moving averages, the 15 day sma is just under price and above the 45 day sma which is turning up. Notice price hit resistance at the 200 day sma.

The 15 day sma is red, the 45 day sma is blue and the light blue is the 200 day sma. Also note price just touched the Fibonacci retracement at 78.6%. Note; the normal Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0 %, and 61.8%.

One can also use extended retracements which typically use the square roots of one of the above. So, I also use SqrRoot(61.8) = 78.6  and SqrRoot(78.6) = 88.6

Note the recent high on Feb 25, 2019 then Mar 4, 2019. The highs were stopped at the 78.6% retracement. Watch this early in the week.



The month of April looks more volatile with the potential for 3 changes in trend. April has 3 planets going retrograde. These are Jupiter, Pluto and Saturn. There are also a number of aspects involving the South Node of the Moon. It should be noted these are 3 large, slower moving planets. It will take a number of days around the exact date to complete the planet moving retrograde.



Jupiter square Neptune will be with us for most of the year. Due to retrograde motion Jupiter will square Neptune 3 times. This combination can point to an increase in spending, inflation, currencies and potential debt problems and bankruptcies. This could be on and off all year. Neptune alone is about illusion and delusion. Jupiter can be very favorable but tends to overdoing things.

When looking at any Astro analysis for 2019 we should remember the effect of Jupiter square Neptune and Saturn conjunct Pluto. These aspects will be with us all year and beyond.

There are 3 slow moving planets turning retrograde this month as follows. This often results in more volatile markets. These are slow moving planets. There effect is over a long period of time.
Jupiter and Saturn are the business planets so there retrograde periods may have more of an effect in the financial markets.

April 10               Jupiter Retrograde
                        Jupiter is at 24 degrees Sagittarius and the 3rd Decan which is the Sun.
                        Jupiter is the ruler of Sagittarius and is in a strong position here
                        Jupiter is a business planet, that is finance, commerce and is the planet of                         capitalism.
                        Jupiter also rules the law, the courts, religion, the Clergy and high courts. The                         justice system.
                        Watch for favorable outcomes in the business world. Watch for issues to arrive                         that deal with finance, debt and banks. These could signal a positive change or a                                   negative one.
                        I am looking at the early to mid April to be the time for a move up in the SP500.

April 24            Pluto Retrograde
                        Pluto is at 23 degrees of Capricorn. Pluto is in the 3rd decan which is                                                     Mercury. Watch for issues with short term communication and transportation.
                        Pluto is about change. This is sometimes radical. One should not fight a Pluto                         transit. The word is “go with the flow”. Pluto is power, influence and as far as                         threats. What is coming is a very powerful force that changes things that will not                                   be changed back.
                        This aspect, Saturn conjunct Pluto, will be exact in January 2020. I expect big                          market trouble around that dates
                        With Mercury being the ruler of the 3rd Decan may emphasize commerce, short                          term trading verses long term investments.

April 29          Saturn Retrograde
                        Early in the month Saturn will enter the 3rd Decan of Capricorn on April 4th.                          Mercury.
                        Saturn is another business planet.  Here it is at 20 degrees in Capricorn.  Saturn                          and business can be restrictive. Saturn tends to contraction, cautiousness and                          measures of protection.
                        If the market is low late in April or early May it may be the time to buy.
                        Saturn is about conservatism. Saturn riles farms and farming, mines and                          industries connected to metals and minerals. Also rules over life threatening                          epidemics, state funerals, public sorrow and disappointments.
                         In addition to the Jupiter Retro there are two other dates close to the Jupiter                          Retro

Other pertinent Astro aspects.

April 14                 Sun trine Jupiter
                               Possible powerful cycle. This may point to a crest.

April 15                 Venus square Jupiter.
                              Looking for a positive cycle high.

Any of those dates could mark a move in the index.

Two days that may be difficult are:

April 4                   Pluto conjunct the South Node

April 30                 Saturn conjunct the South Node.

All dates +- 3 td’s (trading days)

See the Bradley Indicator at the end of this section.
If the current volatility continues watch for a cycle turn during the next 2 weeks. Remember I was looking for Gold and Silver to move up near March 21 +- 2tds.

The following daily chart of the SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the basis of what we have been forecasting on.

Following is the 24 Harmonic chart we have shown for many months.

The Jan 2 date was a big range day. It is trying to move through the Jupiter Price line (blue)



The next hits are April 10, 2019 and May 24th.

From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”

See the link under “Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS. Geophysical activity has been picking up.

There has been a number of volcano’s erupting as well. Japan, Hawaii, Philippines, others.

On a longer term basis the following monthly chart of the DJIA  shows the 15 year cycle (red vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle (blue lines). The 15 year is due now or took place April – June 2018. The 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.



Although we do not have enough data the 45 year cycle pointing to Sept 2022 this could also be the 90 year cycle. We do not have enough data to make the 90 year call. For a 90 year cycle I’m looking at the years 1842 – 1932 and then 2022.

The following daily chart of the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the centered 
20 week envelope channel. Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the Sun / Neptune square which is often a short term change in trend.

We have had this noted it was due for a sell.  Also note the dark blue squares. They are the dates of the Mars square Uranus transit.



The red averages are based on the 20 week so they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle.

I brought up Iran on the last couple of posts. I’ll come back to those charts on any potential signs of conflict. It is getting close. Watch the news for problems with Iran.


Other

Other cycles and Astrological events are the 20 year cycle and heliocentric Jupiter in Sagittarius.

The vertical black lines are the 20 year cycle. Note the lows. It is due again near March 2022 but it needs a wide orb.

The blue x’s show when heliocentric Jupiter is in Sagittarius. This, most often, has the market moving up. The next chart shows both these items. The aspect Heliocentric Jupiter in Sagittarius came from MMA. And timing solutions.



Another cycle which will be coming up is the 65 week in the DJIA.



2019 Eclipses

See the previous blog post for more details on the eclipses. More on the July eclipse in a couple of weeks.

Date                Eclipse                                   Saros Cycle               Sign

Jan 6, 2019     Solar Partial                            122                              15Cp25
Jan 21, 2019   Total Lunar                              134                              00Le51
July 2, 2019     Solar Total                               127                              10Cn37
July 16, 2019  Partial Lunar                           139                              24Cp4
Dec 26, 2019  Solar Annular                          132                              4Cp6

The Bradley Indicator
This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market Prediction".
On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called "the Bradley". The

Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points (where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.

It does not forecast or anticipate whether that turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.
It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered) but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.

In Bradley's own words:
"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock averages"

So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are trend changes?
- a rising market changes to a falling market
- a rising market changes to sideways
- a sideways market starts going up
- a sideways market starts going down
- a market going down changes to a rising market
- a falling market starts going sideways

The red line is the Bradley Indicator.




Gold

The move up into mid-March is complete. The pullback is underway then another rise in Gold/Silver over the next few weeks. Watch the 38.2% Fibonacci level on the Gold chart.

On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away from it’s more normal of 18 week length. It is possible that March 6 was the Primary cycle trough. This would make the following weeks more positive.

Note the blue Fibonacci retracement grid. I’m looking to put sell stops at the 50% and 61.8% levels.

Use the dates detailed for the SP500 for Gold as well.



The following chart shows two daily envelope channels. The vertical red lines are a 20 day cycle.



The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue vertical lines). The last being
Feb 22, 2019. The next is March 21, 2019.

The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.

The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving up and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The darker red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line was bearish now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive sign for a move up in Gold. Gold may follow the red, Mars price line up. Watch closely.

The small blue x’s on the chart show when heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold when Mercury enters heliocentric Sagittarius.

Looking at this whole chart it is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.



Watch the same dates as noted above, 3 Retros etc.
The following chart shows when Mars enters a new sign (red squares). It often affects Gold. Mars is in Aries and changes signs into Taurus on Feb 14, 2019. Note the sharp move up.
Watch for geophysical activity around this timeframe. The next change in sign for Gold is March 29, 2019.



Crude

Oil is recovering from a strong move down and now 13 weeks up.. The low on Dec 24 was the Primary cycle low and may turn out to be a larger cycle low.

Price has broken through the 15 day sma. and 45 day sma..

The USA has asked that crude prices be reduced.

Watch the Fibonacci retracement levels for turning points.


Beyond affecting crude these two planets have to do with illusions and delusions.



This puts us entering week 13 of the Primary cycle.

On the next chart note how price often follows the Sun price line up (green line) and often stops and reverses at the Sun price line or the Pluto price line (blue). We often get big range days.  The red vertical lines are the 40 cd (calendar day) lines. Crude price often bounce on a Pluto price line (blue) as well.

Watch the green Sun price line and see if crude follows that price line up and look for a potential turn down near the 40 day cycle.





8 comments:

  1. There are a number. Look at the bolded dates.
    I'll finish tomorrow afternoon.

    ReplyDelete
  2. S&P500 looks like to break the recent top. OMG.

    ReplyDelete
  3. May see a rise for the next few days then down in the SP500.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hi Sir. The rise will be the Primary circle top or what are you expecting in few weeks?

    ReplyDelete
  5. Yes I'm thinking this is headed for the Primary cycle crest. It may be over this week but I'm in until Thursday anyway.
    Gold is headed down. I'm looking for a bottom in Gold next week. Watch April 10 for a turn in crude.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Yeah sir. Because i am holding too may short order from 2820-2860. I am so scared of it

    ReplyDelete
  7. Hi Sir, when you are going to do a forecast for Bitcoin? It's going up again and I'm sure lots of readers are interested in it?

    ReplyDelete