Saturday, June 15, 2019

Financial Astrology - June 17, 2019



Our posts are now reported on the highly regarded FXStreet.com.

Summary

SP500
We are entering the 2nd week of a new Primary cycle which started on June 3, 2019. The Primary is not yet confirmed.

The previous Primary started on Dec 24, 2018. This was getting late in the Primary cycle. We made a crest for this Primary cycle on May 1, 2019 and have since moved down. The May 31, 2019 low was below the 200 day simple moving average. The new Primary cycle, starting on June 3 needs some testing to verify.

The normal range for the Primary circle is 15 – 21 weeks which would be Sept 9 – Oct 28 2019. We may see increased volatility. June has the potential to be very volatile where money can be made quickly and lost just as fast. Longer term I’m expecting bigger moves and changes from 2020 through 2023.

Jupiter square Neptune which we have mentioned numerous times may be the real problem as these planets in aspect can be quite inflationary. This is magnified with Jupiter in Sagittarius and Neptune in Pisces, both in the sign that they rule. There are also large debt problems in many countries, companies and individuals. One of the reasons I’m looking at Gold here is Inflation coupled with the above debt problems. This may be pointing to serious financial problems late 2019 or early on 2020.

This square was exact on Jan 13, 2019 and coming up June 16, 2019 then Sept 21, 2019. Will this square continue to be a delusion / illusion or another case of, “Irrational Exuberance”?

The markets should change as we move into June and approach the Jupiter / Neptune square on June 16. Note the other aspects dates below in the SP500 section. Jupiter rules the court system, judges, senators, big business, foreign relations, inflation and higher education. This would be a good example if the courts get involved in the Democrat impeachment charges.

June 16 +- 3 td’s could be an important day for the markets. This is a weekend so look to
June 14 and June 17 and June 21. Each one is +- 3tds. This could be a very eventful period.

July 2 should also be important +- 7 tds. It’s a Total Solar Eclipse

What may have a direct effect on the markets are the FED and the G20 meetings. It is probable the FED will cut rates a number of times this year but not the June meeting.

I’m watching moves in the SP500 closely. A move above 2952 would be bullish. I’m looking for the SP500 to roll over here possibly due to inaccurate information or lies.

Gold We either put the low in on April 23 or we may have put in the trough on May 2. We came back to this general area again on May 21. This would be a triple bottom for Gold. Unusual, but not unusual when Neptune is active. There was a big bullish move on May 31. If May 21 was the Primary cycle trough then we may be seeing the 3rd week of a new Primary cycle in Gold. Bullish. Remember at the start of a Primary cycle we often get a pullback 2 to 3 weeks along but then continues up.

I’m still holding some Gold.

Crude's Crude started up on Dec 24, 2018. We are either entering the 24th week of the Primary cycle or we started a new Primary cycle on June 5 and we are 7 days along.
Watch next week we may have more room to move down,

From last week:
“We should be headed down but watch for this to reverse into a Primary cycle bottom. Watch for OPEC moves”.

We may have  the Primary Cycle crude oil trough on June 5. This needs more confirmation.

SP500
The Primary cycle trough was on Dec 24th 2018. We may currently be entering a new Primary cycle starting on June 3, 2019.  

I’m looking at this as a Primary cycle trough and going up in a new Primary. The new Primary started on June 3 and we are 2 weeks (9 days along). It briefly broke through the 200 day simple moving average. Remember the Jupiter square Neptune where lies are covered up and general untruths are spoken.

The Primary cycle is approx.18 weeks and is typically composed of 3- 6 week sub-cycles or 2-9 week sub-cycles or a combo of both.

The 15 day sma is red, the 45 day sma is blue and the light blue is the 200 day sma. Note; the normal Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0 %, and 61.8%.

One can also use extended retracements which typically use the square roots of one of the above. So, I also use SqrRoot(61.8) = 78.6  and SqrRoot(78.6) = 88.6.

The green vertical lines are a 27 CD (calendar day) cycle next due June 14, 2019.



The above daily chart shows upcoming medium term cycles at the bottom of the chart.

Light blue is the 40-week
Red is the 20-week
Light green 10-week
Brown is the 5 week

Jupiter square Neptune will be with us for most of the year. Due to retrograde motion Jupiter will square Neptune 3 times. This combination can point to an increase in spending, inflation, currencies and potential debt problems and bankruptcies. This could be on and off all year. Neptune alone is about illusion and delusion. Jupiter can be very favorable but can tend to overdoing things. Jupiter in Sagittarius should emphasize banks, judge’s, barristers and the courts in general. This would also cover major institutions like universities. Both Jupiter and Neptune are in the signs they rule making them more natural and powerful. Together they may have the astrology of “Irrational Exuberance”.

Whenever we get longer term aspects we should look at other planets in transit that may hit the longer term aspect.

In this case we have:

June 14           Mars trine Neptune and Mars opposition Saturn
                        These do not have a history of big moves
                       
June 16          Is the next Jupiter square Neptune and Mercury trine Neptune
                        Jupiter in Sagittarius can emphasize trade and not just the USA.  It can                                         emphasize the positive aspects of Jupiter square Neptune that is a liberating,                   positive energy which can effect trade and other aspects of life.

June 18          Saturn sextile Neptune.
                        Habits, chronic ill health. Gas poisoning and diseases of the lungs. A nations                                health.

June 21          Neptune retrograde
                        It is not unusual that Neptune retrograde will result in a basing pattern with                                    double or triple bottoms instead of a V bottom. Look at the triple bottom forming                            in the SP500 and Gold.

June 23          Venus opposition Jupiter
                        This and Venus square Neptune below should emphasize the Jupiter / Neptune                            square.
June 24          Venus square Neptune.
                        More illusion

July 2              Solar Eclipse
                        Mars conjunct Vulcanus . This could be a violent time. Literally there                                                            could be a volcanic eruption.


The above list of aspects should make for one of the most volatile time periods of the year.

When looking at any Astro analysis for 2019 we should remember the effect of Jupiter square Neptune and Saturn conjunct Pluto. These aspects will be with us all year and beyond.

All dates +- 3 td’s (trading days) at a minimum.

See the Bradley Indicator at the end of this section.

If the current volatility continues watch for a cycle turn. We may be seeing a distorted Primary cycle.

The following daily chart of the SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the basis of what we have been forecasting on.

Following is the 24 Harmonic chart we have shown for many months.

The Jan 2 date was a big range day. It is trying to move through the Jupiter Price line (blue)



The next hits are July 9, 2019 then Aug 22, 2019.

From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos. Late June through early July may see more geophysical activity.

See the link under “Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS. Geophysical activity has been picking up.

On a longer term basis the following monthly chart of the DJIA  shows the 15 year cycle (red vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle (blue lines). The 15 year is due now or took place April – June 2018. The 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.



Although we do not have enough data the 45 year cycle is pointing to Sept 2022 this could also be the 90 year cycle. We do not have enough data to make the 90 year call. For a 90 year cycle I’m looking at the years 1842 – 1932 and then 2022.

The following daily chart of the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the centered 
20 week envelope channel. Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the Sun / Neptune square which is often a short-term change in trend.
Next hit June 9, 2019.

We have had this noted it was due for a sell.  Also note the mauve squares. They are the dates of the Mars square Uranus transit. Next up July 11, 2019.



The red averages are based on the 20 week so they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle. This is known as a centered moving average.

I brought up Iran on the last couple of posts. Iran may be active starting today if they were responsible for the attack of the crude ship
Watch for news from India and Pakistan as well.



2019 Eclipse

See the previous blog post for more details on the eclipses. More on the July eclipse in a couple of weeks.

Date                Eclipse                                   Saros Cycle               Sign

July 2, 2019     Solar Total                               127                              10Cn37




The Bradley Indicator
This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market Prediction".
On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called "the Bradley". The

Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points (where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.

It does not forecast or anticipate whether that turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.
It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered) but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.

In Bradley's own words:
"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock averages"

So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are trend changes?
- a rising market changes to a falling market
- a rising market changes to sideways
- a sideways market starts going up
- a sideways market starts going down
- a market going down changes to a rising market
- a falling market starts going sideways

The red line is the Bradley Indicator. Note the May 17, 2019 date. Price reversed along with the Bradley Indicator. There is another turn possible on June 17th.



There was a question about Neptune retrograde as follows.
June 21 Neptune retrograde
It is not unusual that Neptune retrograde will result in a basing pattern with double or triple bottoms instead of a V bottom forming in the SP500 and Gold

Here’s examples of V bottom and a double or triple bottom.



Gold

Gold found support at 1273, in fact it found support here 3 times. We are now moving up and Gold should be in the 4th week of a new Primary cycle which started om May 22. Like any new Primary cycle there may be a pullback in the 2nd or 3rd week.

On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away from it’s more normal length of 18 weeks. The Sun conjunct Uranus on April 22 was very volatile and affect precious metals, Gold and Silver.

I’ve had a bullish view but the US$ has to retreat. Bitcoin has been on the rise



The following chart shows two daily envelope channels. The vertical red lines are a 20 day cycle.



The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue vertical lines). The last being
May 14. The next is June 10, 2019.

The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.

The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving up and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The darker red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line was bearish now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive sign for a move up in Gold. Gold may follow the red, Mars price line up. Watch closely.

The small blue x’s on the chart show when heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold when Mercury enters heliocentric Sagittarius.

Looking at this whole chart it is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.



The following chart shows when Mars enters a new sign (red squares). It often affects Gold. Mars is in Cancer and changes signs into Leo on July 1, 2019. The same day a Uranian point Vulcanus conjuncts Mars. Could be a war like signature.

Watch July 1 for a change in trend.
Watch for geophysical activity around this timeframe.
The next will be Mars entering Leo on July 1, 2019. The next day is the Total Solar Eclipse.



Crude

Thursday and Friday, May 30 and May 31 were big down days for crude.

Oil is recovering from a strong move down and may have reached the trough of the Primary cycle on June 5, 2019. Since putting in a high on April 23 ,2019 crude has started down. The low on Dec 24 was the Primary cycle low and may turn out to be a larger cycle low.

I’m expecting crude to go lower. Notice price broke through the 45 day sma and the
15 day sma. Beyond any technical Iran may have shot at a large crude boat. Any shortages or perceived shortages could push the price of crude up.

We need more confirmation of this being a new Primary cycle.

I am expecting crude and possibly marijuana stocks to be affected by the forming Jupiter / Neptune square.

Jupiter and Neptune are the co-rulers of Crude. Price has fallen back for a couple of days.

Beyond affecting crude these two planets have to do with illusions and delusions. Thus marijuana stocks.



This puts us entering week 24 of the Primary cycle or we have just started a new Primary cycle on June 5 and we are in the second week.

On the next chart note how price often follows the Sun price line up (green line) and often stops and reverses at the Sun price line or the Pluto price line (blue). We often get big range days.  The red vertical lines are the 40 cd (calendar day) lines. Crude price often bounce on a Pluto price line (blue) as well.

Watch the green Sun price line and see if crude follows that price line up and look for a potential turn down near the 40 day cycle like April 25th.



16 comments:

  1. Hi sir.

    To sum up, what are looking for at S&P500 and Gold? We are so confusing in your post. You’re looking for a bottom or a top of each aspect.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Yes, agreed. Gord, would you please clarify if you are expecting the S&P to turn down or continue to trade up this coming week. Also mid to end July and though August is being considered by some astrologers as a very negative period for the financial markets.

    ReplyDelete
  3. From the last post
    SP500
    “I’m watching moves in the SP500 closely. A move above 2952 would be bullish. I’m looking for the SP500 to roll over here possibly due to inaccurate information or lies. “

    Gold
    “If May 21 was the Primary cycle trough then we may be seeing the 3rd week of a new Primary cycle in Gold. Bullish. Remember at the start of a Primary cycle we often get a pullback 2 to 3 weeks along but then continues up.”

    ReplyDelete
  4. Why do you wait s&p500 over 2952 then bullish. So that we missed potential price to buy. How about gold? Tomorrow, Fed has conference

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If you look at a chart for the SP500 you will see the 2952 area has been resistance. You should look at some other trading sites.

      Delete
  5. Holding what I have. Not buying more presently. I'm now waiting for Neptune retrograde to see it's effect on Gold.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. What are you looking for the effect on gold?

      Delete
    2. I'm looking at statistics based on the previous times Neptune turned retrograde.

      Delete
    3. Gold is gonna be a top. What are you looking for at Gold chart next week? A significantly move down?

      Delete
  6. In one of your earlier posts, you were expecting firework in the month of June which did not materialize. Merrimann's forecast of a huge dip from June 9 - 24th also did not materialize. Currently, the the stock markets seem to be following the "unpredictable" bradley indicator which was a dud the past couple of years.

    ReplyDelete
  7. I'm still looking at fireworks between now and the first week in July. Bradley shows the change in trend.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Thank you sir. Your analysis is uncannily spot on. Given that S&P is stalling around the high resistance area of 2554, do you consider this bearish? Certainly the surge of the last 100 points or so has been strong.

    ReplyDelete
  9. I'm looking for a move down into September. It may be a slow move with some volatility. I'm watching closely.

    ReplyDelete

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.