Summary
We are entering the summer period where interest and action in the
markets and financials in general usually dissipates somewhat. We will continue
with the weekly blog posts but the posts will be shorter than usual with a
couple of weekends off. I will get back to a normal post in late August. Also,
I cancelled the comments section due to foul language.
The biggest astrological event was the Solar eclipse and the aspects around
it, on July 2, 2019. Solar eclipses often coincide with
significant earthquakes. In this case there were significant earthquakes in
California and west coast of Canada. The following dates are all +- 3 td’s.
July 15 Saturn parallel Pluto
If the planets are both North or both
South of the ecliptic, the parallel aspect is read
as a conjunction. If they are the same declination but one is North and one is South, then the
contra-parallel is read as a 180 degree opposition.
Saturn is the planet of
security, protectionism, tradition, convention, conservative (rear vision)
thinking, economy, cost cutting, lower prices, business slowdowns, recession,
poverty, farmers, mining, coal, the weather, storms, floods, droughts, disease,
fear, suffering and me-first.
Pluto is the planet of
drastic situations, cooperation, coercion, groups, gangs, crowds, mobs, human
rights groups, human welfare workers, dictators, criminals, crime networks,
insidious crimes, subtle cunning, inversion and misinformation.
Volatility of world events continues with Iran lining up against the US and
the UK.
There will be a number of aspects involving Venus From July 16 through
the end of the month. Among other things aspects to Venus may involve a
countries currency.
Following is the Sagittarius Rising astrological chart for the U.S. There
are a number of charts.In the third house we have transiting Neptune conjunct
the Uranian point Vulcanus Very
explosive. When we look for changes in trend we find Mercury turning Direct on July 31. This should indicate a change in trend
centered around the Mercury date. +- 3 tds. Mercury will turn direct in Cancer,
a cardinal Water sign. Mercury turning direct will arrive July 31 the same date
as the FED rate decision.
Neptune is about
spirituality, weakness, illusion, healing, hospitals and medical care. Legal
and illegal drugs, chemicals, poisons, scandal, corruption, fraud and
confusion. Film glamour, photography, left-wing politics, socialism, communism,
the oceans, oil and gas, and prisons and hidden things.
Vulcanus rules great power
and potential. Mars - Vulcanus rules great aggression. In the nineties there
was a computer networking boom. With Neptune we may see an increase of war like
activity. Vulcanus is a Uranian point.
We may get another war but I'm looking at September 9, 2020 and beyond for a major war effort. That day Mars turns retrograde while squaring the conjunction of Saturn / Pluto.
We may get another war but I'm looking at September 9, 2020 and beyond for a major war effort. That day Mars turns retrograde while squaring the conjunction of Saturn / Pluto.
SP500
We are entering the 7th
week of a new Primary cycle which started on June 3, 2019. In the current
situation I am looking for a crest of the 6 week cycle and then a move down to
the either the 6 week or 9 week cycle trough. It appears the move down to a
trough has begun.
If the SP500 has not started down by July 22 I will sit
and watch for awhile.
The Sun will change signs into
Leo on July 22 which often triggers a change in trend.
Jupiter square Neptune which we have mentioned numerous times may
be the real problem as these planets in aspect can be quite inflationary. This
may be pointing to serious financial
problems late 2019 or early on 2020.
The Jupiter / Neptune square is
still in scope and the effects are still being felt. The Saturn / Pluto
conjunction is also still in orb. Both will come back to exact conjunction.
Gold
Gold is in the 7th week of the new 18 week Primary cycle. This would
be another reason for Gold to go down here and is past due for a 6 week cycle although
it could have put in a trough around July 3rd. This could go to a 9
week cycle trough (approx., 2 weeks).
The Sun waxing square Uranus can indicate a forming trough often 5 tds
after the exact square.This exact square is on July 29, 2019.
Crude's Crude
started up on Dec 24, 2018. We are entering
the 7th week of the Primary
cycle.
We may have had the Primary
Cycle trough for crude oil on June 5. This needs more confirmation.
Crude may be quite volatile over the summer months and into the late summer
(i.e. Sept 21, 2019).
Obviously the price
of crude will go up if relations with Iran worsen..
SP500
We are currently entering a new
Primary cycle starting on June 3, 2019. We are 7 weeks along.
I’m looking at this as a Primary cycle trough and going up in a new
Primary. The new Primary started on June
3 and we are 7 weeks along. Remember the Jupiter square Neptune where
lies are covered up and general untruths are spoken. It is still in orb.
The Primary cycle is approx.18 weeks and is typically composed of 3- 6 week sub-cycles or 2-9 week sub-cycles or a combo of both.
The 15 day sma is red, the 45
day sma is blue and the light blue is the 200 day sma. Note; the normal
Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0 %, and 61.8%.
One can also use extended
retracements which typically use the square roots of one of the above. So, I
also use SqrRoot(61.8) = 78.6 and SqrRoot(78.6) = 88.6.
The green vertical lines are a 27 CD (calendar day) cycle next due Aug 7, 2019.
The above daily chart shows
upcoming medium term cycles at the bottom of the chart.
Light blue is the 40-week
Red is the 20-week
Light green 10-week
Brown is the 5 week
The coming week may be very volatile.
Whenever we get longer term
aspects we should look at other planets in transit that may hit the longer term
aspect.
When looking at any Astro analysis for 2019 we
should remember the effect of Jupiter
square Neptune and Saturn conjunct Pluto. These aspects will be with us all
year and beyond.
All dates +- 3 td’s (trading days) at a minimum.
From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an
increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.” “Late June through early July may see more
geophysical activity.”
See the link under
“Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS. Geophysical activity has
been picking up.
We may be seeing a war develop
but if so, I would expect war like activity in the fall.
Although we do not have enough data the 45 year cycle is pointing to Sept
2022 this could also be the 90 year cycle. We do not have enough data to make
the 90 year call. For a 90 year cycle
I’m looking at the years 1842 – 1932 and then 2022.
The following daily chart of
the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the
centered
20 week envelope channel.
Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel.
The blue squares are the dates
of the Mars square Uranus transit. Next up July
11, 2019.
The red averages are based on the 20 week so
they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle. This is known as a centered moving
average.
I brought up Iran on the last
couple of posts. Iran may be active. Watch the period around July 13, 2019 and
forward for problems with Iran. July 13 has transiting Hades conjunct natal
Vulcanus in Iran;s chart. If there is
going to be a war I would look to the fall of 2019 or early 2020.
Watch for news from India and
Pakistan as well.
The Bradley
Indicator
This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer
Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market
Prediction".
On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and
inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called
"the Bradley". The
Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points
(where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or
SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.
It does not forecast or anticipate whether that
turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn
up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not
important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.
It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who
had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked
with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked
so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it
goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for
months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered)
but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.
In Bradley's own words:
"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a
siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually
do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective
attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock
averages"
So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are
trend changes?
- a rising market changes to a falling market
- a rising market changes to sideways
- a sideways market starts going up
- a sideways market starts going down
- a market going down changes to a rising market
- a falling market starts going sideways
The indicator is pointing to a change in trend for the
SP500.
Gold
Gold found support at 1273, in
fact it found support there 3 times. We have now moved up and Gold should be in
the 7th week of a new Primary cycle which started on May 22. Like
any new Primary cycle there may be a pullback in the 2nd or 3rd
week. I’m also looking for the 7 week cycle trough although it could wait for
the 9 week cycle trough.
I’ve had a bullish view but the US$ has to
retreat. Bitcoin has been on the rise
The following chart shows two
daily envelope channels. The vertical red lines are a 20 day cycle.
The following chart shows when
Mars enters a new sign (red squares). It often affects Gold. Mars changes signs into Virgo.
Watch August 16, 2019 for
a change in trend.
Watch for geophysical activity
around this timeframe.
Crude
With the problems involving Iran
and crude, transport prices may be going up.
I’m expecting crude to go up if
problems persist between Iran and the US. Notice price broke through the 15 and
45 day sma headed down.
We need more confirmation of
this being a new Primary cycle.
I am expecting crude and
possibly marijuana stocks to be affected by the Jupiter / Neptune square.
Jupiter and Neptune are the co-rulers of Crude.
Beyond affecting crude these two
planets have to do with illusions and delusions. Thus marijuana stocks.
This puts us entering week 7 of a new Primary cycle.
Following is a chart for crude
with the 17 month crude cycle shown as the red vertical lines. The next 17
month cycle date is May 11, 2020
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