- Our first half 2016 forecast dates are available
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
Our posts are now reported on the highly regarded FXStreet.com.
The next 1/2 year Forecast Dates (July - December 2016) are available.
SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise Feb 11 was the Primary cycle trough. 1
that started on Aug
24th. Feb 11th was a slightly
lower low than Jan 20th low. Jan 20th was the low for a number of other
indices. Feb 11th started a new nominal
18 week cycle in the SP500 and we are entering the 19th week. The nominal 6 week, there are often 3, 6 week cycles in
the nominal 18 week cycle. The range is 5 to 7 weeks.
Another possibility is May 19th was a short (14 week) trough for the nominal 18 week cycle
and we are now entering the 4th week
of a Primary cycle that started on May 19th. We had noted May 19th as being
important as it was a day for the 24 harmonic between the Sun and Saturn (chart
further down) we have been following.
We'll treat this as 19th week of an older cycle but may
change on quick notice. Subscribers will receive an ALERT if the Primary cycle
is changed. If this is the older Primary which started Feb 11 and now in the 19th
week I would like to see it come down
lower than the May 19th low at 2025.91.
If you review the 1st half Forecast dates that were completed in November 2015 you will find the
June 13 date as a CIT (Change In Trend). Also if you look at page 3 of the March 2016 Subscriber Report you will see the first mention of June 13 +- 3 weeks as a cycle low.
Currently June 8th looks like the Primary cycle top. If so then we can look
for a 2 to 5 week decline. We are going into the 2nd week from June 8th so a
low is expected in the next 3 weeks. With the Astros ahead I'm looking for the
low to complete before July 8th..
Notice that price is now below the
15 and 45 day sma. The 15 day is higher than the 45 day sma's but curling over. Also
note price was below the 15 and 45 day sma at the May 19th low and the 15 day
sma was lower than the 45 day.
There are some important events
coming up.
June 23 BREXIT (maybe)
On the Astrology front this coming
week has powerful aspects on June 20th.
They are:
Jupiter conjunct the North Node
Venus quintile the North Node and
Venus quintile Jupiter
Mercury opposition Saturn and
Mercury squared Pluto.
It's quite possible the Mercury
aspects just mentioned set off the Saturn / Neptune square which was exact on
June 17th. This is the 36 year aspect we have been mentioning. The last time it was in the late 70's / early 80's. The issues back then were high interest
rates and a lack crude with high prices. The same aspect 36 years later is
affecting interest rates and crude once again only this time reversed with low
crude prices, an abundance of crude, and low interest rates.
Saturn square Neptune
-in the middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year
Saturn is about social order, structure and regulations. Neptune can be politically unrealistic and a desire to
avoid confrontation. It can be devious, underhanded and use subversive tactics.
This aspect is often present near times when there is a
change in trend for interest rates or inflation. It can also be a period of
epidemics, pandemics suffering, depression and money valuation problems. This
could be a change in the world's reserve currency or issues around it. A large
increase in precious metals is also possible as it is a money valuation issue.
This 36 year aspect has been associated with political changes, reforms and
development of socialism. One wonders in regards to epidemics and sickness,
would this be natural illnesses or man-made. If you feel depressed or not at
ease this aspect may be the cause. One of these planets may be hitting a planet
in your personal horoscope.
The Saturn waning square to Neptune was exact on June 17 and will have one more pass on Sept 10, 2016. I should mention there are a number of troublesome aspects starting late August through October. Before we get there we should see a rising market once this current Primary cycle is complete.
The Saturn waning square to Neptune was exact on June 17 and will have one more pass on Sept 10, 2016. I should mention there are a number of troublesome aspects starting late August through October. Before we get there we should see a rising market once this current Primary cycle is complete.
The above description of the
Saturn / Neptune square has been repeated for a number of weeks. Think of the
events that have taken place recently with mass murders in the U.S. , alligators in Disneyland and the murder
of a UK member of parliament. If these
events seem unreal look to Neptune . Last week
it turned retrograde and then in exact square to Saturn. Coming up is Brexit. Look
for dishonesty and deceit by one of the parties or both. I also expect the fear
index to be played up in the days leading into the Brexit vote, currently June
23rd.
After this coming week we have
Mars turning direct on June 29th and on the following week the Sun trines Neptune and then opposes Pluto. Pluto has a strong
influence in early July as does Venus which translates the fading Uranus /
Pluto square. This is the square, currently moving out of orb, which governed
much of the past 3-4 years. It was about keeping or obtaining power amongst
other things.
Looking for dates for the Primary cycle trough
and turn up I'm looking at:
June 20th and 27th
July 4th, 7th
All +- 2 td's.
Note, on the above chart, the
Stochastic/RSI indicator (bottom indicator on the chart) over the course of the
last week has moved from being overbought and is now in the oversold area.
I've noticed the Bradley indicator
(geocentric and heliocentric) has been acting quite well as a forecasting tool.
This indicator is often misunderstood. I'll include descriptions and the turns
it is forecasting in the July subscribers report.
On
the following weekly chart of the DJIA, the red squares are Jupiter square Saturn, now past, and
the green squares are Saturn square Neptune . It's between these two events that I have
been looking for the Primary cycle low. The final trough should be in the next
3 weeks (dates above).
The next 2 charts are daily charts
of the SP500, and the Russell 2000. The horizontal blue lines are the average
longitude of the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto on both
charts This average is converted to price and displayed on the charts. Notice
how well they have acted as support and resistance. Thursday price went through
2058. I'm looking for a low in the 2010 - 2013 area.
The longer it takes to put in this trough the greater the possibility that another longer term cycle is going to
hit. This cycle is mentioned in the subscribers report. Typically the longer
term cycles will have a deeper trough.
The next chart is the Russell
2000. This index is subject to far less manipulation than the SP500. Notice how
well it respects the Astrological average price lines. Here, the blue lines
again are the average longitude of the planets Jupiter through Pluto converted
to price. The Russell put in a low on May 19th and touched the planetary
average line. Again, it is possible May
19th was a shortened cycle but I'm going with the 19th week cycle for now.
Other longer term cycles that we
have been following may have found their trough on Jan 20 or Feb 11. This would
include the 4 year and 6.5 year cycles. To confirm these cycles I'm waiting for
the cycle low I'm expecting in June / July 2016. If Jan 20 and Feb 11 are the lows this
would help explain the sharp move up starting in February. Assuming the 2009
low was an 18 year cycle low, we may be looking at a 9 year cycle low late 2017
- 2018.
The following daily chart of the
DJIA shows some of the important short term aspects coming up in June / early July. Note
the channel which started in January. We got the price break through the bottom
of this channel as mentioned. Price is now close to the 23.6% Fibonacci
retracement based on the high at May 20, 2015 to the low on Aug 24, 2015. The
aspects are as follows.
Blue Squares - Saturn square Neptune
Green Squares - Mars parallel Pluto
Light Blue Squares - Jupiter conjunct North Node
Red Arrow - Mars turning Direct
The first week in July has a
number of potent aspects as well. It should be a volatile ride. Pluto is
emphasized so we may see power plays. Watch for the effect of great wealth
trying to direct the outcome of events. In addition to market events there are Mars / Pluto aspects which often occur close to violent events.
Harmonics
I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycle
which are the brown squares on the following daily chart. It just hit on June
17 the same day as the Saturn waning square to Neptune .
Monday maybe very important.
The next date for the Sun / Saturn 24th harmonic is July
1st. Another date possibly signaling a change in direction.
Gold
I'm looking at March 28th as the start of a new nominal 18 week cycle 1
trough.
This puts us entering the 13th week of the Primary cycle. There was a huge move on June
3rd after the poor Employment report. Not surprising with all the Jupiter and
Neptune aspects, particularly the Sun square Neptune .
The stock market does not like surprises or uncertainty and we have a few weeks
of both coming up.
Fron last weeks blog post.
"Gold on the
other hand may have very positive moves under the same conditions."
Gold has followed general Mars transits in Scorpio. Starting
with Mars entering Scorpio in early January 2016 Gold went up. The move ended
when Mars entered Sagittarius on March
5th. Gold then went sideways until Mars turned retrograde on April 17th.
On May 27 Mars
reentered Scorpio moving backwards. The red x's on the following daily chart of
Gold show the effect of the Mars transits.
Mars will turn direct
on June 29th and leave Scorpio for Sagittarius once again on August 2nd where
Gold has a history of moving down or flat. Gold should remain positive this
week but once we get closer to the Mars direct date of June 29th I would be
cautious.
Price is now above the 15 sma and 45 sma. Both moving averages have turned up with the
15 day above to move above the 45 day sma. Gold may benefit from the
uncertainty over the next few weeks.
The red vertical lines are the 14 cd cycle which has been at tops and bottoms for short term trend
changes. The next date is June 30th.
On the following daily Gold charts there are the Venus
(green), Jupiter (blue). These are the longitude of the planet converted to
price. Gold often makes a big move close to when the Venus and Jupiter price
lines cross. The next cross is July 1st. This date is coming up alot.
Watch this area as Gold may follow the Venus price line
(green) up into the July 1st date. Pluto is active by transit. Although not a
direct ruler, Pluto has an effect on Gold price changes. Gold prices may get
volatile.
Crude
Feb 11 had another
lower low and is now marked a Primary cycle trough which has us starting the 19h week of the nominal 18 week cycle.
Mentioned many times Jupiter and Neptune are the co-rulers
of crude. Neptune is in Pisces, the sign that
it rules, making it stronger. Neptune is highlighted here with it's move to
retrograde motion and the Saturn's square to Neptune .
Being in the 19th week, we may have seen the crest on June
8th but need to see more price action to confirm. Watch the days around June 27th and July 3 for a potential
trough. Much of the move up has been effected by production problems in Nigeria and
other oil producers. Possibly another case of managed confusion.
We have 1 more exact hit of the Jupiter / Pluto trine, that is June 26th. The previous dates were
Oct 9, 2015 and March 16, 2015. This aspect has tended to be near highs. I
suspect this will be near a Primary cycle turn if it has not already been in by
then.
The next daily chart of crude has the Jupiter (blue) and
Neptune (grey) Price Lines. These are the two planets that rule crude. Price is
following both price lines sideways. I'm looking for a move and probably down
first then up.
The red squares are the 24th harmonic between the Sun and Neptune . Amongst other things this harmonic is for a
"short term change in trend". The next date is July 1st hmmmm. I'm
looking for crude to break through the Jupiter and Neptune
price lines at 48.00 and 47.75 approx. for signs of a move to a Primary cycle
trough. Look at MACD on the following chart.
I've been experimenting with another Astro / Gann technique
to forecast price. I emphasize experimenting so watch oil price but I wouldn't
trade based on this forecast until I have more history.
Oil Price Forecast
Test
July 7 price range 52.40 - 56.80
