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- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are
entering the 12th week of Primary
cycle 1
cycle that started
on Aug 24th. This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15
to 21 weeks. This is the chart we have been following for many months. See the blue
line and dates on the chart. It is anticipated we will have a Primary cycle low
between Nov 30, 2015 and Jan 15, 2016.
Since we are in the 12th week, with a dramatic move up, it
appears we just had either the 1/2
Primary or Primary cycle top on Nov 3rd
(i.e. crest for this Primary cycle).
The 2 weeks ago blog mentioned the
Venus / Mars conjunction and that it had a history of occurring near Primary
crests or troughs which occurred after the exact date. Well the Venus / Mars
conjunction was Nov 2nd and the top
looks like Nov 3rd.
Previous comments:
On last weeks blog we mentioned "Venus in Libra often marks a move down
given +- 1 week." Venus entered
Libra on Nov 8th just before the start of the move down. Venus exits Libra
on December 4th. Looking back at
previous instances sometimes the markets have gone down the whole period while
Venus is in Libra. Other instances have the markets going down, approximately
1/2 the period and then up. 1/2 would
take us to Nov 23rd. A few instances have been up, usually when the market
was already down.
In our current case the markets
often change trend near the Neptune Direct date +- 5 td's. Neptune
turns direct on Nov. 18th.
We also mentioned on the blog last
week the Mars / North Node conjunction
which was exact on Nov 12th.
Regarding the Mars / North Node conjunction we said
"Watch for increased military activity,
terrorists and explosives." I've just heard of the explosions in Paris but have no
details.
It's interesting to note, on the chart for the 5th Republic of France, Oct 5, 1958, 0:00am CET, Paris, Mars is within a few minutes of entering the 4th House, the homeland on Friday Nov. 13th.
It's interesting to note, on the chart for the 5th Republic of France, Oct 5, 1958, 0:00am CET, Paris, Mars is within a few minutes of entering the 4th House, the homeland on Friday Nov. 13th.
On Nov 20th Venus is in waxing square to Pluto. If the market is still
down watch for a reversal near this date. Venus will be translating the Uranus
/ Pluto square which is still active as Uranus and Pluto move closer together.
Note, they will not get to an exact position. Nov 20th is also OPEX.
After this week we will enter a
period where confusion and deceit should be prevalent. with Neptune turning direct in Pisces, the sign
that it rules, and the long forming Saturn / Neptune waning square. Not a good
environment for Mars in Libra. Watch for adroit politicians here and lies.
Saturn and Neptune are opposite
energies. While Saturn is about responsibility, accountability and the building
of concrete structures in the physical world. Neptune
is about illusion, delusion, deceit and lies. It is anything but responsible
and accountable. On the positive side, Neptune
can be very spiritual and other-worldly but when in hard aspect often displays
it's other side.
Saturn is in Sagittarius which
rules the law, religion, philosophy and science. With the square to Neptune is a good signal for a religious message that
gets perverted.
We should see a move in the
markets closer to the Saturn / Neptune square. As mentioned before, this is a
very long term aspect. These need a trigger and there are 3 possible triggers
close by.
Nov 18th, Neptune turns Direct
Nov 25th, Full Moon
with the Sun within 3 degrees of Saturn
Nov 29th, Sun square
Neptune and conjunct Saturn.
Looking at these Nov 30 could be a more important date
but they all need +- 3 td's at least.
This period of time looked very
volatile for the markets and may get more so, particularly if there are more
attacks.
This signature should auger in a very uncomfortable period of time for the market and many facets of life well into 2016. This will seem depressing, confusing
This signature should auger in a very uncomfortable period of time for the market and many facets of life well into 2016. This will seem depressing, confusing
To summarize.
We could get market turns near the following dates but
it should be volatile.
Nov 18th Neptune turns direct
Nov 20, 23 Venus starts it's translation of the Uranus Pluto square (they
are close)
Nov 30 The day after the Sun translates the Neptune,
Saturn square
It should be noted Mars will
translate the Uranus / Pluto square the second week of December which is the
week before the next FED meeting where they have planned to increase interest
rates. Watch FED announcements closely.
Other longer term cycles that may
be close to seeing their lows in the next couple of months are the 6.5 - 7 year
cycle and the Kitchin cycle (40 months). I'm looking at the period from
mid-December through Jan '16 as a potential time period for these cycles. They
are long term cycles and need a broad orb.
Kitchin cycle on the SP500 chart.
This is a monthly chart. cycles may appear closer than when they actually due.
Other long term cycle due,
including the 6.5 - 7 year.
Longer term cycles on a monthly
chart of the DJIA.
The following weekly chart shows
the 21 and 34 weekly moving averages and the fact price broke through both
averages on the way back up but have fallen back through these moving averages.
Not a bullish sign. Also the 21 and 34 week moving averages are still pointing
down. We would expect the 21 week to
start curling up and crossing the 34 week if this was the 4 year low.
From last weeks blog "We could see a pull back before the 21
week crosses over the 34 week moving average".
We can't confirm the 4 year until
this takes place. In addition the 4 year low is usually at least a 20%
correction while this time only 16%.
The question is, do we have a significant low in front of us.
At this point I think yes and it could be the December '15 - January '16 time
frame.
From now through to February 2016
Uranus and Pluto move closer together to the square which we wrote much about
in 2014 and early in 2015. For new subscribers or anyone, use the search
facility on the blog. Search for "Uranus square Pluto". We should
mention Mars will go retrograde in January 2016 and add energy to the Uranus /
Pluto square near the end of January.
At this point, following are the
highs in the US
indexes.
DJIA
May 19, 2015
DJTI
Nov 28, 2014
SP500
May 20, 2015
NYSE
May 21, 2015
RUT
Jun 23, 2015
COMPQX July
20, 2015
Some of the biggest moves in the US
markets have occurred when Saturn is in mutable signs. The mutable signs are
Gemini, Virgo, Sagittarius and Pisces. Saturn
changed signs into Sagittarius on Sept 17th and will be there until Dec
20, 2017.
And one more showing the
geocentric Jupiter / Saturn square (red squares) including the following note (Every
pass of the waning square between Jupiter and Saturn that has been a 3 pass has
resulted in a longer term cycle unfolding between the first and last passages).
Could the August low be it? The Saturn
square Neptune aspect (light green squares) on
the following chart are often found near
changes in inflation and or interest rates. I remember my 21% mortgage rate
in the early 80's, the last time Saturn and Neptune were in waning square.
The Saturn waning square to Neptune is becoming the most prominent aspect going
forward. It's a 3 pass with the first exact date on Nov 26th but the effects
can be felt now.
The last exact square is in August
2016 but it's effects will be passed that date as well.
It is confusing and depressing
with no apparent control.
Rather than increasing rates the FED may be going into QE infinity and beyond. For those wishing to blame someone, the names on the following chart are the people who created the policies which resulted in the financial system crash in 2008, 2009. The problem was too much debt. Their solution has been to create super debt. This could create another crash scenario, but we should first wait to see what the FED will do on Dec 15,16.
Rather than increasing rates the FED may be going into QE infinity and beyond. For those wishing to blame someone, the names on the following chart are the people who created the policies which resulted in the financial system crash in 2008, 2009. The problem was too much debt. Their solution has been to create super debt. This could create another crash scenario, but we should first wait to see what the FED will do on Dec 15,16.
Gold
Gold put in a Primary cycle 1
trough on July 24th. This could turn out to be a
very important low.
We are entering the
17th week of the nominal 18 week
cycle. It is quite possible Gold put in a Primary cycle crest on Oct 15th in which case we would be
heading down into it's Primary cycle bottom. I sent out an Alert a couple of
weeks ago to get out of Gold.
I'm looking for a trough in Gold this coming week and a move
up. Nov 19th has heliocentric Mercury
entering Sagittarius which often sees swings in Gold prices.
The move down in Gold and commodities this week seems to
have put the rate increases under question. Why am I not surprised.
On the following daily Gold chart notice Gold has broken
down through three Venus price lines. I'm expecting to get support at either a
Venus (green) or Jupiter (blue) price line. Two weeks ago I mentioned if Gold
broke through the Jupiter price line (blue) it could go down quickly. It did. In the short term the decline in Gold may be
overdone. I'm watching for a Primary cycle low. Note the Commodity Channel
Index at the bottom of the chart. Gold went through the -200 level and quickly
bounced up. Although I'm looking for a Primary cycle low, I'm expecting the
bigger move in Gold next year. The move should be up.
Crude
This coming week of Nov
2nd we should be entering the 12th
week of a nominal 18 week cycle which started August 24th.
In the second half of November, Neptune will be highlighted
as it changes to direct motion, Saturn squares Neptune and the Sun squares Neptune while conjunct Saturn. I expect crude to be quite
volatile. With Neptune active to this degree I
would also expect our old friends, illusion, delusion, lies, deceit and
falsehoods to be apparent. If they ever left. As mentioned Neptune
is in Pisces, the sign that it rules and is most powerful here.
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude
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Gord, shouldn't Gold be in the 16th week of the Primary Cycle not the 17th week? Last week was the 15th week.
ReplyDeleteGood point. It's 84 td's from the July 25th low. I was looking at a weekly chart which shows it as going into the 17th week. Either way with the multiple Astros of change I think Gold is close to a reversal higher.
ReplyDeleteHi Gord...looks like Neptune direct timed the low in gold to perfection yesterday? In line with your expectation for a low and turn higher this week? Thanks!
ReplyDeleteYour welcome and who are you? {^_^}
ReplyDelete