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From last weeks blog post which
was very close.
"If this
retracement at 2051.41 does not hold this could be a big down move."
It appears we tested the 2051 area but close above it on May 6th.
SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise Feb 11 was the Primary cycle trough. 1
that started on Aug
24th. Feb 11th was a slightly
lower low than Jan 20th low. Jan 20th was the low for a number of other
indices. Feb 11th starts a new nominal
18 week cycle in the SP500 and we are entering the 13th week. We most often see a
nominal 6 week cycle to start a new nominal 18 week cycle and this time was no
exception. The crest is MT and the trough is MB on the following daily chart.
The nominal 6 week cycles has a range of 5 to 7. The second nominal 6 week
cycle may have seen it's top on April 20. This may be the top to the current
nominal 18 week cycle as well.
Notice that price is below the 15
day sma and almost on the 45 day sma's. We may be seeing the trough for the
second nominal 6 week cycle shortly, in which case we would probably be going
up. Price went through a trend line (light blue) which started on Sept 29,
2015. If price fails to get above this trend line early next week we could see
a fall. So we have conditions that point in both directions, so we normally sit
and watch but in this case I think the cycle timing with Jupiter turning Direct and an Inferior conjunction between the Sun and Mercury points to a move down. Countering this is a grand trine between the Sun, Jupiter and Pluto mentioned further down.
May has a number
of critical dates which could indicate turn dates and / or violent events.
Subscribers will have those dates.
We are in the
middle of a Mercury retrograde period with Mercury turning retrograde on April
28. Monday May 9th is the inferior
conjunction between the Sun and Mercury. The inferior conjunction is the one
where Mercury is between the Earth and the Sun. The superior conjunction occurs
when Mercury is on the far side of the Sun. The order of the planets is then
Earth - Sun - Mercury. Only Mercury and Venus can have both an inferior and
superior conjunction. They are the two planets that are inside the Earths'
orbit.
The Mercury
retrograde period is known for problems with communication / electrical
equipment and communications in general. It is known as the trickster and in
the markets can often result in changes to investor / trader outlook only to change their minds.
The following
chart shows some history. The S and the I are the superior and inferior
conjunctions. Note the inferior conjunction is often at sharp turns, often near
bottoms.
Mercury will turn
direct again on May 22nd.
Also on May 9th Jupiter turns direct. During Jupiter's retrograde period Gold
made a large move up. Also during that period Mars transited through Scorpio.
Mars in Scorpio has a history of moves up . Mars is now retrograde and will
enter Scorpio, going backwards on May
27th. This may be another period when Gold moves up fast.
Jupiter
stationary direct periods can result in sharp moves, both up and down +- 1
week. May 9th +- 1 td should be important this coming week in many markets.
Further down, under Gold, we'll discuss heliocentric Mercury entering
Sagittarius.
We still have 2
slow moving parallels which were exact again on April 24 for the Jupiter parallel Uranus and Saturn parallel Pluto on April 28th.
Parallels are aspect of declination. Parallel aspects between the slow moving
planets can be in orb for many weeks / months and they therefore can effect
long periods of time.
Declination is the measurement of planets
north or south of the celestial equator which is the Earth's equator extended
out into space. Look at declinations as a vertical measurement. It is the angle
a planets make to the celestial equator. Look at the normal aspects in longitude
(ex. 23degrees, 34minutes in Taurus) as
a horizontal measurement.
When 2
planets are at the same declination point they are said to be in parallel. If
the two planets are at the same declination point but one is North and one is
South of the celestial equator, they are said to be contra parallel.
Jupiter parallel Uranus may see exaggeration, big sudden
surprises and / or sudden reversals of statements or policies.
From last weeks blog:
"The Jupiter
/ Neptune opposition can indicate deceit, illusion, delusion and with both
squaring Saturn, the planet of fear we could see some dramatic moves."
And from last weeks
Market Watch on May 2, Steve Goldstein
“Key U.S. economic
information may have been leaked ahead of its release, judging from the price
moves in key equity and bond futures contracts, according to a study released
Monday. The European Central Bank published a working paper arguing that seven
out of 21 market moving announcements show evidence of “substantial informed
trading” before the official release time. The authors looked at price movements
30 minutes before that data’s release and studied the movements in futures on
the S&P 500 index and 10-year Treasury note. They did this on 21 indicators
from January 2008 to March 2014…”
This
type of behavior is exactly what we would expect from Jupiter opposing Neptune and emphasized when we have a T-square with
Saturn, which we have right now.
The
other major long term aspect, Saturn waning square to Neptune
(part of the T-square) carries on for a number of months with the last exact
hit on Sept 10th but it will be in effect months afterwards.
What
other lies and deceit are being perpetrated? With Neptune
active by transit it may take some time for the truth to appear. As someone
said, "There's is never only one cockroach."
The new nominal 18 week cycle which started on Feb 11 is therefore
forecast to end as a trough approx. 18 weeks hence. That puts us in the week of
June 13 with a range from May 30
to July 4th. If you look at that week we have the Saturn / Neptune square exact that week with Neptune turning retrograde on June 13th. These
are the two main reasons why I'm looking at mid to late June as a significant
low. There are other reasons which will be included in the subscribers report.
It could also be a time that
epidemics break out or lingering disease around that time. This could also
involve water bourn diseases.
Other cycles coming up are May 23 when we have Fibonacci 377 weeks from the
March 6, 2009 low.
With the longer term market cycles we use the Astrological
aspects and Astrological events to determine a more exact time. Note: I have
taken off the brief description of the Uranus / Pluto waning square. Longer
term geocentric Astrological cycles that are coming up include:
On
the following weekly chart of the DJIA, the red squares are Jupiter square Saturn and the green
squares are Saturn square Neptune .
The next Jupiter /
Saturn square is May 26. The next Saturn
/ Neptune square is
June 17. We
should have a low near this timeframe.
Jupiter waning square
Saturn
- in the middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year
"The business cycle and direct effect on European
history. Major changes will be occurring in Europe
as result of the refuge migration. There is a major sign change coming up when
Jupiter and Saturn are conjunct in 2020. More on this 240 year conjunction in a
future post."
Saturn square Neptune
-in the middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year
Saturn is about social order, structure and regulations. Neptune can be politically unrealistic and a desire to
avoid confrontation. It can be devious, underhanded and use subversive tactics.
"This aspect is often present near times when there is
a change in trend for interest rates or inflation. It can also be a period of
epidemics, pandemics suffering, depression and money valuation problems. This
could be a change in the world's reserve currency or issues around it. A large
increase in precious metals is also possible as it is a money valuation issue.
This 36 year aspect has been associated with political changes, reforms and
development of socialism. One wonders in regards to epidemics and sickness,
would this be natural illnesses or man-made." If you feel depressed or not
at ease this aspect may be the cause. One of these planets may be hitting a
planet in your horoscope.
With the above being quite
negative aspects we should mention there is a grand trine between the Sun,
Jupiter and Pluto. The Sun is also conjunct Venus. This would be construed as
very positive. This is in orb through May 13, 1 trading day away from an
important cycle date.
The next 2 charts are daily charts
of the SP500, and the Russell 2000. The horizontal blue lines are the average
longitude of the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto on both
charts This average is converted to price and displayed on the charts. Notice
how well they have acted as support and resistance.
The next chart is the Russell
2000. This index is subject to far less manipulation than the SP500. Notice how
well it respects the Astrological average price lines. It's too bad we have to
bring up manipulation but the reality is, it happens. Here, the blue lines
again are the average longitude of the planets Jupiter through Pluto converted
to price. The Russell has fallen back to under the 1132 average longitude.
Other longer term cycles that we
have been following may have found their trough on Jan 20 or Feb 11. This would
include the 4 year and 6.5 year cycles. To confirm these cycles I'm waiting for
the cycle low I'm expecting in June 2016. If Jan 20 and Feb 11 are the lows this
would help explain the sharp move up starting in February along with certain
phone calls mentioned last week. Assuming 2009 low was an 18 year cycle low, we
may be looking at a 9 year cycle low late 2017 - 2018. The Kitchin cycle (3.3
years) we had been following probably troughed out in the August 015 lows.
I was asked for my long term view
and here it is. I'm looking for the world wide economy to be basically flat to down
until 2020. This coincides with a long term Astrological phenomenon known as
Tigonalis which involves the Jupiter / Saturn conjunctions. Every 240 years the
conjunction of these planets changes elements. In 2020 the Jupiter/ Saturn
conjunction will occur in Aquarius, a fixed,
air sign. I expect dramatic technological developments leading into this
time which should be, like the internet, life-changing developments.
Harmonics:
I will look at a number of
harmonics over the next few weeks. This week will be the 24th harmonic.
"Harmonic
astrology as proposed by John Addey, is that the angular distance between
planetary positions, or the projected position of planets onto the ecliptic
plane, produces in some as yet undiscovered way a wave form. Each planet acts
as the node or crest of a wave function and there is an effect on life on our
planet from these undiscovered waves."
-- John Addey
On the last post I was showing the
7th harmonic. Creative thinking and original insights.
Two harmonics calculated last week were:
Earth / Venus April
27th
Earth / Saturn June
3rd
At this point April 27th was the
start of a move down in the SP500. Following is the daily chart with the Sun /
Venus and Sun / Saturn with the 7th harmonic dates. Next dates:
Earth / Venus July
15 (red squares)
Earth / Saturn June
3rd (brown squares)
This chart also has the 45 cd (red) calendar days and the 24
cd (blue) cycles. The 45 cd is due to hit May
16 and the 24 cd on May 17th.
Looking at the geocentric 24th
harmonic in the Sun / Venus (red squares). We are looking for a relatively
short term change in trend. The next
date is June 6, 2016.
June 3rd and 6th may
be very important dates.
The brown squares are the geocentric
24th harmonic for the Sun / Saturn. The next date is May 19th then June 3rd.
I use the harmonics to help the
timing of other events.
Gold
I'm now looking at March 28th as the start of a new nominal 18 week cycle 1
trough.
This puts us entering either the 7th week of a new Primary cycle. I was looking for a pullback, that may have been it with 3
down days in the price of Gold this week.
Bear in mind we still in a time period with confusing Astros.
Following is a daily chart for Gold. The orange vertical
lines are a 14 cd (calendar day)
cycle which has been at highs and lows and hit again on April 21 and May 5th. The next date is May 19th. There is also a 55 td cycle on the chart which hits
again on May 12th. Also this week heliocentric
Mercury enters Sagittarius. Gold often has big moves when heliocentric Mercury
is in Sagittarius, both up and down, with a emphasis on up.
The date I'm most interested in for Gold is when geocentric Mars re-enters Scorpio on
May 27th. Mars was in Scorpio for most of the Gold rise from late 2015.
Price has moved below the 15 and 45 day sma and the 15 sma
is above the 45 sma. This all looks very bullish.
On the following daily Gold charts there are the Venus
(green), Jupiter (blue) and Uranus (purple) price lines. These are the
longitude of the planet converted to price. Note the Gold price has been
following the Venus price line up and as happens so many times, when the Venus
and Jupiter lines cross you get a big move (up or down). Gold went up and
touched the next Venus price line and fell back to close just above the Jupiter
price line.
There is a history of moves in Gold prices when Jupiter
turns direct, which it does on Monday, May 9th. With Mercury in inferior
conjunction with the Sun May 9 may see changes in a number of markets.
Crude
Feb 11 had another
lower low and is now marked a Primary cycle trough which has us starting the 13th week of the nominal 18 week
cycle. Bear in mind there are geopolitical issues affecting crude which can
effect the price quickly and directly. Recently there have been rumors of
changes in top power echelons of Saudi Arabia 's as it pertains to
oil. With potential changes to the Saudi power structure one would think crude
prices would be going up.
Crude can be looked upon as a good example of the current
transits with the T-square between Jupiter, Neptune and Saturn. Although Saturn
is discipline and control and is the apex of the T-square, the Jupiter / Neptune oppositions is deceit, quickly changing your mind
and actions, extremes that eventually can't be controlled. We may be
approaching the crest for this crude cycle. Bear in mind the comments made above
about Jupiter turning direct on May 9th. Jupiter is a co-ruler of oil.
I've also put the planetary average longitude of the planets
Jupiter through Pluto converted to price. You can see they are good support /
resistance areas.
The next daily chart of crude has the Jupiter (blue) and
Neptune (grey) Price Lines. These are the two planets that rule crude.
Crude moved above Jupiter / Neptune price lines which are
now acting as support.
Watch Monday, mainly for the effect of a change in power in
the Saudi regime.
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