- Our second half 2016
forecast dates are available
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
Our posts are now reported on the
highly regarded FXStreet.com.
The next 1/2 year Forecast Dates are available
for purchase. Subscribers receive 6 months forecast no matter when they sign up.
I've changed the format a little by including more Video.
SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise June 27 was the last Primary cycle trough. 1 that
puts us entering the 15th week. I
was looking for a possible 50 week low to coincide with that June
27th Primary trough. The sharp move up after the June 27th Primary low seems to
confirm this was the 50 week trough as well.
The next estimated Primary
cycle ( aka nominal 18 week cycle)
low is estimated to be October 24 +- 3 weeks with a range of October 3rd to November 14th. As we get closer I use the upcoming Astros to try
and get a more exact reading on when the Primary cycle trough will occur. There
are 2 areas where the Astrological aspects have a history of Primary cycle
turns, in this case a trough. These are included in the October Subscribers
report.
With the USA
elections, this Primary cycle may extend to be close to the election date,
November 8th, disregarding what the FED says.
One area of note.
Saturn will be at 14 degrees, 41 minutes
in Sagittarius on November 3rd. This is conjunct the Fixed Star Sarin.
Fixed Stars are treated as if they stand still. They do move but very slowly. Saturn moves slowly as well. It takes
approx. 29 years for one trip around the Sun. The last time Saturn was in
this position was September 5, 1987. A few days before the market crash of '87.
Looking back another 29 years it was Nov 20, 1957 and there
was a small dip in the markets. The same thing happened on October 8, 1928. So,
no guarantee but the days around Nov. 3rd through the election period are worth
watching. When looking at these old dates we must understand that the planet in
question has moved but so have all other planets and points.
One of the items in the September Subscribers Report was
that we were about to enter a period of change. This will be slow at first and
change into October and beyond. Friday, September 9th was the start with Jupiter entering Libra. Jupiter is
about the judicial and religious worlds. It is about the justice system,
prominent judges and barristers and the
nation's wealth and bankers. The sign of Libra is about justice , it's sign
looks like the scales of justice. Libra will bring more use of intuition and
intelligence and also justice. Problems come in when firm decisions must be
made. Libra is indecisive. We should also watch for the negative effects of
Jupiter which are over-doing things, a laissez-faire attitude, failure to
honour commitments particularly at the legal and financial level.
I think we'll be coming back to
the "nation's wealth" issue.
Mars enters Capricorn
on Sept 27th where it is exalted.
One more piece of a move from mutable signs to Cardinal signs. Here Mars, male
energy, is the initiator of action in the worldly environment and is kept in
check by Saturn the ruler of Capricorn.
I'm still looking for some secret to be exposed or deceit. Maybe it's Julian Assange of WikiLeaks. Maybe something else.
There are a number of other Astrological transits and events
like a perigee Full Moon, aka Supermoon this month.
Looking at heliocentric planets (Sun centered) the Earth is
in hard aspect to Pluto, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune. This is unusual over one
week and could be pointing to a period of increased geophysical disturbances,
including earthquakes and volcano's.
Saturn is often associated with violent weather and it is
transiting over the Ascendant of the USA formation chart. I should have
mentioned this last week.
Following is the daily chart of the SP500. I've left off any
video's as I have a strong Canadian cold . and I am quite hoarse.
The blue line is the heliocentric Bradley indicator. This is
not straight forward to read and the details with video are in section 9 of the
subscribers report. I think we are going down next week.
Note the next V shaped bottom of
that indicator is right on October 24th, 2016. It has no polarity by itself.
This suggests there will be a move but not the direction of the move.
Following is a chart of the planetary average longitude. The
horizontal blue lines are based on the average longitude of the planets
Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto which are converted to price. The
levels this calculates typically are excellent points to place sell or buy
stops. I often use them with Fibonacci retracement levels as well. Price has
been bouncing around between 2151 and
2166.
To depart
from our normal analysis I am going to look at a chart is the USA . This is for Astrologers in the
group but should be of interest to all readers.
I'm using
a chart for the USA
called Sagittarius Rising aka the Sibly chart. If you know the symbols
Sagittarius is the red arrow on the left side of the chart. Saturn, the planet
right above is about to cross over the Ascendant.
This
chart has an inside wheel and an outside wheel. The inside wheel shows where
the planets were when the USA
came into being in 1776. The outer wheel is where the planets are now. Note the
date of Oct 16, 2016.
This
weekend Saturn will square the True North Node. This is still in orb on Oct 16.
Saturn, restriction and discipline is in the sign of the law, religion and
banks. Watch for these themes. This could represent a change in direction for the
country as a whole or one of it's leaders. This could also stand for a change
in international commerce, messaging (email?), the law and lawyers. Possible a
change in opinion of a large group of people.
I'm going
to add another wheel. This is the Solar Directed Arc and is put in the middle
wheel and the transits in the outer wheel.
Note we
still have the Saturn square True North Node but we now have the planet Saturn in Sagittarius opposing the position of
Saturn in the Solar Directed Arc wheel. Here Saturn is in Gemini. Both are changeable Mutable signs, often found near sharp moves in the market.
Saturn in
the Solar directed chart is in the 7th house. This has to do with open enemies,
foreign nations and their attitude toward war and international disputes.
Watch the
dates from October 8 through October
17th very closely. I've already mentioned we may see a pickup in
geophysical activity and there is also a Perigee
Full Moon on October 16th which emphasizes that along with violent weather.
This may be important for the USA or could affect a person or
persons in power. Other transits over the next couple of weeks point to a
volatile period in the markets.
This is also very close to the Saturn on the Fixed Star
Sarin above.
In mundane astrology the star names can also be significant.
On March 20, 1995 there was a sarin attack on the Tokyo subway, killing at least a dozen
people, severely injuring fifty and causing temporary vision problems for
nearly a thousand others. Transiting Jupiter was conjunct this fixed star Sarin. Note I am not
forecasting the same event.
Gold
I was looking at May 31 as the
start of a new nominal 18 week cycle 1
trough.
Gold appears headed down into it's
Primary trough. We have hit a couple of the dates identified in the subscribers
report with more to come. A review of the daily chart shows the 15 and 45 day
sma are pointed down with the 15 below the 45 and price below both. With the
weakness elsewhere the US $
has increased but is over extended and should pullback soon.. Nevertheless the Gold Primary cycle is due for
a trough.
The US elections could start
interfering with the normal length of cycles if they get close to the end of October
without hitting it's trough.
When we get in situations like
this, Gold due for a trough but weakening if the US $ continues up I don't buy Gold
or gold stocks, I put in resting buy orders at critical levels. They are
triggered when price reaches that level. There are other strategies that could
be employed using options.
The following daily chart for Gold
has the 30 td (trading days) shown as the red vertical lines. It has been close
to both highs and lows. This looks close to a reversal up.
The next chart is a longer term
monthly chart showing the 7.4 year cycle in Gold. They are the red vertical
lines. Note that the 7.4 year cycle put in a low in late 2015. We are now in a
pull back but we are very early in the 7.4 year cycle which should be bullish
in the long term.
Crude
Feb 11 was the start of the previous Primary cycle. The crude cycle
trough hit again on August 3rd where
we have another Primary Cycle trough (PB).
We have had a Major cycle (aka 6
week cycle) crest (MT) and a Major cycle trough (MB) and are going up into the
second Major cycle of the Primary cycle.
I'm watching
all aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the two rulers of crude. The price of crude
is subject to the vagaries of the OPEC group and the actions of it's individual
members. We had been looking for a retest of the August lows but now headed up.
Many markets will be influenced by the US leading into the November 8th
election. The month of October's Astrological aspects should see increasing
geo-political stress.
This is an
unusual situation when crude price is increasing while Gold is falling and the US $ makes
gains. This will not go on for a long time.
The following weekly chart of crude
has a 16 week (red) and 24 week (blue) cycles. Where they land together red +
blue = green.
The green cycle has been at both
highs and lows in crude and sometimes very sharp moves. Watch this the week of October
10th particularly Oct 10 and Oct 17th.
I'm looking for Gold to go up and
for crude to fall back on a sharp move.
No comments:
Post a Comment