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SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise June 27 was the last Primary cycle trough. 1 that
puts us entering the 16th week. I
was looking for a possible 50 week low to coincide with that June
27th Primary trough. The sharp move up after the June 27th Primary low seems to
confirm this was the 50 week trough as well.
The next estimated Primary
cycle ( aka nominal 18 week cycle)
low is estimated to be October 24 +- 3 weeks with a range of October 3rd to November 14th. As we get closer I use the upcoming Astros to try
and get a more exact reading on when the Primary cycle trough will occur. There
are 2 areas where the Astrological aspects have a history of Primary cycle
turns, in this case a trough. These are included in the October Subscribers
report. I've mentioned Election day, October
8th as a possible low but now wondering if this marks the start of a more
severe slide.
With the USA
elections, this Primary cycle may extend to be close to the election date, November
8th. For those who have been reading this blog for awhile I've been looking for
some large deceit or lies being exposed. This maybe what is coming out of Wiki
leaks and Assange but it hasn't made it to the Main Stream Media
One area of note.
Saturn will be at 14 degrees, 41 minutes
in Sagittarius on November 3rd. This is conjunct the Fixed Star Sarin.
Fixed Stars are treated as if they stand still. They do move but very slowly. Saturn moves slowly as well. It takes
approx. 29 years for one trip around the Sun. The last time Saturn was in
this position was September 5, 1987. A few days before the market crash of '87.
This is far from definite but look for a possible severe move down around
November 3rd - 8th or shortly thereafter. We'll know better as we get closer in
time.
In mundane astrology the star names can also be significant.
On March 20, 1995 there was a sarin attack on the Tokyo subway, killing at least a dozen
people, severely injuring fifty and causing temporary vision problems for
nearly a thousand others. Transiting Jupiter was conjunct this fixed star Sarin. Note I am not
forecasting the same event.
Mars entered
Capricorn on Sept 27th where it
is exalted. One more piece of a move
from mutable signs to Cardinal signs. Here Mars, male energy, is the initiator
of action in the worldly environment and is kept in check by Saturn the ruler
of Capricorn. Mars leaves Capricorn and
enters Aquarius on November 9th, the day after the US Election.
Before the US Election there are a number of other
Astrological transits and events like a perigee Full Moon, aka Supermoon this
week and a very strong Astrological aspect this week.
There have been a number of Heliocentric Astrological last
week and now we have the Sun opposing Uranus. This may cause increased geophysical disturbances, including earthquakes
and volcano's.
Following is a daily chart of the SP500. The blue line is
the heliocentric Bradley indicator. It's purpose is to find a change in trend. This
is not straight forward to read and the details with video are in section 9 of
the subscribers report.
Note the next V shaped bottom of
that indicator is right on October 24th, 2016. It has no polarity by itself.
This suggests there will be a move but not the direction of the move.
Following is a chart of the planetary average longitude. The
horizontal blue lines are based on the average longitude of the planets
Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto which are converted to price. The
levels this calculates typically are excellent points to place sell or buy
stops. I often use them with Fibonacci retracement levels as well. Price went
up Oct 14 and just touched the 2151 line (blue) and fell back intra-day to
close at the low of the day.
Other transits over the next couple of weeks point to a
volatile period in the markets.
Another chart is the daily SP500 with the Sun and Pluto
price lines. Green is the Sun and black is Pluto. Notice, the SP500 was stopped
at the Sun price line (green line) during the day and fell back close to the
Sun price line at the close. The previous day price peaked below the Pluto line
(black) but closed over the Pluto line. Watch this early next week to see if
either the Sun or Pluto will provide support or resistance.
Harmonics
I continue to watch the 24th
harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycle between the Sun and Saturn, which are the brown
squares on the following daily chart. The next hits are Oct. 21st then November 4th. They are often at short changes in
trend as seen on the August 1 date which was followed by two strong moves down.
"In
a time of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act."
-- George Orwell
Gold
I was looking at May 31 as the
start of a new nominal 18 week cycle 1
trough.
Gold appears headed down into it's
Primary trough. We have hit a couple of the dates identified in the subscribers
report with more to come. A review of the daily chart shows the 15 and 45 day
sma are pointed down with the 15 below the 45 and price below both. The Gold
Primary cycle is due for a trough.
The US elections could start
interfering with the normal length of cycles if it gets to the end of October
without hitting it's trough. Note, Gold has been going sideways for the last 6
days.
When we get in situations like
this, Gold due for a trough but weakening if the US $ continues up I don't buy Gold
or gold stocks, I put in resting but orders at critical levels. They are
triggered when price reaches that level. There are other strategies that could
be employed using options.
The following weekly chart for Gold
has the 13.5 month cycle shown as the blue vertical lines. It has been close to
both highs and lows and we are close now.
The next chart is a longer term
monthly chart showing the 7.4 year cycle in Gold. They are the red vertical
lines. Note that the 7.4 year cycle put in a low in late 2015. We are now in a
pull back but we are very early in the 7.4 year cycle which should be bullish
in the long term.
Crude
Feb 11 was the start of the previous Primary cycle. The crude cycle
trough hit again on August 3rd where
we have another Primary Cycle trough (PB).
We have had a Major cycle (aka 6
week cycle) crest (MT) and a Major cycle trough (MB) and are going up into the
second Major cycle of the Primary cycle.
I'm watching
all aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the two rulers of crude. The price of crude
is subject to the vagaries of the OPEC group and the actions of it's individual
members. We had been looking for a retest of the August lows but now headed up.
Many markets will be influenced by the US leading into the November 8th
election. The month of October's Astrological aspects should see increasing
geo-political stress.
This is an
unusual situation when crude price is increasing while Gold is falling and the US $ makes
gains. This will not go on for a long time.
The following weekly chart of crude
has a 16 week (red) and 24 week (blue) cycles. Where they land together red +
blue = green. They hit on October 10th
and that was a big range day for crude and maybe the crest for this Primary
cycle.
The green cycle has been at both
highs and lows in crude and sometimes very sharp moves. I'm looking for crude
to fall back..
Hi Gord! Are you envisioning periods of low gold prices (opportunities to buy) in the next several months? Thank you!
ReplyDeleteWe are just over the 18th week cycle and putting in a trough. Gold has started to rise but it doesn't have the volume I was expecting. I was looking at this time period to see a rise in Gold but I would wait until we see more price appreciation with increasing volume.
ReplyDelete