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SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise November 4th looks like the Primary cycle trough. 1
which puts us entering the 2nd week of a
new nominal 18 week cycle. This is quite probably the 40 week cycle trough
as well.
The next estimated Primary
cycle ( aka nominal 18 week cycle)
low is estimated to be March 6th +- 3 weeks with a range of February 13th, 2017 to March 19, 2017. It could also be the week
of March 19, 2017 +- 3 weeks. As we get closer I use the upcoming Astros to
try and get a more exact reading on when the Primary cycle trough will occur.
We still have a number of Neptune
transits this month. I still expect general confusion into early December.
There is another date near the end of the month which could
indicate a pleasant change. If not pleasant it should at least be a change.
For those who have been reading this blog for awhile I've
been looking for some large deceit or lies being exposed. The whole mess of the
scandals in the US
election was probably it and includes WikiLeaks and Anonymous.
The internet outage
on October 21 is certainly an indication of how secure the internet is and
how vulnerable to attack. As someone said "Build a FireWall before a Wall."
It also shows the power and influence of some of these information based
organizations like Anonymous and
WikiLeaks.
In addition there is a 12 year aspect hitting near the end of the month. This synodic cycle
relates to the growth of international terrorism and political power. It also
has evidence of an impact on the economy. In brief, the attainment of power of all kinds.
We saw a number of earthquakes over 6.0 in October. With a
number of Neptune
transits in November we may be seeing more. Look for more geophysical activity closer to November
14, a perigee Full Moon or SuperMoon which means the Moon is very
close to the closets point to Earth for this Lunar orbit. This puts extra
gravitational forces at work. It can be seen in increased tidal strength and
has a history of increased earthquake activity and violent weather. Violent
people as well. This Super Moon is one
of the strongest in many years. As I write this blog I noticed Japan
had a 6.2 earthquake today, November 11, 2016.
Following is a daily chart of the SP500. The brown line is
an adjusted Bradley indicator. It's purpose is to find a change in trend. This
is not straight forward to read and the details with video are in section 9 of
the subscribers report.
Following is our normal daily chart for the SP500. Price is now above both the 15 and 45
day sma's. The 15 day is still below the 45 day but gaining. They both turned
up. A usual setup leading out of a Primary cycle low.
Video
Following is a chart of the planetary average longitude. The
horizontal blue lines are based on the average longitude of the planets
Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto which are converted to price. The
levels this calculates typically are excellent points to place sell or buy
stops. I often use them with Fibonacci retracement levels as well. Price ended
at 2,164.45 very close to the 2,166 planetary average.
There is
another longer term cycle hitting next week, the 377 trading day cycle. I
believe I got this cycle from Stan Harley some time ago. Being longer term it'
needs a wide orb +- 1 or 2 weeks. The November 4th low could have been it or it
is directly ahead. Note it has been at highs and lows. See the red vertical
lines on the following chart. I bring this up only to warn of the possibility.
This cycle often appears when Venus is Out of Bounds in either north or south
declination. Venus is Out of Bounds now.
Harmonics
I continue to watch the 24th
harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycle between the Sun and Saturn, which are the brown
squares on the following daily chart. The last hit was November 4th, the day of the cycle troughs we have been following.
The next hits are then Nov. 23rd and Dec. 9th. They are often at short changes in trend.
Rumors from the FED that Yellen
wants a "high-pressure economy" meaning increased inflation with no
rate cuts. There were also rumors of the FED buying stock directly. They should
review Japan
again.
A note on Copper which we do not
usually cover on the blog. On November 5, Venus, the ruler of copper, was
trine Uranus. On November 6, Venus was trine Eros. On November 7 Venus is
quintile Jupiter and November 9, Venus is quintile Neptune . Both the 21 week cycle and
Venus trine Uranus have been close to change in trends for copper.
”Behind the wall, the Gods play with numbers"
-- Le Corbusier
-- Le Corbusier
Gold
I was looking at October 7th as the start of a new nominal 18 week cycle 1
trough. Last
weeks move down negates that possibility and leaves us looking for a Gold cycle trough. If Oct 7th was the cycle low and we have a one off move down then this
could be the 6th week. If we are
still looking for the low in Gold then we are in the 23rd week. Note the Primary cycle that ended on June 1, 2016 was 26
weeks, an outlier.
Beyond the nominal 18 week cycle
there is a 13 1/2 month cycle that
is due for a trough then up. This cycle typically lands in the 11 to 14th month. Again it may have
been October 7th. Watch this closely as we may be putting in a trough to both cycles shortly.
From last weeks blog post:
If
the 13 1/2 month cycle is in front of us there may be a hard move down in
precious metals. Remember our point on heliocentric Mercury entering
Sagittarius. It often effects precious metals and currencies and price swings.
The point on Heliocentric Mercury entering Sagittarius on November 5th seem to have started the move down in Gold. Helio Mercury will exit Sagittarius and enter Capricorn on November 15th. This could end the down draft in precious metals.
The point on Heliocentric Mercury entering Sagittarius on November 5th seem to have started the move down in Gold. Helio Mercury will exit Sagittarius and enter Capricorn on November 15th. This could end the down draft in precious metals.
The following weekly chart for Gold
has the 13.5 month cycle shown as the red/blue vertical lines. Keep in mind
November 11th could have been the low in Gold. I'm looking ahead to see if
there any Astrological aspect with a history of moves in Gold. The Sun / Neptune
square is one and is shown on the following chart as the red squares. The
next one is due on November 30th. We also have Neptune
turning Direct. The Sun / Neptune square that
follows the Neptune Direct signature is the most consistent for a change in
trend in Gold. That is, it is more consistent than the Sun / Neptune
square that does not occur after a Neptune Direct signature.
Astrologically a low later in
November would make more sense. Beyond the Sun / Neptune
square there are 2 very long term
aspects on November 17 and November
24. Subscribers see the November
report.
The next chart is a longer term
monthly chart showing the 7.4 year cycle in Gold. They are the red vertical
lines. Note that the 7.4 year cycle put in a low in late 2015. We are now in a
pull back but we are very early in the 7.4 year cycle which should be bullish
in the long term. I'm looking for a more substantial move up later in November
or December.
Crude
August 3rd was the start of the Primary cycle and we now 15 weeks along. We could get a bounce
for one more crest but I'm playing this as a move down into the Primary cycle
low and will ignore any bounce in the coming weeks. I'll look for the low in
the 2nd half of November or December.
We are ending the 2nd Major cycle
(aka 6 week cycle) trough (MB) and could have seen the 1/2 Primary cycle on
October 19th where I've marked the Primary Top. The end of a Primary cycle is
usually the most volatile and harder to predict. On the following chart the 15
day sma is crossing down over the 45 day sma and price is below both. This is
the usual setup for a Primary trough.
I'm watching
all aspects to Jupiter or Neptune,
the two rulers of crude. The price of crude is subject to the vagaries of the
OPEC group and the actions of it's individual members. We had been looking for
a retest of the August lows but now have
put in the crest of this Primary cycle on October 19th. With the multiple Neptune aspects on November crude could be volatile.
Watch the following dates for a change in trend in crude.
November 17
November 20
November 24, 25
November 30
Following is a daily chart of crude
shows the price lines for the Sun (green) and Pluto (black). Note that recent
moves down in crude had stopped. or at least slowed down at the up sloping
green line, the Sun price line and broke through to the down-side on November
10th. Pluto, the black line often acts as support or resistance. The next Pluto
price is at 42.00.
Hi, I know you don't usually cover copper and base metals but do you see the current rally in Copper continuing or is the rise just a temporary spike?
ReplyDeleteNot sure at this point. I do cover Copper in the Subscription report. I'm currently looking at Zinc.
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