Financial Astrology - December 5, 2016

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SP500

For the SP500, cycle-wise November 4th looks like the Primary cycle trough. ¹  which puts us entering the 5th week of a new nominal 18 week cycle. This was the 40 week cycle trough as well. 

The next estimated Primary cycle ( aka nominal 18 week cycle)  low is estimated to be  March 6th +- 3 weeks with a range of February 13th, 2017 to March 19, 2017. It could also be the week of March 19, 2017 +- 3 weeks. As we get closer I will use the upcoming Astros to try and get a more exact reading on when the Primary cycle trough will occur.

Last month had a number of Neptune transits. December has a number of Mars and Uranus transits.

On Monday December 5th the Sun will conjunct the heliocentric Nodes of Uranus which often results in a change in trend or big range day.

On December 13, 2016 there is a perigee Full Moon or Supermoon. Watch the period around December 13 +- 3 cd's (calendar days).

This could be a period of strong earthquake events or other geophysical activity. Also look for strong tides and possibly violent weather.

December 19 starts the Mercury Retrograde period. Covered many times, Mercury is known as the trickster and the retrograde period is not a good time to make decisions, or sign contracts or agreements. It's about confusion and mis-directed energy. Go ahead and plan. Mercury has it's most effect on people who know nothing about it. This Mercury retrograde will start when Mercury is almost exactly in conjunction with Pluto, suggesting a major agreement of some kind. Following is a daily chart of the SP500 with the Mercury retrograde (red arrow pointed left) and Mercury direct (blue arrow pointed right). This chart also shows the Superior and Inferior conjunctions.

December 26 when the US markets are closed for Christmas there is a 14 year aspect, Jupiter opposing Uranus. This is the first of a 3-pass in 2017. At times this opposition will be a T-square with Pluto at the Apex. The French Astrologer, Barbault considers this transit to be predominantly a capitalist oriented cycle. This transit should bring a spirit of individual and collective optimism. Look for progress as this aspect encourages and a perception of deeper potentialities, poses questions and opens up opportunities. This may be particularly opportune at this time with "The Donald" looking to improve the capitalist system which is the USA. Don't look for an immediate event. This is a 14 year cycle. Longer term transits, like this, need time to germinate. Nevertheless we can expect exciting, new events as the energy of this transit becomes assimilated.

In addition to this transit Mars will make a number of transits over the holiday period. This could be pointing to a violent period with possibly increased terrorist activity.

Following is a daily chart of the SP500. The brown line is an adjusted Bradley indicator. It's purpose is to find a change in trend. This is not straight forward to read and the details with video are in section 9 of the subscribers report. Price is now above both the 15 and 45 day sma's. and the 15 day sma is above the 45 day. They both turned up. A usual setup leading out of a Primary cycle low. Since this is the 5th week we should be aware we often get a nominal 6 week cycle to start a new Primary cycle and we appear to be turning.

As far as aspects go, the Sun and Jupiter have an affinity for the SP500. The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the Jupiter (blue) price line and the Sun (black) price line. The price line is the longitude of the planets converted to price. On the following chart note the price tends to either reverse or make a sharp move where the Sun price line and Jupiter price line cross. Note the last price bar, 6 bars ago, on this chart is on one of these crossings. It stopped going up and has been drifting down. It may have found support on the blue Jupiter price line on the last 2 days.

Harmonics

I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles. The brown squares are Sun / Saturn 15 degrees on the following daily chart. The second last hit was

November 4th, the day of the cycle troughs we have been following. The next hits are  then Dec. 9th and December 26th.  They are often at short changes in trend.

I have added 3 price lines to this chart.

Saturn - black

Uranus - purple

Neptune - light blue

These price lines can act as support / resistance. Notice we have just moved down to the Neptune price line (light blue). Watch for support or a bounce.

Also on this chart is a blue vertical line which is the 24 cd (calendar day) cycle. It has been at highs and lows. We just hit it today, November 25th.

There have been a number of earthquakes over 6.5 this week. I'm expecting more probably closer to December 13 or the end of December 2016.

“Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value. Zero.”

-- Voltaire

Gold

I was looking at October 7th as the start of a new nominal 18 week cycle   ¹ trough. Last weeks move down negates that possibility and leaves us looking for a Gold cycle low. If we are still looking for the low in Gold, which I think we are, then we are in the 26th week. This is not a good technical configuration. Note the Primary cycle that ended on June 1, 2016 was 26 weeks, an outlier.

On the following chart Gold is at the 61.8% retracement of the move from December 2015 to August 2016 and appears to be getting support.

Beyond the nominal 18 week cycle there is a 13 1/2 month cycle that is due for a trough then up. This cycle typically lands in the 11 to 14th month. Again it may have been October 7th.

Like stocks Gold can be effected by the Mercury retrograde. Following is a daily Gold  chart with the arrows identifying retrograde and direct dates and the Inferior and Superior Sun / Mercury conjunctions.

The following weekly chart for Gold has the 13.5 month cycle shown as the blue vertical lines. I had been looking ahead to see if there are any Astrological aspects with a history of moves in Gold. I was looking at the Sun / Neptune square and that could turn out to be close to a turn date in Gold.

Astrologically a low later in November would make more sense. Beyond the Sun / Neptune square there are 2 very long term aspects on November 17 and particularly November 24, 25.

The next chart is a longer term monthly chart showing the 7.4 year cycle in Gold. They are the red vertical lines. Note that the 7.4 year cycle put in a low in late 2015. We are now in a pull back but we are very early in the 7.4 year cycle which should be bullish in the long term. I'm looking for a more substantial move up in late November or December.

Crude

August 3rd was the start of the Primary cycle and we are now 18 weeks along although we may have had the Primary cycle trough on November 14th which would put us in the 3rd week of a new Primary cycle. This big move up was after the OPEC meeting and there supposed cut-back in production. Trump's oil policy where he has stated he wants to have the US produce it's own crude via shale oil, fracking, side-ways drilling etc. is in conflict with OPEC production cuts.

The end of a Primary cycle is usually the most volatile and harder to predict. On the following chart the 15 day sma is pointed up as is the 45 day sma. This looks like the Primary cycle is in. This volatility is usual for a Primary trough formation.

I'm watching all aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the two rulers of crude. The price of crude is subject to the vagaries of the OPEC group and the actions of it's individual members. The Sun square Neptune aspect on November 3rd and the OPEC announcement may have identified the Primary cycle low.

Following is a daily chart of crude showing the price lines for the Sun (green) and Pluto (black). Note that recent move up in crude has stopped. or at least slowed down at the up sloping green line, the Sun price line. Look for resistance here or the Pluto price line directly above it in the 52.59 range.