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(January,
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SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise November 4th was the Primary cycle trough. 1 which
puts us entering the 12th week of a nominal
18 week cycle. Nov. 4th was the 40
week cycle trough as well. The 1st Half 2017 Forecast dates are estimated from
Astrological events only. As time unfolds we have the benefit of market cycles
and possibly additional Astrological events. Nevertheless the original dates
have fared very well. See the blog post of December 11, 2016, showing the
original forecast dates for the SP500. These are the original 6 month dates
with no adjustments for the last 3, 6 month periods.
It should be noted Primary cycles (18 weeks) most often
start with a nominal 6 week sub-cycle. The 2nd most common start is a 1/2 Primary or
9 week sub-cycles.
The next estimated Primary
cycle ( aka nominal 18 week cycle)
low is estimated to be March 6th +- 3 weeks with a range of February 13th, 2017 to March 19, 2017. It could also be the week
of March 19, 2017 +- 3 weeks. As we get closer I will use the upcoming
Astros and market cycles to try and get a more exact reading on when the
Primary cycle trough will occur. Early
April is another possibility.
Late February through early March 2017 is shaping up to be a
possible market turn. February 26 is
the first Solar eclipse of the year.
This is close to Mars translating the Jupiter / Uranus opposition and followed
closely by the 2nd exact opposition of
Jupiter and Uranus (2nd of a 3 pass). On that weekend, March 4th Venus turns retrograde, a very important aspect (see
notes further down). This period should be very volatile and even unstable with the above planetary aspects.
On March 7th +- 3
td's, Saturn conjuncts the Galactic
Center . It is the 2
week period defined by the dates above that I expect a move down. This may be
very important. Bear in mind we are in an 8 year bull market. A move down could
start at any time, the above are the most probable from an Astrological
perspective. Early to mid-April are also possible turn dates.
This coming week the strongest aspect for a change in trend
is Venus square Saturn on January 27th. Assuming the markets are
still up they could turn down close to January
27th
+- 2 td's. Conversley if the market is declining into this date look for a reversal up close by.
Mars is still active and enters Aries, the sign that it rules on January 28th.
Mars is still active and enters Aries, the sign that it rules on January 28th.
Coming up in February there are 2 eclipses, a lunar eclipse
on February 10 and a Solar eclipse
on February 26. Subscribers will
receive a detailed analysis of the four eclipse that will hit in 2017 in the
February Subscriber Report. These four eclipses will all aspect Mars. The next
couple of weeks have Mars aspects. Mars is the planet of war, conflict and
aggression.
As mentioned in previous weeks both Israel and Egypt (mid-East) may come to the
fore this year as regards to conflict and aggression. This may be seen before
the end of April. This is connected to the on-going Saturn / Uranus trine, a 45 year aspect which is exact again on May
19th.
The next Jupiter / Uranus opposition (2nd of a 3 pass) will
next occur on March 2nd.
The Mercury retrograde period is over. The next retrograde
planets for the first quarter are:
Feb 6 Jupiter
retrograde
Mar 4 Venus
retrograde (could be very important)
The second pass of the 14 year aspect, Jupiter opposing Uranus occurs on March 2nd. At times this opposition will be a T-square
with Pluto at the Apex. The French Astrologer, Barbault considers this transit
to be predominantly a capitalist oriented cycle. This transit could bring a
spirit of collective optimism. This may
be particularly opportune at this time with "The Donald" looking to
improve the capitalist system which is the USA . Don't look for an immediate
event. Look for a swing to the right politically. Revolutionary activity. This
aspect has a history of market turns
As noted above the 2nd opposition of Jupiter and Uranus
occurs March 2, two days before Venus turns retrograde. There is a Venus cycle which could be important.
That is every 8 years or 5 Venus retro occurrences, Venus returns to
approximately the same spot in the Zodiac. Venus turns retrograde on March 4th
2017. 8 years ago or 5 Venus retro
occurrences Venus turned retrograde on
March 6, 2009. This was the day of the low in the major US indices.
The following chart shows Venus retrograde dates (retro, red arrow pointed left), Venus direct (blue arrow pointed right)
and the Sun / Venus conjunct noted
as Inferior or Superior, (I or S). Mercury and Venus are the two planets inside
the Earth's orbit and the only one's that can have Inferior and Superior conjunctions with the Sun.
A brief review of Trump's transit shows a favorable transiting
Jupiter trine Trump's natal Sun. This, in itself is quite favorable. One thing
you have to watch out for with Jupiter is things that are over-done.
Things should be volatile. It should also be noted
transiting Jupiter just entered Trump's 3rd house. This should be favorable for
Trump's communication for the next year.
Following is a daily chart of the SP500. The brown line is
an adjusted Bradley indicator. It's purpose is to find a change in trend. This
is not straight forward to read and the details with video are in section 9 of
the subscribers report. The SP500 put in a brief low on December 30. Note the
Bradley indicator made a 'V" shaped low on that date. On January 24th the Bradley has another turn. Give it +- 2 td's
Price
is now above both the 15 and 45 day sma's. and the 15 day sma is above the
45 day. This would be a good time frame for the start of a slide down.
The
January 2017 subscribers report will outline some longer term Astrological
aspects and events.
As far as aspects go, the Sun and Jupiter have an affinity
for the SP500. The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the Jupiter (blue)
price line and the Sun (black) price line. The price line is the longitude of
the planets converted to price. On the following chart note the price tends to
either reverse or make a sharp move where the Sun price line and Jupiter price
line cross. The next date these lines cross is February 10th.
Harmonics
I continue to watch the 24th
harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles. The brown squares are Sun / Saturn 15 degrees
on the following daily chart.
The next hits are Jan. 27, 2017 then Feb 14, 2017
I have added 3 price lines to this
chart.
Saturn - black
Uranus - purple
These price lines can act as
support / resistance. Also on this chart are blue vertical line which is the 24 cd (calendar day) cycle. It has
been at highs and lows. The next date is February
6th.
Looking forward I'm expecting very
volatile markets in February followed by difficult markets in the late February / April
time frame.
There have been a number of
earthquakes over 6.5 the last couple of weeks. I'm expecting more into the New
Year. Watch the periods around Feb 10th and Feb 26 for more significant
geophysical events.
January 29th will be the date for a
new Mars Cycle Chart. Details included in the February report.
Gold
I was looking at October 7th as the start of a new nominal 18 week cycle 1
trough. I
suspect we put in a low in Gold on December
15th.
December 15 may have been the Gold
low we have been looking for. This puts us about to enter the 6th week. We may
see a pullback this coming week.
Gold price moved above the 15 and
45 day sma for our next sign post of a bullish Gold move. Gold most often
starts a Primary cycle with a nominal 6 week sub-cycle so we may be near a crest then a
pull back before continuing up. Venus turning retrograde is a good signal for a
move in Gold.
Like stocks Gold can be effected by the Mercury or Venus
retrograde. Following is a daily Gold
chart with the arrows identifying retrograde and direct dates and the
Inferior and Superior Sun / Venus
conjunctions. Coming up we have the Venus
Retrograde date of March 4th then March
25 for the Inferior conjunction and April
15 has Venus turning direct again.
Any of these 3 dates could be a turn in Gold.
Beyond the nominal 18 week cycle
there is a 13 1/2 month cycle that
is due for a trough then up. This cycle typically lands in the 11 to 14th month. It may have been December
15th.
The following weekly chart for Gold
has the 13.5 month cycle shown as the blue vertical lines. The purple squares
are Uranus turning Direct. They often occur near a low then up.
The next chart is a longer term
monthly chart showing the 7.4 year cycle in Gold. They are the red vertical
lines. Note that the 7.4 year cycle put in a low in late 2015. We are now in a
pull back but we are very early in the 7.4 year cycle which should be bullish
in the long term.
Crude
August 3rd was the start of a Primary cycle. With the recent move
up it now appears we had the Primary cycle low on November 14. This would put us in the 10th week of a new Primary cycle and we may be looking at the crest
of the first nominal 6 week cycle, 7 weeks along on January 3rd. As per normal price has moved above the 15 sma and the
45 sma and the 15 is above the 45. Typical for a move off a short term crest.
The orange square is the Mars / Neptune conjunction. On reviewing
history we often get a reversal in crude on this Astrological aspect. We were watching
for a move down after the Jan 3rd high and got it. Remember Neptune
is a co-ruler of crude. The other planet being Jupiter.
It should be noted, my
understanding one of the first sectors to be affected by Trump will be energy
and energy services. Watch for this next week.
The blue vertical lines are the
average longitudes of the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto
converted to price. They act as good support / resistance areas.
Note the high on January 3rd which crossed the planetary
averages for Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto (blue horizontal lines)
briefly. This may mark heavy resistance in the future and maybe the Primary
cycle crest for this nominal 18 week cycle.
I'm watching all
aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the
two rulers of crude. The price of crude is subject to the vagaries of the OPEC
group and the actions of it's individual members
Following is a daily chart of crude
showing the price lines for the Sun (green) and Pluto (black). Note that recent
move down in crude stopped at the Sun (green) price line. We got a bounce when
crude price hit the up sloping green line, the Sun price line. Look for support
here or the Pluto price line directly below in the 50.35 range. The two price lines will cross again on
January 31st.
While I let Gord provide you with a response, I would say it depends on whether Gold is making a high or low at that time. If you want Gold to turn to the upside it would probably do so if a low in gold is reversed when Venus turns retrograde. There are also quite a few real world events during that time that would support a rise in Gold.
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