January 9, 2017

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(January, 1 2017 - June 30, 2017

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SP500

For the SP500, cycle-wise November 4th was the Primary cycle trough. ¹ which puts us entering the 10th week of a nominal 18 week cycle. Nov. 4th was the 40 week cycle trough as well. We could be looking at a 1/2 Primary cycle crest and then down. I like the Jan 10th date +- a few. A point for subscribers. If we get a low on Jan 10-12 then we should review the 1st half year forecast dates and take out anything close to the January 10 date. In this case I would not expect the Mars square Saturn to mark a low if the Jan 10-12 dates registered a low. The 1st Half  2017 Forecast dates are estimated from Astrological events only. As time unfolds we have the benefit of market cycles and possibly additional Astrological events. Nevertheless the original dates have fared very well. See the blog post a couple of weeks ago showing the original forecast dates for the SP500. These are the original 6 month dates with no adjustments.

It should be noted Primary cycles (18 weeks) most often start with a 6 week sub-cycle. We are there. The 2nd most common start is a 1/2 Primary or 9 week sub-cycles. This now looks like a 1/2 Primary cycle.

Bear in mind while I was writing this post I heard Trump will have his first post election press conference on January 11. Since the financials have benefited the most since early November they may have a strong effect on the markets next week. A number of the larger financials report on January 13th.  Could this be marking or at least close to a high. I think so. Next week may be very volatile.

The next estimated Primary cycle ( aka nominal 18 week cycle)  low is estimated to be  March 6th +- 3 weeks with a range of February 13th, 2017 to March 19, 2017. It could also be the week of March 19, 2017 +- 3 weeks. As we get closer I will use the upcoming Astros and market cycles to try and get a more exact reading on when the Primary cycle trough will occur. Early April is another possibility.

December 12 had the Sun trine Uranus. This is always approx. 17 cd's (calendar days) before the Uranus Direct signature and 12 cd's after Uranus Direct is the Sun square Uranus on January 10, 2017. This is a Uranian time between Dec 12 and Jan 10th. Uranus can indicate the outbreak of political tension, rioting, right-wing political ideas, free market enterprises, airplanes, breakthroughs, surprise discoveries, explosions, demonstrations, retaliation, advanced technologies and surprises in many areas of life.

If there is no serious violence over the holidays I expect a short rally to start January 3rd then down into a low. There are a number of Astros, both aspects and events. Subscribers have these dates. I had thought we should be going down into a 1/2 Primary cycle low next week. however that was before the announcement of a Trump press conference on January 11th. This should have an effect, and may change the start of a move down to later in the week or the following week. See comments on Trump's aspects in this post.

We have been in the Mercury retrograde period with the Inferior conjunction on December 28th.. The Mercury Retrograde period will last until Mercury turns Direct on January 8, 2017.

Following is a daily chart of the SP500 with the Mercury retrograde (red arrow pointed left) and Mercury direct (blue arrow pointed right). This chart also shows the Superior and Inferior conjunctions. The inferior conjunction is often a short term pull back which we have now completed. A review of the current retrograde we see the move up from November 4th ended close to the Mercury retrograde date. At the inferior (I) conjunction the index move down sharply. I'm expecting the Mercury Direct (blue arrow) will mark the 1/2 Primary or close to it. As mentioned above there are a number of Astros next week and subscribers have the dates. Now we have the Trump effect to consider on January 11 occurring in the middle of an important aspect.

December 26 when the US markets were closed for Christmas there is a 14 year aspect, Jupiter opposing Uranus. This is the first of a 3-pass with 2 oppositions in 2017. At times this opposition will be a T-square with Pluto at the Apex. The French Astrologer, Barbault considers this transit to be predominantly a capitalist oriented cycle. This transit could bring a spirit of  collective optimism. This may be particularly opportune at this time with "The Donald" looking to improve the capitalist system which is the USA. Don't look for an immediate event. Look for a swing to the right politically. Revolutionary activity. This aspect has a history of turns. The Jupiter / Uranus opposition is still in orb. The Sun will be translating this aspect on January 10th and January 11th. See last month for definitions.

A brief review of Trump's transit shows a favorable transiting Jupiter trine Trump's natal Sun. This, itself is quite favorable. One thing you have to watch out for with Jupiter, other than it's benefits, is things that are over-done.

So we are in a period where a 1/2 Primary cycle is due. We have a major transit in Jupiter opposing Uranus being translated by the Sun. From "The Book of Rules" this points to material success, sudden luck and man enjoying himself. Add on to this the soon to be President has very favorable transits on the day of the press conference with Jupiter trining Trump's natal Sun. Things should be volatile. It should also be noted transiting Jupiter just entered Trump's 3rd house. This should be favorable for Trump's communication for the next year.

In addition to this transit Mars will make a number of transits over the holiday period. This could be pointing to a violent period with possibly increased terrorist activity.

The other long term aspect is Saturn trine Uranus, a 45 year aspect. We will cover this important transit in the subscriber report. For our purposes here we will say it has a history in the middle east, Israel and Egypt in particular.

Following is a daily chart of the SP500. The brown line is an adjusted Bradley indicator. It's purpose is to find a change in trend. This is not straight forward to read and the details with video are in section 9 of the subscribers report. The SP500 put in a brief low on December 30. Note the Bradley indicator made a 'V" shaped low on that date. On

January 9th the Bradley has another turn. This may be the move down. Give it +- 2 td's  Price is now above both the 15 and 45 day sma's. and the 15 day sma is above the 45 day. For the 1/2 Primary cycle we need to see price start moving lower.

The January 2017 subscribers report will outline some longer term Astrological aspects and events.

As far as aspects go, the Sun and Jupiter have an affinity for the SP500. The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the Jupiter (blue) price line and the Sun (black) price line. The price line is the longitude of the planets converted to price. On the following chart note the price tends to either reverse or make a sharp move where the Sun price line and Jupiter price line cross. Note price is having difficulty breaking through the black Sun price line but has received support from the Jupiter price line.

Harmonics

I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles. The brown squares are Sun / Saturn 15 degrees on the following daily chart.

The next hits are  Jan 12, 2017 then Jan. 27, 2017.

I have added 3 price lines to this chart.

Saturn - black

Uranus - purple

Neptune - light blue

These price lines can act as support / resistance. Also on this chart is a blue vertical line which is the 24 cd (calendar day) cycle. It has been at highs and lows. The next date is January 12th, that's the same day as the next 24th harmonic for the Sun / Saturn aspect. Again Jan 12 is close to the Jan 10th, 11th date either a potential low or the start of a move down. With the Presidential press conference on Jan 11 Trump's comments could spark volatility in the markets.

Looking forward I'm expecting very difficult markets in the March / April time frame. In the current time frame I'm looking for a 1/2 Primary cycle crest and volatility caused by both the Jupiter / Uranus opposition being translated by the Sun and Trump's press conference on January 11.

I had a picture in my mind of what Jupiter would look like as a man. Trump looks like Jupiter.

There have been a number of earthquakes over 6.5 the last couple of weeks. I'm expecting more into the New Year.

"Can anybody remember when the times were not hard, and money not scarce."
--Emerson

Get ready for harder times and scarcer money.

Gold

I was looking at October 7th as the start of a new nominal 18 week cycle   ¹ trough. I suspect we have just put in a low in Gold on December 15th.

December 15 may have been the Gold low we have been looking for. It is possible this is a very extended cycle starting on June 2nd, 2016. This would mean October 7th was not a Primary low.

I'm looking at December 15th being the low and we are therefore 3 weeks into a new Primary cycle.

Gold did break through the 61.8% retracement on the chart and pull back on Friday. Assuming Gold is just retesting the 61.8% retracement and then up would be very bullish for PM's. Note the 15 day sma is curling up. We will want to see Gold price move above the 45 day sma for are next sign post of a bullish Gold move.

Like stocks Gold can be effected by the Mercury retrograde. Following is a daily Gold  chart with the arrows identifying retrograde and direct dates and the Inferior and Superior Sun / Mercury conjunctions. So, we have had the Mercury Retrograde date of December 19th then December 28 for the Inferior conjunction. January 8 has Mercury turning direct again. Any of these 3 dates could be a turn in Gold. Dec 15th was only 1 td away from Mercury turning retrograde.

Beyond the nominal 18 week cycle there is a 13 1/2 month cycle that is due for a trough then up. This cycle typically lands in the 11 to 14th month. Again it may have been December 15th.

The following weekly chart for Gold has the 13.5 month cycle shown as the blue vertical lines. The purple squares are Uranus turning Direct. They often occur near a low then up.

The next chart is a longer term monthly chart showing the 7.4 year cycle in Gold. They are the red vertical lines. Note that the 7.4 year cycle put in a low in late 2015. We are now in a pull back but we are very early in the 7.4 year cycle which should be bullish in the long term.

Crude

August 3rd was the start of a Primary cycle. With the recent move up it now appears we had the Primary cycle low on November 14. This would put us in the 8th week of a new Primary cycle and we may be looking at the crest of the first nominal 6 week cycle. As per normal price has moved above the 15 and 45 day sma and the 15 is above the 45. Typical for a move off a Primary cycle low.

The orange square on the last bar is the Mars / Neptune conjunction. On reviewing history we often get a reversal in crude on this Astrological aspect. Watching for a move down next week. Remember Neptune is a co-ruler of crude. The other planet being Jupiter.

The blue vertical lines are the average longitudes of the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto converted to price.

Note the high on Dec 12th which touched the planetary averages for Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto (blue horizontal lines). This may mark heavy resistance in the future.

I'm watching all aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the two rulers of crude. The price of crude is subject to the vagaries of the OPEC group and the actions of it's individual members

Following is a daily chart of crude showing the price lines for the Sun (green) and Pluto (black). Note that recent move up in crude has stopped. or at least slowed down at the up sloping green line, the Sun price line. Look for resistance here or the Pluto price line directly below in the 52.74  range. The two price lines will cross again on January 7th. Watch Monday's price action. I'm a buyer on a break below the 52.74 area.