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SP500
The last Primary cycle low was August 21st, the day of the
Total Solar Eclipse. The standard for the Primary cycle is 18 weeks. We are now starting the 20th week of the SP500 Primary cycle which has a range from 15 to 23 weeks. This has been an
unusual time with the general market indices seemingly unstoppable.
Some of the cycles that are
coming due are:
- The
Primary Cycle (nominal 18 week)
- 9
/ 18 month cycle
- 5
/ 10 week.
These are all coming due. See
the charts below
The Primary Cycles
The above daily chart of the
SP500 shows the Bradley indicator (thick red line). It indicates a possible
change in trend near Jan 8.
The 9/18 month cycle
Should be near a top but best
wait until proven. It is close to the 18 month cycle (red vertical lines).
The 5/10 week
Following up from last week we
now have 4 planets in Capricorn, an Earth sign. Saturn is in Capricorn, the
sign that it rules. Move carefully and with caution. Saturn is conservative in
politics, practical and can exhibit limitation. This is a time to invest in new
projects. The farmer and the miner are under Saturn’s influence and therefore
farms and mines are under it’s rulership. Saturn is a business planet which
should be emphasized when Saturn joins Jupiter in a mutation conjunction in
December 2020. Much more on this later. This puts both Saturn and Pluto, the
gangsters of the zodiac in Capricorn. Look for debt problems.
This coming year could see an increase in geophysical activity, both
earthquakes and volcanos.
In May Uranus will enter Taurus. Look for financial or banking system
problems or changes. Taurus will go retrograde and then move backward into
Aries before Uranus enters Taurus for good. This may also be a problem in currencies.
Whether it is central bank money,
corporate buy-backs or money from some other source we need to know the time
periods where a correction is more probable. We look at Cycles and Astro events
that have a history of being 65% - 72 % correct. We will continue with this
approach.
We should stay aware the trends in the major US
indices remain up and that is the way they should be played although the
following cycles indicate a change in trend is coming.
The 2nd week in January 2018 has:
Jan 8 Mars sextile Pluto
Venus
sextile Jupiter
Sun
trine Jupiter
All
three are relatively positive
Jan 9 Venus conjunct Pluto
sextile Mars
Sun conjunct Venus
conjunct Pluto
So we have the
Sun, Venus, Pluto conjunct in Capricorn a possible change in trend for the
markets.
Jan 13 and Jan 14 have Venus
square Uranus and the Sun square
Uranus. Uranus is emphasized with it’s typical disruption and environment
of change.
Generally speaking the first
couple of months of 2018 should be volatile. There are 2 Super Moons and 2
Eclipses.
Both eclipses are strong but the
strongest should be the February 15
Solar Eclipse. This is almost opposite the August 21st eclipse
last year. Both are in late Fixed signs. Remember all the violent weather we
had after last years eclipse (Aug 21) and the continuing aggression. More on
this as we get closer.
In addition, Feb 8 has Pluto conjunct the heliocentric
nodes of Pluto. This happens so slowly it needs a broad range of dates.
The above combination, with
Saturn, could be defining problems / restrictions for the general population,
particularly the mature population and with the Sun could affect the President
or other leaders. This combination could affect a number of years in the future
as Saturn is in a sign for approx.. 2 ½ years. Other conditions this may
highlight are State funerals, public sorrow and disappointment in general.
State assets could be affected as well as industries connected to metals and
mining.
The following monthly chart of the DJIA shows when Saturn has been
in Capricorn (red x’s). Notice they have all had significant drops. This chart
also has the 15 year cycle which will be coming due in 2018. 15 Years is 180
months.
There could be some type of
surprise coming in 2018 from the government or exposing something from the
past. There could also be a major breakdown in world affairs or leaders.
The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the
Jupiter price line (blue) and the Sun/Earth price line (green). Both of these
price lines have a history of providing support and resistance.
When the two lines cross we often see a big range
day or reversal. Price is now approaching the next blue Jupiter price line near
the top of the chart. Watch to see if this provides resistance.
I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles for
short term turns. The brown squares are Sun / Saturn 24 degrees on the
following daily chart. The blue vertical lines are 24 cd’s (calendar days).
The next hit is Feb 9, 2018 and March 29, 2018. I have added 3 price lines to this chart.
-
Saturn – black
-
Uranus – purple
-
Neptune - light blue
These price lines can act as support / resistance. It
has been at highs and lows. Note also when they cross often gets a reaction in
price on a short-term basis. Also note, near the top of the chart is a light
blue line. This is the Neptune Price Line. Note how it has been strong
resistance to price but has broken through. It should act as strong support
when the market turns down.
Gold
Gold appears to have started a new Primary cycle on December 12.
It’s possible we get another pullback but overall, we should be headed up after
a brief pullback.We are 3 weeks along a Primary cycle that started Dec 12th.
Dec 12 was close to the Mars
entering Scorpio mentioned two weeks ago.
The 15 day sma has moved above
the 45 day sma and both are curling up. Price is now above both. This is the
picture we want to see a Primary cycle low which is going up.
Note on the Gold chart below,
the red horizontal lines are the retracement from the move up from December
2015 to Aug 4, 2016. Gold stopped at the 23.6% retracement but has now broken
through.
This will be interesting to see
if a Gold rise is affected by BitCoin and other crypto currencies.
The following chart shows
seasonal tendencies for Gold. The 2nd half of the year, on average, is up.
The longer term.7.4 Year cycle
is shown in the following weekly chart. Note we are still early in the latest 7.4
year cycle.
The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue
vertical lines). The next being December
22nd
The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. It is approaching one of the main Mars Price lines (darker red)
and broken through. Last Friday, Dec 5th, Gold put in a shooting
star Doji, a candlestick signal which could start a pull back. Watch this
Monday.
Watch for resistance around the
Mars price line. Looking at this whole chart it is based on a 24 harmonic. If
you count each line from one darker red line to the next you will find there
are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.Note price went down to Dec 12
where it bounced of a Mars Price Line.
The following daily chart of
Gold shows the days Mars is entering a new sign (red squares). Look at this
using +- 3 td’s (trading days). The date
is December 8th. These can be at highs or lows. This next one
will be as Mars enters Scorpio the sign that it rules. Note on the chart, Mars changing signs, to
any sign, often has a change in trend in Gold price. The blue circles highlight
when Mars enters Scorpio.
Crude
We were looking at October 6th as being the
trough of the last Primary cycle. The
move out of that date was the start of a Primary cycle. We are entering either the
12h week of the Primary that started on October 6th
The horizontal blue lines are
the average longitude of the planets
Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto (blue). Note how price stopped
on August 1 and August 31, right on
the average longitude. See it again on Sept 14.
The horizontal red lines are the
Fibonacci retracement from Nov 14, 2016 to Feb 21, 2017.
December 2nd was the
Jupiter waning trine Neptune. Watch for a change in trend in crude.
Watch the red Fibonacci
retracement lines and the blue planetary averages.
Also watch the 15 and 45 day sma,
both are curling up.
On the following daily chart of
crude note the green lines sloping up. This is the price line for the
Sun/Earth. The blue lines moving horizontal is the Pluto price line (blue). The
Pluto price line acted as support on
Nov.15th and now at the next level up is acting as resistance.
Note how price often follows the
Sun price line up and often stops and reverses at the Pluto price line. We
often get big range days when the two lines cross, like October 27th.and
Nov 22.
The Jan 9 date noted above where there are 3 conjunctions of Venus,
the Sun and Pluto. This may be an important date for crude as well. That is, a
move down.
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