Saturday, December 20, 2014

Financial Astrology - December 21, 2014

We were looking for a decline in the US market indices. It has arrived and gone as the move up from the FED announcement leaves us just off the ATH, All Time Highs. Cycle-wise we are in the
10th week of a Primary  1  cycle and I have dropped the Aug 7th date as the beginning of this Primary (nominal 18 week) cycle although this leaves us with a distorted Primary cycle 10 weeks from Aug 7th to the Oct 15th low.

The long discussed 6th instance of the Uranus / Pluto waxing square was exact on Monday, Dec 15th. It brought the markets down but not with the force or length of time we had expected. I believe it was either Bill Meridian or Charles Jayne (both astrologers) who said, "that the final aspect in a series (like this one) strikes the telling blow". The 7th and last square in this series is March 16, 2015. There are a number of other potent astrological aspects in the second half of March. This could be a very telling period of time.

Bear in mind the Uranus / Pluto aspect is a long term square which last took place in 1876 and is very much still in orb. On Sunday, Uranus turns direct meaning it will be standing still, as viewed from Earth for a number of days around the reversal date. Watch for events, and they could be the markets,  or other, on Dec 22, 23rd.

We are witnessing the effects of this square both in the stock markets of the world and social unrest on the streets of the USA. There have obviously been upsets and social unrest in many countries, much of which as a result of this long term square. Things will be changing once we get past this square (next and last occurrence March 16, 2015).

There are two major transits coming up over the next 4 weeks which will directly affect the Uranus / Pluto square. Dates are reserved for subscribers.

As a general statement going forward. For the past couple of years I have been forecasting troughs and crests in the general market indices. There has been no mention of market crashes or more dire events. The strength of the market has been impressive although it may have been manipulated up in the US and other markets, ex. Japan.

For 2015 and the first quarter of 2016 we'll be looking to call a more severe market turn and possible crash.

There are a number of longer term market cycles that could hit in 2015. Two we've discussed before are the 4 year cycle and the 6 year cycle. There are a number of longer term cycles as well which are covered in the market letter.

Historically we are entering the strong period of the year for the markets. We also have the reaction to the mid-term elections in the US. It was pointed out to me this is typically very positive when there is a democratic president. This is based on averages but we should be aware of market tendencies to move in one direction or the other.

I know we are probably in a Santa Claus rally and Xmas is next week and the FED is being supportive, and financial news is positive, BUT, looking at the astros, they look negative both in the short term, next week and again in January.

Please note the new format has additional comments. I've included the key charts as well.
Turn on your speakers.


Jupiter / Uranus trine VIDEO

Market cycles. VIDEO

2014 Forecast Dates

Gold appears to have put in a trough on Nov 7th. This would put us in the 7th week of it's Primary cycle   1  (nominal 18 week). We are in the time period for the first nominal 6 week pullback of the Primary cycle.

It has been difficult forecasting many of the commodities due to possible deflationary forces, wild currency moves and market manipulation.

We have fallen below the descending trend line and the 15 and 45 day sma. We are either going down into the nominal 6 week trough or a more significant move down is forming and the nominal 18 week cycle count is incorrect and the cycle started on Oct 6th. The latter would put us in the 12th week and would be very bearish considering the high was put in shortly after Oct 6th.

Gold Price Lines VIDEO

Silver also appears to be in the 7th week of it's Primary cycle cycle  1  on Nov 7th. looks like the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week cycle) trough. I'm ignoring the long tail on the data from Dec 1 and assume it's bad data. We may be due for a dip into the first nominal 6 week cycle. Watch for signs of a trough.

I'm looking for crude to settle in a price range. We may have a few more weeks of volatility first There are no astrological events that would directly affect crude until mid-January where we have the heliocentric waxing trine between Jupiter and Uranus. Jupiter is a co-ruler of crude. For now I'll take Dec 16th as the Primary cycle low realizing we may get side-ways consolidation rather than a move up which is what to usually expect at cycle troughs.

The big questions is whether this huge move in crude is a more permanent structural change or shorter term. I suspect we are seeing a new outlook for crude at lower prices.

Financial analysts (I was one of those) are busy re-pricing the value of oil producers and therefore their assets and stock price. We will probably have swings for the next few days until this process is complete.

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee and Copper reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?
People signing up now (after November 1st) will get the rest of 2014 and the first half of 2015, Jan. - June). The 1st half 2015 dates will be available Dec 7, 2014

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