This week's blog post and letter
will be shorter than usual due to market closings and holiday period. 2015
should be interesting.
SP500
I was waiting for a down move in
the main US
indices. We are still waiting. The move up from the FED announcement leaves us
at the ATH, (All Time Highs) in the DJIA, SP500 and Russell 2000. For the
SP500, Cycle-wise we are in the 11th
week of a Primary 1
cycle and I have dropped the Aug 7th date as
the beginning of this Primary (nominal 18 week) cycle although this leaves us
with a distorted Primary cycle 10 weeks from Aug 7th to the Oct 15th low.
The long discussed 6th instance of
the Uranus / Pluto waxing square was
exact on Monday, Dec 15th. It
brought the markets down but not with the force or length of time I had
expected. I believe it was either Bill Meridian or Charles Jayne (both
astrologers) who said, "that the final aspect in a series (like this one)
strikes the telling blow". The 7th and last square in this series is March 16, 2015. Before we rush ahead
the Sun will translate the Uranus / Pluto square on January 3, 2015 +- a couple of TD's (trading days). There is a chance we get the move down
I have been waiting for around that date but we must respect the strength of
the move up. There are a number of other potent astrological aspects coming up
in Jan 2015 and in February and March. The 1st quarter should be a very telling
period of time.
We are witnessing the effects of
the Uranus / Pluto square, both in the stock markets of the world and social
unrest on the streets of the USA .
There have obviously been upsets and social unrest in many countries, much of
which as a result of this long term square. Things will be changing once we get
past this square (next and last occurrence March 16, 2015).
There is a major transit coming up
over the next 2 weeks which will directly affect the Uranus / Pluto square.
Dates are reserved for subscribers.
As a general statement going
forward. For the past couple of years I have been forecasting troughs and
crests in the general market indices. There has been no mention of market
crashes or more dire events. The strength of the market has been impressive
although it may have been manipulated up in the US
and other markets, ex. Japan .
For 2015 and the first quarter of
2016 we'll be looking to call a more severe market turn and possible crash.
There are a number of longer term
market cycles that could hit in 2015. Two we've discussed before are the 4 year
cycle and the 6 year cycle. There are a number of longer term cycles as well
which are covered in the market letter.
Historically we are entering the strong period of the year
for the markets. We also have the reaction to the mid-term elections in the US . It
was pointed out to me this is typically very positive when there is a
democratic president. This is based on averages but we should be aware of
market tendencies to move in one direction or the other.
The astros, look negative in the 2nd week in January.
Turn on your speakers.
SP500 VIDEO
Heliocentric Jupiter / Uranus trine VIDEO
Market cycles. VIDEO
2014 Forecast Dates
Gold
Gold appears to have put in a trough on Nov 7th. This would put us in the
8th week of it's Primary cycle 1
(nominal 18 week) during this coming week,.
We are in the time period for the first nominal 6 week pullback of the Primary
cycle and may be seeing a move out of it.
It has been difficult forecasting many of the commodities
due to possible deflationary forces, wild currency moves and market manipulation.
With the move on Dec 26 Gold has made it back to both the
trend line and just over the 45 day sma. This needs to be watched closely. Dec
31 is the 90 td (trading day) cycle which often gets a move in Gold, both up or
down.
Gold Price Lines VIDEO
Silver also appears
to be in the 8th week of it's Primary cycle cycle 1
on
Nov 7th. looks like the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week
cycle) trough. I'm ignoring the long tail on the data from Dec 1 and assume
it's bad data. This latest move down may be the nominal 6 week low so we wait
for the precious metals to raise their hands.
Crude
This week should start the 16th week of the Primary cycle.
We may also have put in a Primary cycle low on Dec 16. We'll need at least a
week to try and determine which is correct. There is a Mars conjunct Neptune aspect and Venus opposition Jupiter on January 19th, 2015. Either way I expect a period of sideways consolidation and looking for crude to
settle in a range around $50.00 .
The questions are how long will it take demand to clear
built up inventories of crude world wide and how much will continuing weak
demand in 2015 effect crude inventories in 2015.
Questions not easily answered. I'll be looking for possible
astrological aspects, like above, that could point to a change in trend for crude.
Let's not forget the two charts I posted for weeks which
pointed to early Dec for a low in crude.
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, other indices, Gold and crude
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