- Our second half 2015 forecast dates are now
available.
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
The market letter is now a monthly
report and the July issue has been sent out. The first, two ALERTs have been
sent to subscribers. We will be sending ALERTS to subscribers with specific dates when there are
imminent trading opportunities forming.
SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are
entering the 23rd week of the
Primary 1
cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015. This cycle is
aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks so we are just outside
the normal range.
A Primary / nominal 18 week cycle
that extend beyond the normal range are often distorted due to another, longer
term cycle. In this case we could be seeing a shortened 50 week cycle or even
the 4 year cycle in this time frame.
It is also possible we saw the
trough for the nominal 18 week cycle on
June 9th. This was brought up by one of our readers and it is worthy of
consideration. June 9th would have met are usual sign posts, price under the 15
and 45 day sma. The 15 day was not below the 45 day sma, but very close. The
fact we made a high almost immediately could indicate a severely Left
translated Primary cycle in which we are looking at approx. 18 weeks down. A
move above June 22nd value would negate that negative outlook but that needs to
happen and I'm looking for the broad indices to be going down from here. We'll
watch this closely.
For now I'm going with the 23rd
week of a longer than normal Primary cycle and watch it closely. I suspect that
a longer term cycle is preparing to hit it's trough.
July 14-16 look like
extreme violence. Bear in mind what we are saying is that this period, with the
Astrological aspects, is more prone to extreme violence than normal.
July has many negative aspects, particularly
the week starting July 13 and then
late in the month. The Uranus / Pluto square that we have followed for a number
of years is still in orb. The last exact hit was in March of this year but it's
effects will be felt into 2019. This month the Sun then Mars and Mercury will
translate the Uranus / Pluto square. This should be negative for the markets
(debt) and world affairs in general.
The Sun then Mars and Mercury will
form a powerful T-square with Uranus and Pluto. We should see volatility,
surprise moves and possibly other news of world events. This period of unexpected
moves and news should stretch into the first half of August. There should be
more news than Greece
this month.
This weekend we have the Sun in
waxing square to Uranus. This is the square which always occurs approximately 14 days before Uranus turns retrograde.
On August 13th the Sun will be in waxing trine to Uranus. This trine always
occurs approx. 18 days after the
Uranus retrograde date. Thus we have a window around the Uranus retrograde
which is 14 days before to 18 days after, a period where Uranus is highlighted.
Uranus in Aries should bring out conflict surrounding individuals choice and
freedom. People want independence while Pluto in Capricorn and the
establishment want to control the people. They want the status quo. Aries
actions with Uranus can be fiery and impulsive but may not think things
through. Watch out for military actions broken alliances and treaty's. Uranus also rules technology. It is no coincidence the New York stock exchange had technical computer problems last week, as did Untied Airlines.
This has been a confusing time for
many people. They feel something big is about to happen, but don't know what. I
don't know what but I'm looking for something out of the ordinary by the end of
October. It could be over the next few weeks.
Violence is nothing
new but of particular note this coming week are Mars and Pluto and possibly
extreme violence.
The
obvious is the Mars and Mercury opposition to Pluto on July 15th.
The not
so obvious is the Mars cycle chart.
That's the chart that is drawn up when a planet crosses 0 degrees declination
from South to North used in mundane Astrology.
On that
chart Mars squares Uranus and opposes Pluto while Mars opposes Pluto in the
Tropical Zodiac. This appears to be a period of time when violence gets
extreme. This could include social unrest, plane crashes, police shootings
(racial violence?), violent crime and possibly multiple terrorist attacks. Earthquakes
and volcanic activity are also possible as is violent weather. Not pleasant and
right in front of us.
In the
middle of this we have Venus waning square Saturn, often found near Primary
cycle troughs. Venus is money and Saturn is discipline, and debt. You may
recall Saturn is still in mutual
reception with Pluto. Saturn is in Scorpio (ruled by Pluto) and Pluto is in
Capricorn (ruled by Saturn). Mutual reception makes both planets stronger.
The end of the month in particular
has Venus and Uranus turning retrograde then in early August, Saturn turns
direct very close to a very important
aspect. This is potentially a momentous period of change for the next month.
I'm looking specifically at precious metals and perhaps changes in currency or
bonds and major events on the world
stage. Volatility will be seen in many markets.
At this point, following are the
highs in the US
indexes.
DJIA May 19, 2015
DJTI Nov 28, 2014
SP500 May 20, 2015
NYSE May 21, 2015
RUT Jun 23, 2015
I was looking at 2080, 2066 or 2050 as potential targets
for this Primary cycle trough for the SP500. We did dip below the 2044 area, again giving some credence to the
nominal 18 week completing.
Following is a chart of the European Union Maastricht Treaty
The inner wheel is the placement
of the planets when the treaty came into being. The outer wheel is the planets
as at July 15th.
Video
Another chart we have not looked at for awhile is the
following daily chart of the SP500 with a fan indicator. The dark blue fan line
is 45 degrees. The starting point is the low at March 6, 2009. The blue 45 degree line is currently at 2080. Watch
for any significant break at this level. It has been good support / resistance
for some time.
Another long term chart showing
weakness is the following weekly chart of the SP500 with a 21 week (red) and 34
week (blue) weekly averages again showing weakness. Price has not spent much
time below these moving averages during the massive move up. The 3 red squares
are the Saturn / Uranus sesquisquare (135 degrees).
There are other transits pointing
to a potential stronger move down, reserved for subscribers.
I'm also back to looking for
geophysical upsets, earthquakes and volcanic activity particularly mid-July and
early August.
In summary I continue
to look at the markets in July to be
volatile but down. We may be putting in a longer term cycle low. There are
stressful and potentially violent aspects this coming week and the potential
for surprise moves this week and in late July / early August.
Remember: War is when the government tells you who
the enemy is. Revolution is when you figure it out for yourself.
Also remember:
"It's a poor sort of memory that only works backwards"
-- Lewis Carroll, The White Queen, Through the Looking-Glass
-- Lewis Carroll, The White Queen, Through the Looking-Glass
Gold
Gold put in a Primary cycle 1
trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the
Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 17th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week. We should be getting close to a trough over
the next few weeks. Subscribers have dates. Besides the 18 week cycle there are
a number of longer term cycles due and potent aspects which have a history of
turns in precious metals.
Gold put in a high on Monday May 18th, the same day as
Mercury turned retrograde and then headed down and it is still headed down. Gold
had a Hammer Doji on Friday, a sign of bullish reversal. We sometimes see a
number of hammers before the reversal takes place. The aspects I mentioned at
the end of the month are potentially momentous for precious metals and possibly
currencies.
The Nov 17, 2014 low near 1130 was challenged on March 17th
around 1142. I'm looking for the current
move down to find support in that range, 1130-1142. A reversal in Gold
could occur at any time.
We are monitoring another cycle for Gold which will hit in
the summer but reserved for subscribers. That cycle and others with the placement of Jupiter in the summer
may be pointing to a strong reversal in Gold.
As noted last week, Mercury retrograde has a strong history
of changes in trend for Gold close to the retrograde date. In this case it was
to the day. The direct date also has a history of changes in Gold price (June
11th).
The Gold chart is fulfilling all our requirements for a
nominal 18 week cycle low, that is price is below the 15 and 45 day sma's and
the 15 day is less than the 45 day.
The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus
(green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold was heading down and may have
found support at the Venus price line. Watch price action early in the week. The
next date where the Venus and Jupiter price lines cross is July 23rd, a
sesquisquare.
Crude
This coming week of July
13 we should be entering the 17th
week of a Primary cycle which started Mar
18, 2015.
I'm watching the dates around any Neptune or Jupiter aspects. July
1st had Venus conjunct Jupiter and the Sun trine Neptune ,
a big down day. There are other Astrological signatures with a history of moves
in crude. Dates are reserved for subscribers.
Crude put in a "W" bottom, marked PB (Primary
bottom) and DB ( double bottom).
Crude has broken below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of
the move down from
June 12, 2014 to March 17, 2015. Both the 15 and 45 day
sma's are rolling over and price is below both. It appears to be preparing for
a nominal 18 week low. Bear in mind it is difficult trading crude here. The
first week in August may turn out to be eventful for crude. Any news out of Saudi Arabia or
other big producers or potential disruption would change crude prices quickly.
As seen on the following chart crude finally dropped away
from the Neptune price line (green) and now sits on the Neptune price line at
51.95, 2 levels below where we were a little over 2 weeks ago. They are 45
degrees apart. 45 degrees is (360 / 8) = 45 or also known as the 8th harmonic.
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude
also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?
The 2nd half 2015
dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in July) are available
for purchase.
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