- Our second half 2015 forecast dates are now
available.
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
The market letter is now a monthly
report and the July issue has been sent out. The first, two ALERTs have been
sent to subscribers. We will be sending ALERTS to subscribers with specific dates when there are
imminent trading opportunities forming.
SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are
entering the 2nd week of a new
Primary cycle or still in an expanded Primary cycle in the 24th week of the older Primary 1
cycle . This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a
range of 15 to 21 weeks so we are just outside the normal range of the older
cycle.
A Primary / nominal 18 week cycle
that extends beyond the normal range are often distorted due to another, longer
term cycle about to hit it's trough. In this case we could be seeing a
shortened 50 week cycle or even the 4 year cycle in this time frame.
The recent positive price moves
are pointing to the SP500 entering the 2nd
week of a new Primary and that's the way I'm leaning but won't throw out
the older cycle quite yet. New Primary cycles are typically very bullish,
particularly when the long term trend has been bullish.
New Primary cycles also often pull back in the first 2-3 weeks of the
cycle. Look for this potential pullback next week. A pullback to the 2087 - 2097 area is quite possible. If it's a new
bullish Primary the cycle would then continue up from there. The pullback may
start early next week and be over on July 23-24th or closer to the difficult
aspects near the end of the month.
For subscribers who have shorted
the SP500, if we get that pullback look to cover near the pullback lows. If the
pullback is on strong volume and below 2108 you may wish to hold your shorts.
This still could be the older 24
week but this bullish move at the end of a cycle would be highly unusual. That
said, the markets have been unusual with rumors of manipulation in stocks,
futures and other markets. It's a Neptune in Pisces thing.
For now I'm going with the 2nd week of a new Primary cycle which
started July 7th and watching for the pullback that often occurs in the 2nd -
3rd week. I've noted the approx. area I'm looking for this pullback above. We
may hit resistance around the 2109 area (see 2 charts below).
If July 7th was the Primary cycle
low it was 1 day off the estimated date at the bottom right of the following
chart. Th estimate was done in early February 2015.
On the following chart which is
the average longitude of the planets Mars through Pluto
(blue lines) converted to price.
We moved back above the Mars-Pluto planetary average which is now at 2108.77. This maybe an example of a line
changing from resistance to support. The Doji on Friday may be a reversal
signal. I drew the green trend line on the chart which connected recent tops
and is where I has going to cover shorts. It didn't break through so I'm
holding shorts from last week.
On the chart the red dots are
previous OPEX dates. (Option expiry, 3rd Friday of each month). The market has
been pulling back after these dates and Friday was OPEX. I read this somewhere
but forgotten the source.
Next week should continue with
violent acts, possible natural disasters and potential destructive weather. These blog posts are not just for the USA as we have members form all over the world, thus when I mention potential destructive weather we should understand it could be anywhere on the globe.
Mars and Mercury are both
translating the Uranus / Pluto square so all the issues covered in numerous
reports and blog entries about the Uranus / Pluto square still apply. Uranus in
Aries should bring out conflict surrounding individuals choice and freedom.
People want independence while Pluto in Capricorn and the establishment want to
control the people. They want the status quo. Aries actions with Uranus can be
fiery and impulsive but may not think things through. Watch out for military
actions broken alliances, treaty's and possibly more banking problems.
Mars and Mercury will form a
powerful T-square with Uranus and Pluto. We should see volatility, surprise
moves and possibly other news of world events. This period of unexpected moves
and news should stretch into the first half of August. There should be more
news than Greece
this month. Watch for news on currency wars. China and the USA should be center stage on this issue. Let's not leave Russia out or the BRICS. The Europe situation is not over.
The recent events in Europe provide an excellent example of Pluto as power and big money controlling the people they are supposed to support. I think the sense of entitlement by those in power (not just in Europe) will be their downfall.
In Greece banks have been shut and even when opened will Greek citizens be denied access to all their money? Why would a Greek leave money in a Greek bank?
What message is this sending to the citizens of France, Spain, Portugal and Italy. Can they trust their banks? Should they take their money out while they can? I would.
The recent events in Europe provide an excellent example of Pluto as power and big money controlling the people they are supposed to support. I think the sense of entitlement by those in power (not just in Europe) will be their downfall.
In Greece banks have been shut and even when opened will Greek citizens be denied access to all their money? Why would a Greek leave money in a Greek bank?
What message is this sending to the citizens of France, Spain, Portugal and Italy. Can they trust their banks? Should they take their money out while they can? I would.
This has been a confusing time for
many people. They feel something big is about to happen, but don't know what. I
don't know what but I'm looking for something out of the ordinary by the end of
October. It could be over the next few weeks.
The end of the month in particular
has Venus and Uranus turning retrograde
then in early August, Saturn turns
direct very close to a very important
aspect. This is potentially a momentous period of change for the next month.
I'm looking specifically at precious metals and perhaps changes in currency or
bonds, banking and major events on the world
stage. Volatility should be seen in many markets.
At this point, following are the
highs in the US
indexes.
DJIA May 19, 2015
DJTI Nov 28, 2014
SP500 May 20, 2015
NYSE May 21, 2015
RUT Jun 23, 2015
COMPQX July 17,
2015
If you didn't listen to this last week,
following is a chart of the European
Union Maastricht Treaty
The inner wheel is the placement
of the planets when the treaty came into being. The outer wheel is the planets
as at July 15th.
Video
Another chart we have not looked at for awhile is the
following daily chart of the SP500 with a fan indicator. The dark blue fan line
is 45 degrees. The starting point is the low at March 6, 2009. The blue 45 degree line is currently at 2080. Watch
for any significant break at this level. It has been good support / resistance
for some time. It moved back above the 45 degree line currently very close to
2100.
Another long term chart showing
weakness is the following weekly chart of the SP500 with a 21 week (red) and 34
week (blue) weekly averages again showing weakness. Price has not spent much
time below these moving averages during the massive move up. The 3 red squares
are the Saturn / Uranus sesquisquare (135 degrees). Price has moved above the
moving averages but the 21 and 34 week moving averages are still pointing down.
I'm also back to looking for
geophysical upsets, earthquakes and volcanic activity particularly mid-July and
early August. Watch Uranus dates +- a few.
In summary I continue
to look at the markets in July to be
volatile. I was looking for July to be down and we may still be. I'm
looking for a move down next week as noted above. There are stressful and
potentially violent aspects this coming week and the potential for surprise
moves this week and in late July / early August. The aspects near the end of
the month and early August could be pointing to another debt or banking event. Saturn
turning direct in Scorpio and is in mutual reception with Pluto. This makes the Saturn changing to direct motion very strong, The fact that it is also close to another significant Saturn aspect makes it stronger. Discipline and debt come to mind.
Gold
Gold put in a Primary cycle 1
trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the
Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 18th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week. We should be getting close to a trough over
the next few weeks. Subscribers have dates. Besides the 18 week cycle there are
a number of longer term cycles due and potent aspects which have a history of
turns in precious metals.
Gold put in a high on Monday May 18th, the same day as
Mercury turned retrograde and then headed down and it is still headed down. The
aspects I mentioned at the end of the month are potentially very important for
precious metals and possibly currencies and bonds.
The Nov 17, 2014 low near 1130 was passed on July 17th, with
a low of 1129.60
We are monitoring another cycle for Gold which will hit in
the summer but reserved for subscribers. That cycle and others with the placement of Jupiter in the summer
may be pointing to a strong reversal in Gold. Another Astrological event that has a strong history of changes in the trend is Venus turning retrograde given a broad range. This occurs the same day Mars squares Uranus, July 25th and one day away from Uranus turning retrograde. On the same day Venus (money) is parallel Uranus (sudden changes). These are powerful Astros which could effect Gold and other markets.
The Gold chart is fulfilling all our requirements for a
nominal 18 week cycle low, that is price is below the 15 and 45 day sma's and
the 15 day is less than the 45 day and there are a number of Astrological aspects
which have a history of changes in trend for Gold. Watch for a quick reversal
over the coming week or last week of July.
The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus
(green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold was heading down and may have
found support at the Venus price line. Watch price action early in the week. The
next date where the Venus and Jupiter price lines cross is July 23rd, a
sesquisquare.
Crude
This coming week of July
20 we should be entering the 18th
week of a Primary cycle which started Mar
18, 2015.
I'm watching the dates around any Neptune or Jupiter aspects. July
1st had Venus conjunct Jupiter and the Sun trine Neptune ,
a big down day. There are other Astrological signatures with a history of moves
in crude. Dates are reserved for subscribers.
Crude put in a "W" bottom, marked PB (Primary
bottom) and DB ( double bottom).
Crude has broken below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of
the move down from
June 12, 2014 to March 17, 2015. Both the 15 and 45 day
sma's are rolling over and price is below both. It appears to be preparing for
a nominal 18 week low. Bear in mind it is difficult trading crude here. The
first week in August may turn out to be eventful for crude. Any news out of Saudi Arabia or
other big producers or potential disruption would change crude prices quickly.
As seen on the following chart crude finally dropped away
from the Neptune price line (green) and now sits close to the Jupiter price
line at 50.51, 2 levels below where we were a little over 2 weeks ago. They are
45 degrees apart. 45 degrees is (360 / 8) = 45 or also known as the 8th
harmonic.
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude
also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?
The 2nd half 2015
dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in July) are available
for purchase.
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