Friday, July 31, 2015

Financial Astrology - August 3, 2015

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The market letter is now a monthly report and the August issue will be sent out this weekend. We will be sending ALERTS to subscribers with specific dates when there are imminent trading opportunities forming.

For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 4th week of a new Primary cycle  1 cycle that started on July 7th.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.

The next time band for a nominal 18 week (Primary) cycle trough is noted on the first chart and is from Oct 19 through Dec 1st 2015. There are a number of longer term cycles that may hit their troughs about the same time. Details on the subscriber letter.

First we should be looking for the crest of the first nominal 6 week cycle of the Primary cycle. The nominal 18 week cycle often breaks down into 3 nominal 6 week cycles. They would have a range of 5-7 weeks. As we are 4 weeks along in the 18 week cycle and will enter the 5th week on Aug 6th, we should start looking for a crest for the 6 week cycle. If this carries on to a 1/2 Primary cycle, I'll discuss it next week.

Fridays, July 31st negative action could have may have been the crest of the first 6 week cycle of the nominal 18 week cycle. There are a number of heavy Saturn aspects next week.

The fact I'm looking for a slow forming top for the whole 6 year move means we may start seeing some left translated cycles or at least cresting in the middle of the cycle rather than being right translated. Left translated meaning the crest occurs early in the cycle and it spends more of it's time going down than going up. I believe the top will most probably be a long process rather than a single event. It may stretch out a few months.

From last weeks blog post:
"We got the move down I was expecting. The question now is does the SP500 start moving up again into the crest of the first 6 week cycle of the nominal 18 week cycle. If it does not move up this would be very bearish as we could be looking at a very left translated cycle."

So the SP500 did start moving up on July 28th. The move down from July 20th to July 27th was the move I mentioned about a pullback in the 2nd to 3rd week of a new Primary cycle. If the high on July 31 is the crest for this 6 week cycle it was quite weak. I had expected the crest to be closer to or above the July 20th high.

There are a number of volatile Astrological events over the first two weeks of August which could effect the markets, Gold and Crude and possibly world events. With Saturn and Pluto involved we also cannot rule out earthquakes and violent weather. Subscribers have the dates. In addition Jupiter and Saturn will be involved in an important 240 year event in a few years. The details are included in the subscriber letter. I will say it is tied into an Astrological aspect occurring next week.

July 7th was the Primary cycle low and it was 1 day off the estimated date at the bottom right of the following chart. The estimate was done in early February this year.

On the following daily chart of the SP500 the light blue lines are Fibonacci retracements from June 22nd to July 7th. Note today's move got stopped at the 78.6 % extended Fib retracement. 78.6 is the square root of 61.8.

On the following chart which is the average longitude of the planets Mars through Pluto
(blue lines) converted to price. After the pullback price touched the thin blue line, the Mars-Pluto planetary average at 2093.25, then rebounded to the thicker blue line at 2110 then retreated,

On the chart the red dots are previous OPEX dates. (Option expiry, 3rd Friday of each month). The market has been pulling back after these dates and Friday was OPEX. I read this somewhere but forgotten the source.

The next two weeks have a number of Saturn aspects. Saturn is discipline, enduring, contracting and structure. Saturn is in Scorpio until Sept 17th. Among other things Scorpio is other peoples money and debt. Saturn and Pluto are also in mutual reception. Saturn is in Scorpio, the sign Pluto rules and Pluto is in Capricorn, the sign Saturn rules. This makes both planets stronger.

The coming aspects could also indicate earthquake activity or severe weather. Violent events continue.

At this point, following are the highs in the US indexes.
DJIA               May 19, 2015
DJTI               Nov 28, 2014
SP500             May 20, 2015
NYSE             May 21, 2015
RUT               Jun 23, 2015
COMPQX      July 20, 2015

Another chart we have not looked at for awhile is the following daily chart of the SP500 with a fan indicator. The dark blue fan line is 45 degrees. The starting point is the low at March 6, 2009. The blue 45 degree line is currently at 2103. Watch for any significant break at this level. It has been good support / resistance for some time. It moved back below the 45 degree this week.

Another long term chart showing weakness is the following weekly chart of the SP500 with a 21 week (red) and 34 week (blue) weekly averages again showing weakness. Price has not spent much time below these moving averages during the massive move up. The 3 red squares are the Saturn / Uranus sesquisquare (135 degrees). I'm watching this weekly chart to see if the 21 sma crosses below the 34 week moving average.

In summary I look at the markets in the coming two weeks and there may be a depressive air. We got the move down I was expecting and then the move back up, also expected, however, I had expected the SP500 to rise further last week. The question now is, does the SP500 start moving up again into the crest of the first 6 week cycle of the nominal 18 week cycle or did we see the crest on Friday. The Astrological aspects seem to be pointing to a move down. If it does not move up this would be  bearish as we could be looking at a very left translated cycle.

As I've said elsewhere I'm looking for a market to slowly trend down with many ups and downs along the way.

So we have Saturn and Jupiter aspect next week. There is also a square between Venus and Saturn. This just occurred in July but due to retrograde motion we have a second Venus / Saturn square. Venus, among other things is money. Saturn, among other things is discipline and situated in intense Scorpio is debt.

On Aug 3rd Jupiter will make a waning square to Saturn. There's a lot to say about this aspect. Here's one point. Every pass of the waning square between Jupiter and Saturn that has been a 3 pass has resulted in a longer term cycle unfolding between the first and last passages. This will be a 3 pass. The dates are Aug 3, 2015, March 23, 2016 and June 26, 2016. We should be looking for a longer term cycle to occur between the Aug 3, 2015 and June 26, 2016. Subscribers have the longer term cycles. Subscribers also have information on the upcoming "Mutation Conjunction" in Air, which should be an exciting period of time. The last time this happened was the year 1226.

See the following weekly chart of the DJIA. The red squares are the Jupiter Saturn waning square, 3 pass. The green squares are the Saturn Neptune square. They overlap and could be pointing to a period of change in the markets.

There are stressful and potentially violent aspects coming up and the potential for surprise moves into early August. The aspects in early August could be pointing to another debt event. Saturn turning direct in Scorpio and is in mutual reception with Pluto. This should have a strong effect.

"What everyone is looking for, is what is looking."
-- St. Francis of Assisi

Gold put in a  Primary cycle   1 trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 20th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week.  

It should be noted Gold has followed an 18-19 week cycle fairly closely for 2 years although there were some inversions (a high where a low was expected). We should be getting close to a trough. Subscribers have dates. Besides the 18 week cycle there are a number of longer term cycles due and potent aspects which have a history of turns in precious metals.

Saturn turns Direct on Aug 2nd and a change in trend for Gold often occurs near this signature +- 3 tds. The next day, Aug 3rd Jupiter is in waning square to Saturn, this also has a strong history of Primary cycle turns.

We are monitoring another cycle for Gold which will hit in the summer but reserved for subscribers. That cycle and others  with the placement of Jupiter in the summer may be pointing to a strong reversal in Gold.

The Gold chart is fulfilling all our requirements for a nominal 18 week cycle low, that is price is below the 15 and 45 day sma's and the 15 day is less than the 45 day and there are a number of Astrological aspects which have a history of changes in trend for Gold. Watch for a reversal in trend over the coming week or second week in August. This looks quite positive but we must remember the last thing central banks want is a rising Gold price.

The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold has been moving sideways over last week.. The Miners (Gold Mining companies) often lead Gold higher. Some indicators like "TSI" are improving for The Miners.

On July 19, 2015 approximately 2.7 billion dollars of Gold was dumped on the market at 9:30 pm on a Sunday evening. This was at a time when the market was the least liquid. Whoever was selling was guaranteed to get the lowest price. This had the effect reducing Gold prices by $50.00 per ounce or approx. 4.2%. I bring this up as an example of market manipulation that is occurring. There are many other examples.

This coming week of Aug 3rd we should be entering the 20th week of a Primary cycle which started Mar 18, 2015.

I'm watching the dates around any Neptune or Jupiter aspects. July 1st had Venus conjunct Jupiter and the Sun trine Neptune, a big down day. There are other Astrological signatures with a history of moves in crude. Dates are reserved for subscribers.

Crude put in a "W" bottom, marked PB (Primary bottom) and DB ( double bottom).

Crude has broken below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the move down from
June 12, 2014 to March 17, 2015. Both the 15 and 45 day sma's are rolling over and price is below both. It appears to be preparing for a nominal 18 week low. Bear in mind it is difficult trading crude here. The first week in August may turn out to be eventful for crude. Jupiter waning trine Saturn and looking out further Saturn square Neptune on Nov 26th. Any news out of Saudi Arabia or other big producers or potential disruption would change crude prices quickly.

As seen on the following chart crude finally dropped away from the Neptune price line (green) and now sits close to the next Neptune price line which is 47.41.

The lines are 45 degrees apart. 45 degrees is (360 / 8) = 45 or also known as the 8th harmonic.

We are getting late in the nominal 18 week cycle in crude. Watch price closely as it approaches any of the price lines.

Another chart we have not shown for awhile is the weekly crude chart with the 16 week (red) and 24 week (blue) cycles. Where they meet the cycle line is green and is typically found at crests but sometimes inverts to a trough. The next green line is early November. 2015.

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 2nd half 2015 dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in July) are available for purchase.

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