- Our second half 2015 forecast dates are now
available.
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
We will be sending ALERTS to
subscribers with specific dates when
there are imminent trading opportunities forming. There was a second ALERT sent
out to subscribers on Aug 24th and
another on Sept 9th covering the critical
dates in September
This post will be shorter than
normal due to some computer issues. Be aware the next few weeks could be very
eventful as we have both a Solar and Lunar eclipse and a number of Astrological
aspects which could be signaling a big move. Much will depend on the FED's
decision regarding rates and the markets reaction to it. This includes the
reaction from other countries. Without the details the subscribers have I
should say, it is time to be defensive or offensive if your trading includes shorting.
SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are
entering the 10th week of a new
Primary cycle 1
cycle that started
on July 7th. This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15
to 21 weeks.
The next time band for a nominal
18 week (Primary) cycle trough is noted on the second chart of the SP500 and is
from Oct 19 through Dec 1st 2015.
There are a number of longer term cycles that may hit their troughs about the
same time. Details on the subscriber letter.
An ALERT was sent out to
subscribers on Aug 17th regarding the big move down from Aug 18th to 24th. A similar ALERT has been sent out to
subscribers on Aug 24th and Sept 9th covering key dates for September. Two
of the aspects emphasize confusion and delusion. others a sharp change.
As this primary cycle started on
July 7 and at this point made a crest on July 20th it is a very left translated
and therefore quite bearish. I don't expect the high will be taken out during
this nominal 18 week cycle. I'm expecting September to be very volatile and
most likely we will see another sharp move.
Pluto energies should also be
highlighted. Pluto is about transformation and degeneration. It is about
extremes and the use or mis-use of power, including nuclear energy. In
Capricorn this can stand for the people rebelling against the establishment or
the "powers that be" using their power to control the people. Such
control is often accomplished through fear. The Sun trines Pluto on Sept 5th.
This is the trine that always occurs approx. 20 days before Pluto turns direct.
Pluto direct occurs on Sept 25th and will be in focus.
Due to retrograde / direct motion
(Pluto turn Direct and Mercury turning Retrograde) Mercury (the messenger) will
square Pluto twice within 2 weeks, a very rare occurrence. It should be noted
while Pluto energies take more of a center stage it will be opposing the Sun in
the U.S.
national chart. This is even more rare as this period of time is the first
Pluto / US Sun ever. Pluto moves very
slowly. The Pluto / US Sun opposition has been going on since early February
2014. It should be noted, some countries that have experienced this aspect have
gone through periods of massive change. This can best be described as a period
of creative destruction where things are broken down in order to build up a new
more functional and effective base. If you live in the U.S. this
period will continue for a number of months, well into 2016. Movements like
"Black Lives Mater" are a symptom of this energy.
Following is a monthly chart of
the SP500 with the 7 year cycle on it. The red bars near the bottom of the
cycle indicator show time period that the 7 year cycle is estimated to hit it's
trough.
On the following daily chart I've
noted the time period to look for a trough for this nominal 18 week cycle. Also
note, aafter the sharp move down in August the bounce seems to be running out
of steam. Look at both the Momentum indicator and declining volume on the
chart.
On the following chart which is
the average longitude of the planets Mars through Pluto
(blue lines) converted to price. Price
has fallen through a number of average price lines. We'll come back to this
chart when the markets settle down.
Note the other recent OPEX dates
(red circle). They have been at highs then down. Also note the red vertical
lines (Fibonacci grid) which started at the Oct 15, 2014 low. The next red
vertical line is Fib 233 td's from that October low. More details for
subscribers.
At this point, following are the
highs in the US
indexes. Also noted are the dates the 50 day simple moving average crossed the
200 day sma, the so-called death cross.
DJIA May 19, 2015 50 day sma crossed
below the 200 day sma on Aug 11th
DJTI Nov 28, 2014 50 day sma crossed
below the 200 day sma on May 26th
SP500 May 20, 2015
NYSE May 21, 2015 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Aug 11th
RUT Jun 23, 2015
COMPQX July 20, 2015
Another chart is the following daily chart of the SP500 with
a fan indicator. The dark blue fan line is 45 degrees. The starting point is
the low at March 6, 2009. The blue
45 degree line is currently at 2126.
Price has broken through this line on 3 occasions recently and has now created
some separation. This hasn't happened for some time. This is another bearish
indicator.
Some of the biggest moves in the US markets have
occurred when Saturn is in mutable signs. The mutable signs are Gemini, Virgo,
Sagittarius and Pisces. The following monthly chart of the DJIA shows when
Saturn was in mutable signs, the colored x's. As mentioned above Saturn will be
entering Sagittarius this month.
And one more showing the
geocentric Jupiter / Saturn square (red squares) including the following note (Every
pass of the waning square between Jupiter and Saturn that has been a 3 pass has
resulted in a longer term cycle unfolding between the first and last passages).
In Summary
We will have an a number of trend
changing aspects this month. Bear in mind the short term trend is down and the
medium to longer term trend is up. Subscribers
have dates where bigger moves are expected. Expect volatility and keep in mind
the comments made above about Pluto and the United States natal Sun. Is
creative destruction underway in the US ? Saturn and Pluto energies will
be active as will Mercury which often acts as a trigger. During the Mercury retrograde
period buying and selling, communications and negotiations are highlighted. This
is a period where you should be careful signing agreements or any contractual
commitments. You may incur technology problems or with communications. This does not mean not to go ahead with anything, just be extra
careful on what you are doing. Ray Merriman of MMA has a saying for Mercury
retrograde periods "Take profits too soon". Good advice.
Beyond the markets the days around
the Solar, then Lunar eclipses could see solar storms, geophysical upsets
(earthquakes and volcanic activity) and violent weather.
Gold
Gold put in a Primary cycle 1
trough on March 17th. It appears we got the nominal
18 week trough on July 24th.
We are in the 7th
week of the nominal 18 week cycle. If we reverse up from here this would be
the nominal 6 week cycle trough. If we continue down look for the 1/2 Primary
cycle in a couple of weeks. Like the SP500, Gold also looks week here.
With the currency wars heating up Gold should eventually benefit.
This may not be until the next 18 week
cycle trough, that is late 2015 / early 2016. We need to see more price action
for PM's over the next few weeks. I'm expecting a pullback. Gold often puts in
a low while Jupiter moves through Virgo. Jupiter entered Virgo on August 11th
and will be there until Sept 9, 2016.
Besides the 18 week cycle there are a number of longer term
cycles due and potent aspects which have a history of turns in precious metals.
Crude
This coming week of Sept
14th we should be entering the 4th
week of a new nominal 18 week cycle
which started August 24th.
I said to watch dates near Neptune or Jupiter aspects and the Sun was conjunct Jupiter on Aug
26th. There is more to come but I would expect a bigger move in late November.
Like the SP500, this could turn out to be a very left translated cycle for Crude, which would be quite bearish.
We'll get back to normal next week. It may be a new normal.
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude
also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?
The 2nd half 2015
dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in July) are available
for purchase.
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