- Our second half 2015 forecast dates are now
available.
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
We will be sending ALERTS to
subscribers with specific dates when
there are imminent trading opportunities forming. The last one is posted below
this post. There was a second ALERT sent out to subscribers on Aug 24th covering most of the critical dates in September.
SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are
entering the 9th week of a new Primary
cycle 1
cycle that started
on July 7th. This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15
to 21 weeks.
The next time band for a nominal
18 week (Primary) cycle trough is noted on the second chart of the SP500 and is
from Oct 19 through Dec 1st 2015.
There are a number of longer term cycles that may hit their troughs about the
same time. Details on the subscriber letter.
An ALERT was sent out to subscribers
on Aug 17th regarding the big move down from Aug 18th to 24th. A similar ALERT
has been sent out to subscribers on Aug 24th covering key dates for September.
As this primary cycle started on
July 7 and at this point made a crest on July 20th it is a very left translated
and therefore quite bearish. I don't expect the high will be taken out during
this nominal 18 week cycle. I'm expecting September to be very volatile and
most likely we will see another sharp move. Much will depend on the FED's
decision mid-month.
From an Astro perspective the
forming Jupiter / Neptune opposition will be exact this month. Longer term
transits like this need a trigger to set it off. This can stand for
illusion / delusion and can be
either a lucky period or one of financial losses.
Two planets that should move to
center stage are Saturn and Pluto. Saturn will be changing signs and will be
opposing Admetos. Admetos is a trans-Neptunian point. This stands for patience,
things at a standstill and depression. Saturn moves slowly. Karmic Saturn's
entry into spiritual Sagittarius should have long term benefits. Saturn will
lose some strength with it's entry into Sagittarius, as it will no longer be in
mutual reception with Pluto.
Pluto energies should also be
highlighted. Pluto is about transformation and degeneration. It is about
extremes and the use or mis-use of power, including nuclear energy. In
Capricorn this can stand for the people rebelling against the establishment or
the "powers that be" using their power to control the people. Such
control is often accomplished through fear. The Sun trines Pluto on Sept 5th.
This is the trine that always occurs approx. 20 days before Pluto turns direct.
Pluto direct occurs on Sept 25th and will be in focus.
Due to retrograde / direct motion
(Pluto turn Direct and Mercury turning Retrograde) Mercury (the messenger) will
square Pluto twice within 2 weeks, a very rare occurrence. It should be noted
while Pluto energies take more of a center stage it will be opposing the Sun in
the U.S.
national chart. This is even more rare as this period of time is the first
Pluto / US Sun ever. Pluto moves very
slowly. The Pluto / US Sun opposition has been going on since early February
2014. It should be noted, some countries that have experienced this aspect have
gone through periods of massive change. This can best be described as a period
of creative destruction where things are broken down in order to build up a new
more functional and effective base. If you live in the U.S. this
period will continue for a number of months, well into 2016. Movements like
"Black Lives Mater" are a symptom of this energy.
Following is a monthly chart of
the SP500 with the 7 year cycle on it. The red bars near the bottom of the
cycle indicator show time period that the 7 year cycle is estimated to hit it's
trough. This can be a big move down. Note the negative divergence between price and the TSI indicator on the following chart.
On the following daily chart I've
noted the time period to look for a trough for this nominal 18 week cycle.
On the following chart which is
the average longitude of the planets Mars through Pluto
(blue lines) converted to price. Price
has fallen through a number of average price lines. We'll come back to this
chart when the markets settle down.
Note the other recent OPEX dates
(red circle). They have been at highs then down. Also note the red vertical
lines (Fibonacci grid) which started at the Oct 15, 2014 low. The next red
vertical line is Fib 233 td's from that October low. More details for
subscribers.
At this point, following are the
highs in the US
indexes. Also noted are the dates the 50 day simple moving average crossed the
200 day sma, the so-called death cross.
DJIA May 19, 2015 50 day sma crossed
below the 200 day sma on Aug 11th
DJTI Nov 28, 2014 50 day sma crossed
below the 200 day sma on May 26th
SP500 May
20, 2015
NYSE May 21, 2015 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Aug 11th
RUT Jun 23, 2015
COMPQX July 20, 2015
Another chart is the following daily chart of the SP500 with
a fan indicator. The dark blue fan line is 45 degrees. The starting point is
the low at March 6, 2009. The blue
45 degree line is currently at 2126.
Price has broken through this line on 3 occasions recently and has now created
some separation. This hasn't happened for some time. This is another bearish
indicator.
And I've been waiting for this weekly chart of the SP500
with the 21 and 34 weekly moving averages to turn for some time. Another
bearish indicator. The last time price broke this far below the moving averages
it was October 2011 which many have picked as the 4 year cycle low.
Some of the biggest moves in the US
markets have occurred when Saturn is in mutable signs. The mutable signs are
Gemini, Virgo, Sagittarius and Pisces. The following monthly chart of the DJIA
shows when Saturn was in mutable signs, the colored x's. As mentioned above
Saturn will be entering Sagittarius this month.
And one more showing the
geocentric Jupiter / Saturn square (red squares) including the following note (Every
pass of the waning square between Jupiter and Saturn that has been a 3 pass has
resulted in a longer term cycle unfolding between the first and last passages).
In Summary
We will have a number of trend
changing aspects this month. Bear in mind the short term trend is down and the
medium to longer term trend is up. Subscribers have dates where bigger moves
are expected. Expect volatility and keep in mind the comments made above about
Pluto and the United States
natal Sun. Is creative destruction underway in the US ?
Saturn and Pluto energies will be active as will Mercury which often acts as a trigger. During the Mercury retrograde period buying and selling, communications and negotiations are highlighted. This is a period where you should be careful signing agreements or any contractual commitments. This does not mean not to go ahead with anything, just be extra careful on what you are doing. Ray Merriman of MMA has a saying for Mercury retrograde periods "Take profits too soon". Good advice.
In addition to the aspects noted above there is a Partial Solar Eclipse mid-month and a Total Lunar Eclipse late in the month. Either can cause problems both in the financial realm and geophysical events and violent whether.
We have noted specific dates for subscribers but the whole month could see volatile moves in both directions. The Jupiter/ Neptune opposition in particular can stand for illusion and delusion on a grand scale. The last opposition was a 3 pass and occurred at the 2002-2003 "W" bottom.
We could get a rebound next week from which there is a considerable move lower. An old expression is sell Rosh Hashanah and buy Yom Kippur. This may be good advice this year.
Saturn and Pluto energies will be active as will Mercury which often acts as a trigger. During the Mercury retrograde period buying and selling, communications and negotiations are highlighted. This is a period where you should be careful signing agreements or any contractual commitments. This does not mean not to go ahead with anything, just be extra careful on what you are doing. Ray Merriman of MMA has a saying for Mercury retrograde periods "Take profits too soon". Good advice.
In addition to the aspects noted above there is a Partial Solar Eclipse mid-month and a Total Lunar Eclipse late in the month. Either can cause problems both in the financial realm and geophysical events and violent whether.
We have noted specific dates for subscribers but the whole month could see volatile moves in both directions. The Jupiter/ Neptune opposition in particular can stand for illusion and delusion on a grand scale. The last opposition was a 3 pass and occurred at the 2002-2003 "W" bottom.
We could get a rebound next week from which there is a considerable move lower. An old expression is sell Rosh Hashanah and buy Yom Kippur. This may be good advice this year.
Gold
Gold put in a Primary cycle 1
trough on March 17th. It appears we got the nominal
18 week trough on July 24th.
We are either
starting the 7th week of the first cycle or just put in the trough for the
first nominal 6 week cycle on Sept 4th.
I'm looking at this as still being in the first nominal 6 week cycle. We may have
further to go down. We need to see Gold get above the 1162 area for a more
positive outlook.A move below 1117 should be quite negative.
With the currency wars heating up Gold should eventually benefit.
This may not be until the next 18 week
cycle trough, that is late 2015 / early 2016. We need to see more price action
for PM's over the next few weeks. I'm expecting a pullback. Gold often puts in
a low while Jupiter moves through Virgo. Jupiter entered Virgo on August 11th
and will be there until Sept 9, 2016.
Besides the 18 week cycle there are a number of longer term
cycles due and potent aspects which have a history of turns in precious metals.
Mercury turning retrograde, mentioned above often changes
the trend for Gold.
The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus
(green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold started moving up when it hit the
2nd last 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (red vertical line). It appears to have
started down on the next 27 cd cycle on Sept 2nd. I'm watching to see if we get
support at the Venus price line.
Crude
This coming week of Sept
7th we should be entering the 3rd
week of a new nominal 18 week cycle
which started August 24th.
I said to watch dates near Neptune or Jupiter aspects and the Sun was conjunct Jupiter on Aug
26th. As repeated many times, any date given should be a minimum of 2 +- td's.
If you trade crude watch price closely. We may see a left translated
cycle like the current SP500 nominal 18 week above.
As seen on the following chart crude moved up to the Neptune price line (green) and bounced. Watch to see if
there is resistance at the Jupiter price line (orange). Also watch mid
September where we have Jupiter opposing Neptune .
The lines are 45 degrees apart. 45 degrees is (360 / 8) = 45
or also known as the 8th harmonic.
Another chart we have not shown for awhile is the weekly
crude chart with the 16 week (red) and 24 week (blue) cycles. Where they meet
the cycle line is green and is typically found at crests but sometimes inverts
to a trough. The next green line is early
November. 2015 close to a Neptune direct
signature.
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude
also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?
The 2nd half 2015
dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in July) are available
for purchase.
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