Saturday, September 26, 2015

Financial Astrology - September 28, 2015

 - Our second half 2015 forecast dates are now available.
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We will be sending ALERTS to subscribers with specific dates when there are imminent trading opportunities forming. There was a second ALERT sent out to subscribers on Aug 24th and another on Sept 9th covering the critical dates in September

SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 12th week of a new Primary cycle  1 cycle that started on July 7th.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.

The next time band for a nominal 18 week (Primary) cycle trough is noted on the second chart of the SP500 below and is from Oct 19 through Dec 1st 2015. There are a number of longer term cycles that may hit their troughs about the same time. Details on the subscriber letter.

An ALERT was sent out to subscribers on Aug 17th regarding the big move down from Aug 18th to 24th. A similar ALERT has been sent out to subscribers on Aug 24th and Sept 9th covering key dates for September and early October. The first and second dates of the last ALERT has been hit. They were  Sept. 17 and Sept. 25, 2015.
Some subscribers have made a good amount of money from these ALERTS, including me. I am an active trader. There are eventful dates in the last ALERT still to unfold.

As this primary cycle started on July 7 and at this point made a crest on July 20th it is a very left translated and therefore quite bearish. I don't expect the high will be taken out during this nominal 18 week cycle. I'm expecting September and the first part of October to be very volatile and most likely we will see another sharp move.

The low at August 25th was either a nominal 6 week cycle trough which was 7 weeks along or a 1/2 primary cycle trough. It could quite possibly be the 50 week cycle low and also possible is the 4 year low. This is very important, it could have been a 4 year cycle low, although I suspect we'll see it over the next few weeks at a deeper level. If it was a 4 year cycle low the markets should be bullish.

The Sun just entered Libra, a Cardinal, Air sign and a marker that the first half of the Astrological year is over. This time of the year has a strong history of sharp moves down in the US indices. September's sharp move could have been it but I think we have another in front of us before the markets move up.

We should be looking for a nominal 18 week cycle low between October 19 and December 1st. This may be a short nominal 18 week cycle. If it comes in on the short side that would be the week of October 19th or close to it. This may also be the time for the 4 year cycle to hit it's trough.

Before we get there I'm looking for continued volatility but trending down with the possibility of another sever move down.

We just had Pluto turning direct on Sept 26th and early October we have a number of transits to Pluto.

The reason this is important is that transiting Pluto has just turned direct and is opposing the Sun in the natal U.S.A. chart. This is using the Sagittarius rising chart. Transiting Pluto is also squaring the natal Saturn in the U.S.A. chart as well. This is creating a powerful T-square between transiting Pluto and the natal US Sun and Saturn. These aspects will be in orb well into 2016. This may not be a great time to live in the US. Pluto will force a change in the status quo and the future is very much dependent how change is handled.

Pluto is all about transformation that will happen or be forced to happen. It is about the end of the status quo possibly in a violent way.

It is about extremes and the use or mis-use of power, including nuclear energy. In Capricorn this can stand for the people rebelling against the establishment or the "powers that be" using their power to control the people. Such control is often accomplished through fear.

Due to retrograde / direct motion (Pluto turns Direct and Mercury turning Retrograde) Mercury (the messenger) will square Pluto three time with the last one coming on October 22nd, a very rare occurrence. This is the first time Pluto has opposed the US Sun ever. Pluto moves very slowly. The Pluto / US Sun opposition has been going on since early February 2014. It should be noted, some countries that have experienced this aspect have gone through periods of massive change. This can best be described as a period of creative destruction where things are broken down in order to build up a new more functional and effective base. If you live in the U.S. this period will continue for a number of months, well into 2016.

Perhaps the US market gyrations are symptom of this Pluto transit as well. If we look back at when Pluto was conjunct the natal U.S. Sun it was the roaring twenties, before the collapse. That was the conjunction and we are now experiencing the Pluto / Sun opposition. Pluto is about change but with an opposition the change may come from the U.S. allies or enemies.

Following is a monthly chart of the SP500 with the 7 year cycle on it. The red bars near the bottom of the cycle indicator show time period that the 7 year cycle is estimated to hit it's trough. Due to the influence of other long term cycles I'm looking at December 2015 / January 2016 as a period of time for the 7 year cycle low.



On the following daily chart I've noted the time period to look for a trough for this nominal 18 week cycle. Also note, after the sharp move down in August the bounce seems to be running out of steam and may be headed further down due to the FED meeting non-event. Look at the Momentum indicator. Also note, the 4 year cycle trough may be in front of us and would make sense to be around a primary cycle low.

If that turns out to be the case there should be a turn to a bullish market after the 4 year trough. Remember we could have already had the 4 year trough on August 25th. Again, I think it's in front of us.



On the following chart which is the average longitude of the planets Mars through Pluto
(blue lines) converted to price. Price has fallen through a number of average price lines.

Note the other recent OPEX dates (red circle). They have been at highs then down. The blue midpoint lines are acting as resistance for the SP500. It is currently at 1938.13 for the SP500.



At this point, following are the highs in the US indexes. Also noted are the dates the 50 day simple moving average crossed the 200 day sma, the so-called death cross.

DJIA               May 19, 2015 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Aug 11th
DJTI               Nov 28, 2014 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on May 26th
SP500             May 20, 2015
NYSE             May 21, 2015  50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Aug 11th
RUT               Jun 23, 2015
COMPQX      July 20, 2015


Some of the biggest moves in the US markets have occurred when Saturn is in mutable signs. The mutable signs are Gemini, Virgo, Sagittarius and Pisces. As mentioned above Saturn will be entering Sagittarius this month.

And one more showing the geocentric Jupiter / Saturn square (red squares) including the following note (Every pass of the waning square between Jupiter and Saturn that has been a 3 pass has resulted in a longer term cycle unfolding between the first and last passages). Could this forming low be it?  There is more useful information on this chart, reserved for subscribers.



In Summary
So subscribers had the September 17th and 25th dates well in advance. In fact, subscribers get a 6 month list of potential turn dates when they register. If they look back at this list I had September 16th as the CIT date (Change In Trend). This list of dates was done in May of 2015. This is the power of Astrology. One can forecast important dates months or even years in advance. This list also had August 18th, the start of the severe move down.

Subscribers have dates where bigger moves are expected. Expect volatility and keep in mind the comments made above about Pluto and the United States natal Sun. There could be a surprise coming up, not necessarily related to the markets but may have an indirect effect.
There is a powerful Total Lunar Eclipse coming up on September 27th. Look for geophysical upsets, violent weather, violent events or Solar storms. 

Looking forward the days around Oct 19 maybe prime for a nominal 18 week cycle trough in the 15th week. Before we get there I suspect volatility, trending down and the possibility of another severe move down. Subscribers will have the dates. This is still in range for a 4 year cycle low as well.

During the Mercury retrograde period buying and selling, communications and negotiations are highlighted. Buying and selling can mean the markets. This is a period where you should be careful signing agreements or any contractual commitments. This does not mean not to go ahead with anything, just be extra careful on what you are doing. Ray Merriman of MMA has a saying for Mercury retrograde periods "Take profits too soon". Good advice.

Gold
Gold put in a  Primary cycle   1 trough on March 17th. It appears we got the nominal 18 week trough on July 24th. This could turn out to be a very important low.

We are entering the 10th week of the nominal 18 week cycle. We may have put in the nominal 6 week cycle trough on Sept 11th. If so Gold should be bullish here. There is much confusion in the financial markets and I expect Gold to reflect this confusion as well. At a minimum we want to see Gold break above it's down sloping trend line from Jan 22, 2014. Any move above 1169.80 on a daily basis should be viewed as bullish.

With the currency wars heating up Gold should benefit. We need to see more price action for PM's over the next few weeks. Gold often puts in a low while Jupiter moves through Virgo. Jupiter entered Virgo on August 11th and will be there until Sept 9, 2016.

Besides the 18 week cycle there are a number of longer term cycles due and potent aspects which have a history of turns in precious metals.



On the following daily Gold chart notice Gold advanced to the heliocentric Venus price line (green). It got just above the Jupiter trend line (blue) and fell back from the Venus price line. Short term this is not positive.



Crude
This coming week of Sept 21st we should be entering the 6th week of  a new nominal 18 week cycle which started August 24th.

I said to watch dates near Neptune or Jupiter aspects and the Sun was conjunct Jupiter on Aug 26th. The Sun opposed Neptune on August 31. This is looking like the crest for the first nominal 6 week cycle of the Primary cycle. This would have the cycle quite left translated and therefore bearish. I expect bigger moves in crude in late November.



To follow along with that theme there is an aspect, Jupiter waning trine Pluto on Oct 11 which may be meaningful for crude.


Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 2nd half 2015 dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in July) are available for purchase.


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