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This weeks blog post will be a little shorter than usual as I am
writing the subscribers monthly report for April. April is shaping up to be
quite an unusual month.
From last week blog post:
"I'm looking for reversals in the US Indices, Gold and Crude this
week."
The result is they all moved down, some not as far as
anticipated.
Also from last weeks
blog post.
"With the
comments above under the SP500, Mars will be entering Sagittarius and joining
Saturn there on March 5th. This is a war like configuration and being
Sagittarius it would not be surprising if religion was involved. This could
also be pointing to a terrorist event"
Also from last weeks blog post
"I look for events involving Pakistan close
the Lunar eclipse date of March 23, 2016."
SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise Feb 11 was the Primary cycle trough. 1
that started on Aug
24th. Feb 11th was a slightly
lower low than Jan 20th low. Jan 20th was the low for a number of other indices.
Feb 11th starts a new nominal 18
week cycle in the SP500 and we are entering the 7th week. We most often see a
nominal 6 week cycle to start a new nominal 18 week cycle. The nominal 6 week
cycles has a range of 5 to 7 weeks so we are in the time frame for a crest
for the new 6 week cycle. Bear in mind we could be seeing a 1/2 Primary, approx. 9 weeks but I'm
leaning to a nominal 6 week cycle which could be extended.
As mentioned we moved down last
week touching the 78.6% Fib retracement but we did get through the 15 day sma
(red moving average). We normally do when putting in a trough for the nominal 6
week cycle trough. This may mean we have further to go down next week to
complete the 6 week cycle trough or the SP500 will move up and form a 1/2
Primary cycle around the 9 week mark.
My outlook is bearish going into
the Spring due to the Astrological aspects being formed, namely the Saturn / Neptune square and the Jupiter / Saturn square. There are
others. These 3 planets will be forming a powerful T-Square in mutable signs.
I mentioned an unusual / possibly explosive environment in April and the dates
and potential events will be included in the April monthly subscribers report.
As the
first date is at the end of this week I will mention April 1st as the
first potential date. Most of April we are under unusual energy and there are
unusual Astrological formations occurring. On April 1 there is a forming
conjunction between Uranus and Eris. Uranus is sudden, surprising events and
Eris is strife and discord. On April 1 Mercury will transit this forming
conjunction and could set it off. This could be viewed as another terrorist
attack or act of war. This is only the first of a number of potential problem
dates that will be included in the subscribers report.
Keep in
mind when we forecast dates and events we are looking at the energies generated
and try and interpret what will manifest in physical reality and it's not just
a difficult feeling or problem.
The Uranus / Pluto square is still in orb but will soon be fading. March
through June of 2016 looks troublesome and very volatile. I'm looking for two
and possibly 3 lows from now into June with one of the lows coinciding with the
current nominal 18 week cycle. The new
nominal 18 week cycle which started on Feb 11 is therefore forecast to end
as a trough approx. 18 weeks hence. That puts us in the week of June 13 with a range from May 30
to July 4th
The week of June 13th, just discussed is the week for the next Saturn / Neptune waning square with Neptune
going retrograde earlier in the week. This is a potential time for a more
significant low. It could also be a time that epidemics break out or lingering
disease. This could also involve water.
Last week we had the Jupiter square to Saturn on March 23
which is 2 days before Saturn turns
retrograde and we got the turn down in many markets we were expecting. Will
we move down further is the question.
There was also a Saturn parallel Pluto aspect on Feb 9, 2 days away from the important
Feb 11 date. Watch the days around April
28 for a possible low or start of a move down when Saturn is parallel Pluto
once again.
The rise off the Feb 11 low has been
more bullish than normally expected but this may be due to the planets in
changeable mutable signs. Price came
down and touched the 15 day sma but did not break through it.
Mars leaves Scorpio, where it has
given Gold a huge thrust up and entered Sagittarius on March 5. This results in
both Mars and Saturn in Sagittarius , a signature for a religious conflict or
the amplification of one. Water may
be a problem, too much in some areas, none in others.
I'll be watching the U.S.A
financial system / currency in follow up to the video from the February 29 post. This should be a long
process. Note in the video the last similar occurrence took almost one year to
see an effect.
With the longer term market cycles we use the Astrological
aspects and Astrological events to determine a more exact time. Note: I have
taken off the brief description of the Uranus / Pluto waning square. Longer
term geocentric Astrological cycles that are coming up include:
Jupiter waning square
Saturn
- in the middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year
"The business cycle and direct effect on European
history. Major changes will be occurring in Europe
as result of the refuge migration. There is a major sign change coming up when
Jupiter and Saturn are conjunct in 2020. More on this 240 year conjunction in a
future post."
Saturn square Neptune
-in the middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year
Saturn is about social order, structure and regulations. Neptune can be politically unrealistic and a desire to
avoid confrontation. It can be devious, underhanded and use subversive tactics.
"This aspect is often present near times when there is
a change in trend for interest rates or inflation. It can also be a period of
epidemics, pandemics suffering, depression and money valuation problems. This
could be a change in the world's reserve currency or issues around it. A large
increase in precious metals is also possible as it is a money valuation issue.
This 36 year aspect has been associated with political changes, reforms and
development of socialism. One wonders in regards to epidemics and sickness,
would this be natural illnesses or man-made." If you feel depressed or not
at ease this aspect may be the cause. One of these planets may be hitting a
planet in your horoscope.
On
the following weekly chart of the DJIA, the red squares are Jupiter square Saturn and the green
squares are Saturn square Neptune .
For
2016 we have Jupiter, Saturn, Neptune and the North Node in mutable signs. In addition both
eclipses are in mutable signs. Mutable signs are about flexibility and the ability
or need to change. They are also about things that are not in control and
extremes. We are in for a wild ride for the next couple of months in the
markets and other areas of life.
With all these planets in mutable
signs one might expect a fast changing, exciting, fun environment. Let's not
forget that Saturn is the focal point of a T-Square,
with a square to Neptune . Amongst other
things Saturn is fear. This could be pointing to life
threatening epidemics and with Neptune this
could mean water borne diseases. Natural or
man-made?
Saturn is in Sagittarius which
rules the law, religion, philosophy and science. With the square to Neptune is a good signal for a religious message that
gets perverted. With Mars joining Saturn in Sagittarius on March 5th watch for
a pickup in current hostilities. Mars will be turning retrograde in April. This
is often found at highs or lows in equities. There's more here for subs.
Charts we have not shown for awhile.
The first 2 charts are daily charts of the SP500, and the Russell 2000. The
horizontal blue lines are the average longitude of the planets Jupiter, Saturn,
Uranus, Neptune and Pluto on all 3 charts This average is converted to price
and displayed on the charts. Notice how well they have acted as support and
resistance. The SP500 should find strong support around 2013 which is close to
the 200 day moving average.
The second chart is the Russell
2000. This index is subject to far less manipulation than the SP500. Notice how
well it respects the Astrological average price lines. It's too bad we have to
bring up manipulation but the reality is, it happens.
The other chart we have been
showing is this Fan which started on March 6, 2009 at the low. The dark blue
line has acted as support most of the way up. It is the 50% line or 45 degrees.
The red line we have just touched is 61.8%. It hasn't been touched since Oct.
2011. The red vertical lines is a 512
cd's (calendar days) cycle which fell on March 9, within one day from
a powerful Total Solar Eclipse. 512 cd's, calendar days is a fairly long
period so we should allow +- 5 td's. Unless the SP500 moves down much further
this cycle has failed. I'll keep watching for now.
Other longer term cycles that may
be close to seeing their lows in the next couple of months are the 6.5 - 7 year
cycle. I'm looking at the period from now
through the spring of 2016 as a potential time period for these cycles.
They are long term cycles and need a broad orb. Assuming the 2009 low was an 18
year cycle low, we may be looking at a 9 year cycle low late 2017 - 2018.
I was asked for my long term view
and here it is. I'm looking for the world wide economy to be basically down
until 2020. This coincides with a long term Astrological phenomenon known as
Tigonalis which involves the Jupiter / Saturn conjunctions. Every 240 years the
conjunction of these planets changes elements. In 2020 the Jupiter/ Saturn
conjunction will occur in Aquarius, a fixed,
air sign. I expect dramatic technological developments leading into this
time which should be, like the internet, life-changing developments.
The following daily chart of the
SP500 shows the 45 cd (calendar day) cycle. Purple vertical lines. The next hit
is March 30.
"When
you see that in order to produce, you need to obtain permission from men who
produce nothing; when you see that money is flowing to those who deal not in
goods, but in favours; when you see that men get rich more easily by graft than
by work, and your laws no longer protect you against them, but protect them
against you, you may know that your society is doomed."
-- Ayn Rand
Gold
Gold put in a nominal 18 week cycle 1
trough on Dec 3rd. 2015 which has marked an
important low.
This puts us entering the 17th week of the Primary cycle and entering the 11th week of a 1/2 Primary cycle during
this coming week.
As we've mentioned before Mars in Scorpio often results in big moves in Gold both up and
down. Mars entered Scorpio on Jan 3,
2016 and left Scorpio for
Sagittarius on March 5, 2016. Due to retrograde motion Mars will be back in
Scorpio later in the year, May 27th
in fact, 1 day after a Jupiter / Saturn square. This should be an important
period for Gold.
Following is a daily chart for Gold. The orange vertical
lines are a 14 cd (calendar day) cycle which has been at highs and lows and hit
on March 24. This was also a hammer doji which is a reversal signal. I don't
think it will reverse to far as I'm looking for Gold to move down in April for
it's nominal 18 week cycle trough. The brown square is the Sun opposing the
North Node. During much of the run up in Gold, Jupiter was almost conjunct the
North Node and may be the reason we got such a strong move.
Perhaps investors are getting somewhat nervous with fiat
currencies.
"The emperor has
no clothes". Negative interest rates certainly helps. With Mars
leaving Scorpio I have a small but growing short. We finally seeing some larger
down days
In addition the following is a daily Gold chart showing
price has recently broken down through the 15 day sma. Note the two indicators,
Momentum is rolling over and MACD is rolling over as well.
I'm expecting a bigger move in Gold later in the year,
possibly at the end of this Primary cycle which may also be a 17 month cycle
low. The move should be up. Subscribers have the potential dates.
The price lines on the following daily Gold chart take the
longitudinal position of the heliocentric planet and converts it to price.
Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) have provided good support and resistance.
Gold moved down sharply on March 23 but stopped on the Venus
price line (green)
I'm looking at the time around April 6 and April 11,12 all +- 2 td's for the Primary cycle low. If we
get that low this should be a time to consider buying.
Crude
Feb 11 had another
lower low and is now marked a Primary cycle trough which has us starting the 7th week of a new nominal 18 week
cycle. Bear in mind there are geopolitical issues affecting crude which can
effect the price quickly and directly.
For crude, nothing has changed with the demand, supply
situation or the over flowing storage capacity or the flotilla of ships
carrying crude with no place to unload. There has been no agreement to limit
production quotas. What we do have is many banks around the world holding a
great deal of debt for energy companies. Last week I said "I think I'll just watch for awhile" Still watching.
It appears crude put in a nominal 6 week crest (MT) on March 18 and is moving down to the trough.
Notice it touched the 50% retracement
of the move down from Oct 9, 2015 to the low on Feb 11, 2016. The 50%
retracement was just below the 15 day sma.
Crude powerfully broke through the planet averages on March
18th printing a Shooting Star Doji, a
signature for a reversal.
With the comments above, under the SP500, Mars will be
entering Sagittarius and joining Saturn there on March 5th. This is a war like
configuration and being Sagittarius it would not be surprising if religion was
involved. April looks like a violent month with events, on a number of days
during April. These are aspects are very
unusual and may be pointing to war like conditions. terrorist events,
geophysical upsets or violent weather. Have a nice month.
I've been looking for Astrological aspects that hit Jupiter
or Neptune. Both are co-rulers of crude. There are a few, April 8, 13, 24. Watch these dates for possible moves
in crude,.
Many commodities and financials should be affected by the Saturn / Neptune waning square this
year. This is a 3 pass with the last 2 occurring mid-Year and then September
2016. This is a 36 year cycle so looking back 36 years we had severe problems
with the lack of crude and interest rates went over 20%. Things are never the
same, but often close as we now have an abundance of crude and very low (negative?)
interest rates approximately 36 years later. These longer term aspects color a
period of history rather than a day, week or month.
Looking at the crude chart we see a Primary cycle low now on
Feb 11. The last cycle is an example
of a left translated cycle with the crest forming closer to the beginning
trough. Left translated cycles are bearish, they simply spend more time going
down than moving up. After 7 years of QE in the U.S. and loose monetary policy we
haven't seen many left translated cycles for some time.
A chart we haven't shown for some time follows. This is a
daily chart of crude with Jupiter (blue) and Neptune
(grey) price lines on it. They work the same as we have shown for Gold. Notice
crude stopped right on the Neptune (grey)
price line on March 24th.
The technical indicators on the chart have all turned down.
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude
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Hi Gord, Looks like a major ripper yesterday on SPX. Any chance that this is the high or are you expecting more upside based on your work?
ReplyDeleteI'm looking for a turn down in early April for the markets and possible war like or terrorist event in mid April.
ReplyDeleteThanks for the response. Very difficult to short this market now, I think Yellen has given the go ahead to keep pushing it up. I hope you are right though.
ReplyDeleteFinancial Astrology is a bit like predicting the weather, today may look like a fine day but the next day could be rainy and cloudy. Use the predictions as an early warning system so you aren't surprised when the market turns up or down in a big way. In this case, if the market turns down, use the ideas in the blog and subscriptions to help time your trade to go long or short.
ReplyDeleteLast Anonymous, you are exactly correct. Thanks for the comment.....tradingdaze
ReplyDelete