Friday, May 12, 2017

Financial Astrology - May 15, 2017

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Once again this post is a little shorter as we work on the May subscribers report.

SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise I’m looking at March 27th as the Primary cycle trough and April 13th as a double bottom.

This puts us entering the 7th week of a new Primary cycle. We should therefore be looking for a pull back into the first nominal 6 week cycle trough. The other possibility would be a ½ Primary cycle (9 week) which would be a couple of weeks out.

We had a descending triangle (green) on the chart. As often happens price crashed through the upper line of the triangle, in effect gapping twice. Those gap areas may act as support.

It should be noted Primary cycles (18 weeks) most often start with a nominal 6 week sub-cycle.  The 2nd most common start is a 1/2 Primary or 9 week sub-cycles. The nominal range for the Primary cycle is 13 to 21 weeks. The recent highs were on March 1st closing at 2,396 in the SP500 then a high om May 9th at 2,403.87, a new All Time High.

To summarize, I’m looking for a pullback in the short term to a nominal 6 week or ½ Primary cycle trough. I’m expecting volatility with both ups and downs but moving forward I’m looking for a low probably mid-June after reviewing the Astrological aspects.



Note the 15 (red) and 45 day (blue) sma’s. Price dropped below the 15 and 45 day sma’s on March 27 then again in mid-April.

This coming week has some powerful aspects, see below.

One we haven’t shown for some time is the Full moon to New moon. As noted on the chart:

-          buy 3 days before the Full Moon

-          Sell 3 days after the New Moon

This is not 100%. I’ve found it works best in a non-trending, sideways market.


Another cycle that has been at highs and lows is the 40 trading day cycle *td). Next due May 24th +- 3 tds.


Other Astros coming up this week are:

May 15 North Node on the position of the August 21 Solar Eclpise
Watch for events that could lead to open hostilities or a strong geophysical event.

May 18 Venus Shadow Date
            This is the day Venus returns to the position it help when it went retrograde.
            This often marks a change in trend.

May 19 Saturn waning trine Uranus
This is the 45 year transit mentioned a number of times with more details sent to subscribers. This is a 3 pass and this is the middle aspect.
Saturn / Uranus contacts emphasize the politics of order and are basically conservative and authoritarian.
This covers the flow of investment and production in heavy industry. Note, what Trump is attempting in the USA.
This is an aspect to bring out new ideas, inventions, insights and reforms.
This aspect can also manifest as sudden breakdown of existing structures. In this day and age sudden internet attacks change the status quo.
This aspect also has a strong connection with the Middle East and Israel and Egypt in particular. When looking at Brexit and recent political actions in the USA with the Trump presidency look no further than the Saturn / Uranus trine.
Being a 45 year event it needs a wide orb, 2-3 months. I’ll watch other aspects to both Saturn and Uranus as possible triggers.

May 19 Venus opposition Jupiter
Same day as the 45 year event above. If the markets are still going up then this should be a good opportunity to short within 4 -5 days.

May 21 Mercury Shadow Date
Same as Venus, it is the day Mercury returns to the position it held when it went retrograde.


The following chart of the SP500 includes the heliocentric Bradley indicator (blue line). There are three possible change in trend dates, which maybe the 6 week lows on May 8th, May 12th 
and May 18th.



I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles for short term turns. The brown squares are Sun / Saturn 15 degrees on the following daily chart.

The last hit was on May 2nd.

The next hits are May 17 then May 31. Any could be the 6-week low.

I have added 3 price lines to this chart.
Saturn - black
Uranus - purple
Neptune - light blue

These price lines can act as support / resistance. Also on this chart are blue vertical line which is the 24 cd (calendar day) cycle. It has been at highs and lows.
The date of May 12 is the next 24 cd cycle.



I brought up the August 21 Solar Eclipse in the May market letter. This should bring significant events in that time frame. In the mean time, I will monitor transits that may hit the location of the Solar Eclipse. An example in this blog is May 15th when the North Node transits over the point of the eclipse. 

The path of this very important Eclipse is seen in the following:



Gold

We put in a low in Gold on December 15th, 2016 which was the 7.4-year cycle low in Gold

Gold most often starts a Primary cycle with a nominal 6 week sub-cycle. This Primary cycle appears to be in a classic 3 * 6 week pattern. Venus turning retrograde is a good signal for a move in Gold and Gold did move sharply lower at the Venus retrograde. Gold now appears to be rolling over into the last 6th week cycle which should take Gold to a Primary cycle low in May / early June.

May 11, 12 and May 19, 22 all +- 2 td’s (trading days).

Gold may have put in the Primary trough on May 9th but not confirmed.

After the Primary low is in I’m looking for precious metals to start moving up. Beyond technical’s and Astrology, countries like China are reducing the rate at which they purchase US treasuries. By May / June watch Gold increase. I am looking at precious metals being the potential trade of the year.

December 15, 2016 may have been the Gold low we have been looking for. This puts us in the 22nd week of the Primary cycle. This looks like the third and last nominal 6 week cycle dropping into it’s low.

Gold like many markets will be affected by the Astrological aspects from late March through April. This may push Gold a little lower or add some restraint in the Spring period.

Gold may be affected by the Venus and Mercury shadow dates which are May 19 and May 21 respectively.



The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (red vertical lines) which is next at May 15th +- 2 td’s. Note the MACD and CCI indicators at the bottom of the chart. CCI appears headed up.



The next chart is a longer term monthly chart showing the 7.4 year cycle in Gold. They are the red vertical lines. Note that the 7.4 year cycle put in a low in late 2015. We are now in a pull back but we are very early in the 7.4 year cycle which should be bullish in the long term.



Crude

We has March 22nd as the Primary cycle low but it appears we were a little early. I’m now looking at the spike low on May 5 as the Primary cycle trough but not confirmed. appeared to be the Primary cycle low for crude, although not confirmed

There have been a number of aspects involving Jupiter and Neptune, the co-rulers of crude. There have also been aspects to Pluto which rules all things from the ground.

We will have to watch price action over the next couple of weeks. Remember we had Mars transits to both Jupiter and Neptune this week.

The blue horizontal lines are the average longitudes of the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto converted to price. They should act as good support / resistance areas and did so for 4 days around May 5th the spike low.

Note how the move down stopped close to the blue line and bounced off it.



I'm watching all aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the two rulers of crude. Crude can also be effected by Pluto as it rules “things from the ground”. Pluto turned retrograde on
April 20th, in the middle of the move down.

Following is a daily chart of crude showing the price lines for the Sun (green) and Pluto (black). Note that recent move down stopped near the Pluto Price Line On May 4th then had a big range day on May 5th. It is now up to the next Pluto price line and I’m watching for a break through or will it find resistance? We may see price move up the green Price Lines (Sun) and then follow it up.




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