Saturday, May 25, 2019

Financial Astrology - May 27, 2019


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Summary

SP500.
We are entering the 22nd week of the Primary cycle which started Dec 24, 2018. We started the move down on May 1 but we have basically moved sideways I was looking for a low May 17 to May 21 +- 3 tds (trading days). I’m still looking for a move down probably over the next 2 to 3 weeks. This is getting late in the current Primary cycle.

The normal range for the Primary circle is 15 – 21 weeks which would be April 9 – May 20. After this next low I’m expecting the markets to move up once again but I’m looking for increased volatility. June has the potential to be very volatile where money can be made qickly and lost just as fast.

Volatility should continue in May and June 2019 in particular. Longer term I’m expecting bigger moves and changes from 2020 through 2023.

Jupiter square Neptune which we have mentioned numerous times may be the real problem as these planets in aspect can be quite inflationary. This is magnified with Jupiter in Sagittarius and Neptune in Pisces, both in the sign that they rule. There are also large debt problems in many countries, companies and individuals. One of the reasons I’m looking at Gold here is Inflation coupled with the above debt problems. This may be pointing to serious financial problems late 2019 or 2020. This square was exact on Jan 13, 2019 and coming up June 16, 2019 then Sept 21, 2019. Will this square continue to be a delusion / illusion or another case of “Irrational Exuberance”.

Next week may see more of the same and not much progress in the markets. This should change as we move into June and approach the Jupiter / Neptune square on June 16. Note the other aspects dates below in the SP500 section. Jupiter rules the court system,judges, senators, big business, foreign relations, inflation and higher education. If there is a big move or unusual event near June 16 watch around June 21 for a reversal.

June 16 +- 3 td’s could be an important day for the markets.

Gold We either put the low in on April 23 or we may have put in the trough on May 2. We came back to this general area again on May 22. This would be a triple bottom for Gold.

We are in either week 26thof an older Primary cycle or we are in week 3 of a new Primary cycle. If so we should be headed up. If our cycle count is incorrect and Gold attempts another move down to the 50% Fib area it would be bearish.

I’m still holding some Gold.
It is important for Gold to hold near the 50% Fib retracement which is at 1273 to protect against a sharp move lower.

Crude's Crude started up on Dec 24. We are entering the 22nd week of the Primary cycle. I was looking for a move down and we got it. We should be headed down but watch for this to reverse into a Primary cycle bottom. Watch for OPEC moves.


SP500
The Primary cycle trough was on Dec 24th 2018. We are currently entering the 22nd week of the current Primary cycle. The Primary cycle is approx.18 weeks and is typically composed of 3- 6 week sub-cycles or 2-9 week sub-cycles.

The Price moving averages, the 15 day sma and the 45 day sma were both turning over.

The 15 day sma is red, the 45 day sma is blue and the light blue is the 200 day sma. Note; the normal Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0 %, and 61.8%.

One can also use extended retracements which typically use the square roots of one of the above. So, I also use SqrRoot(61.8) = 78.6  and SqrRoot(78.6) = 88.6

The green vertical lines are a 27 CD (calendar day) cycle next due June 14, 2019.


The above daily chart shows upcoming medium term cycles at the bottom of the chart.

Light blue is the 40-week
Red is the 20-week
Light green 10-week

Jupiter square Neptune will be with us for most of the year. Due to retrograde motion Jupiter will square Neptune 3 times. This combination can point to an increase in spending, inflation, currencies and potential debt problems and bankruptcies. This could be on and off all year. Neptune alone is about illusion and delusion. Jupiter can be very favorable but can tend to overdoing things. Jupiter in Sagittarius should emphasize banks, judge’s, barristers and the courts in general. This would also cover major institutions like universities. Both Jupiter and Neptune are in the signs they rule making them more natural and powerful. Together they may have the astrology of “Irrational Exuberance”.

Whenever we get longer term aspects we should look at other planets in transit that may hit the longer term aspect.

In this case we have:
June 1             Mars conjunct the July 2 Solar Eclipse position
                        May have a violent effect although unsure if Mars will effect the Solar                          Eclipse energy. If so watch hostilities possibly between India and Pakistan.
                        Any severe hostilities between India and Pakistan will probably closer to the
                        July 2, 2019 Solar Eclipse.

June 9             Sun square Neptune
                        Has a history of market volatility and big moves in the markets.
                        Problems with leadership.

June 10           Mercury conjunct the July 2 Solar Eclipse position
                        May effect trading and short-term communication including approval of news                                      coverage, transportation and the internet.

June 14           Mars trine Neptune and Mars opposition Saturn
                        These do not have a history of big moves
                       
June 16          Is the next Jupiter square Neptune and Mercury trine Neptune
                        Jupiter in Sagittarius can emphasize trade and not just the USA.  It can                                                   emphasize the positive aspects of Jupiter square Neptune that is a liberating,                         positive energy which can effect trade and other aspects of life.

June 18          Saturn sextile Neptune.
                        Habits, chronic ill health. Gas poisoning and diseases of the lungs. A nations                         health.

June 21          Neptune retrograde
                        It is not unusual that Neptune retrograde will result in a basing pattern with                         double or triple bottoms instead of a V bottom. Look at the triple bottom forming                                 in the SP500 and Gold.

June 23          Venus opposition Jupiter
                        This and Venus square Neptune below should emphasize the Jupiter / Neptune                          square.
June 24          Venus square Neptune.
                        More illusion

July 2              Solar Eclipse
                        Mars conjunct Vulcanus . This could be a violent time. Literally there could be a                                  volcanic eruption.

The above list of aspects should make for one of the most volatile time periods of the year.

When looking at any Astro analysis for 2019 we should remember the effect of Jupiter square Neptune and Saturn conjunct Pluto. These aspects will be with us all year and beyond.

All dates +- 3 td’s (trading days)

See the Bradley Indicator at the end of this section.
If the current volatility continues watch for a cycle turn.

The following daily chart of the SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the basis of what we have been forecasting on.

Following is the 24 Harmonic chart we have shown for many months.

The Jan 2 date was a big range day. It is trying to move through the Jupiter Price line (blue)



The next hits are May 24th, 2019 then July 9, 2019

From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos. Late June through early July may see more geophysical activity.

See the link under “Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS. Geophysical activity has been picking up.

On a longer term basis the following monthly chart of the DJIA  shows the 15 year cycle (red vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle (blue lines). The 15 year is due now or took place April – June 2018. The 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.



Although we do not have enough data the 45 year cycle pointing to Sept 2022 this could also be the 90 year cycle. We do not have enough data to make the 90 year call. For a 90 year cycle I’m looking at the years 1842 – 1932 and then 2022.

The following daily chart of the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the centered 
20 week envelope channel. Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the Sun / Neptune square which is often a short term change in trend.

We have had this noted it was due for a sell.  Also note the dark blue squares. They are the dates of the Mars square Uranus transit.



The red averages are based on the 20 week so they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle. This is known as a centered moving average.

I brought up Iran on the last couple of posts. I’ll come back to those charts on any potential signs of conflict. It is getting close. Watch the news for problems with Iran.Watch for news from India and Pakistan as well.


Other

Other cycles and Astrological events are the 20 year cycle and heliocentric Jupiter in Sagittarius.

The vertical black lines are the 20 year cycle. Note the lows. It is due again near March 2022 but it needs a wide orb.

The blue x’s show when heliocentric Jupiter is in Sagittarius. This, most often, has the market moving up. The next chart shows both these items. The aspect Heliocentric Jupiter in Sagittarius came from MMA. And timing solutions.






2019 Eclipses

See the previous blog post for more details on the eclipses. More on the July eclipse in a couple of weeks.

Date                Eclipse                                   Saros Cycle               Sign

Jan 6, 2019     Solar Partial                            122                              15Cp25
Jan 21, 2019   Total Lunar                              134                              00Le51
July 2, 2019     Solar Total                               127                              10Cn37
July 16, 2019  Partial Lunar                           139                              24Cp4
Dec 26, 2019  Solar Annular                          132                              4Cp6

The Bradley Indicator
This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market Prediction".
On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called "the Bradley". The

Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points (where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.

It does not forecast or anticipate whether that turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.
It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered) but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.

In Bradley's own words:
"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock averages"

So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are trend changes?
- a rising market changes to a falling market
- a rising market changes to sideways
- a sideways market starts going up
- a sideways market starts going down
- a market going down changes to a rising market
- a falling market starts going sideways

The red line is the Bradley Indicator.



Gold

We are in the 26th week of the Primary cycle. The trough was either May 2nd or it was the low on April 23th. May 2nd may have been a double bottom. Watch the 50.0% Fibonacci level on the Gold chart, currently at 1273.

Gold has been in a trading zone since late December 2018. I’m looking for Gold to break up or down. I’m watching the Fibonacci levels at 38.2% and 23.6% as well as the 50% Fib. These could act as support or resistance.

On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away from it’s more normal length of 18 weeks. The Sun conjunct Uranus on April 22 was very volatile and affect precious metals, Gold and Silver.

I’ve got a bullish view short term but the US$ has to retreat. Bitcoin has been on the rise



The following chart shows two daily envelope channels. The vertical red lines are a 20 day cycle.



The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue vertical lines). The last being
May 14. The next is June 10, 2019.

The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.

The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving up and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The darker red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line was bearish now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive sign for a move up in Gold. Gold may follow the red, Mars price line up. Watch closely.

The small blue x’s on the chart show when heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold when Mercury enters heliocentric Sagittarius.

Looking at this whole chart it is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.



The following chart shows when Mars enters a new sign (red squares). It often affects Gold. Mars is in Gemini and changes signs into Cancer on May 15, 2019. The same day Venus changes signs into Taurus.

Watch May 15 for a change in trend.
Watch for geophysical activity around this timeframe.





Crude


Oil is recovering from a strong move down and may have reached the trough of the Primary cycle on May 23, 2019. Since putting in a high on April 23 ,2019 crude has started down. The low on Dec 24 was the Primary cycle low and may turn out to be a larger cycle low.

I’m expecting crude to go lower. Notice price broke through the 45 day sma and the
15 day sma .

Price has broken through the 15 day sma. And now the 45 day sma is sitting on the current price.



The USA has asked that crude prices be reduced…again

I am expecting crude and possibly marijuana stocks to be affected by the forming Jupiter / Neptune square.

Jupiter and Neptune are the co-rulers of Crude. Price has fallen back for a couple of days.

Beyond affecting crude these two planets have to do with illusions and delusions. Thus marijuana stocks.




5 comments:

  1. Hi sir,

    S&P500, should we go long orders?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I;m holding off for now.
      Dates I'd like to see.
      June 1 Mars conjunct the position of the July 2 Solar Eclipse

      June 10 Sun square Neptune
      and Mercury conjunct the position of the July 2 Solar Eclipse

      June 17 Jupiter square Neptune (very important)

      June 21 Neptune retrograde

      July 2, the Solar eclipse which may trigger conflict between India and Pakistan and civil unrest marches and potential conflict.

      Delete
    2. Hi sir. S&P500 make a lower here

      Delete
  2. Can someone remove the Dr okoko post? Thanks. Go somewhere else Selena.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hi Sir, how do you see Gold now? It has jumped from the $1273 area to just under $1,300. June has some Sun transits that may affect gold. Not sure if it will make Gold up a lot but the second week of June looks interesting.

    ReplyDelete