Saturday, May 4, 2019

Financial Astrology - May 6, 2019



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Summary

SP500.
We are entering the 18th week of the Primary cycle which started Dec 24, 2018. We are looking for a crest formation and a pullback low starting in the 2nd half of April or first half of May. We could start down at any point. As mentioned, the markets are volatile.  Watch for a geophysical or terrorist event.

The normal range for the Primary circle is 15 – 21 weeks which would be April 9 – May 20. The period around April 22 or April 29th (Saturn Retrograde) could mark the start of a move down or the week of May 13 – May 17th may be the trough of the Primary cycle. After this next low I’m expecting the markets to move up once again.

Volatility should continue in May 2019 in particular. Longer term I’m expecting bigger moves and changes from 2020 through 2023.

Jupiter square Neptune which we have mentioned numerous times may be the real problem as these planets in aspect can be quite inflationary. This is magnified with Jupiter in Sagittarius and Neptune in Pisces, both in the sign that they rule. There are also large debt problems in many countries, companies and individuals. One of the reasons I’m looking at Gold here is Inflation coupled with the above debt problems. This may be pointing to serious financial problems late 2019 or 2020. This square was exact on Jan 13, 2019 and coming up June 16, 2019 then Sept 21, 2019.

Gold We either put the low in on March 7 or we may have put in the trough in on April 23, the day after the Sun was conjunct Uranus. The latter may also be a double bottom for Gold.

We are in week 25th of the Primary cycle for Gold. This is getting to an extreme. I’m looking at other possible ways forward. I’m still holding some Gold.
It is important for Gold to hold near the 50% Fib retracement which is at 1273 to protect against a sharp move lower. The timing is good for April 23 to be the Primary cycle low. This would mean Gold should be going up

Crude's Crude started up on Dec 24. We are entering the 18th week of the Primary cycle. I was looking for a move down and we got it. We should be headed down. Watch for OPEC moves.


SP500
The Primary cycle trough was on Dec 24th 2018. We are currently entering the 18th week of the current Primary cycle. The Primary cycle is approx.18 weeks and is typically composed of 3- 6 week sub-cycles or 2-9 week sub-cycles.

The Price moving averages, the 15 day sma and the 45 day sma are both in strong positions and pointed up.

The 15 day sma is red, the 45 day sma is blue and the light blue is the 200 day sma. Note; the normal Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0 %, and 61.8%.

One can also use extended retracements which typically use the square roots of one of the above. So, I also use SqrRoot(61.8) = 78.6  and SqrRoot(78.6) = 88.6

The SP500 is almost at the Sept 21, 2018 all time high. This may act as resistance as we approach the $2,940.91 area. The April 26 close was $2,939.98 and the May 3 close 2,945.64

The green vertical lines are a 27 CD (calendar day) cycle next due May 20, 2019.



The above daily chart shows upcoming medium term cycles at the bottom of the chart.

Light blue is the 40-week
Red is the 20-week
Light green 10-week

Starting off this new month we should see continued volatility with Uranus semi-square Neptune on May 1,

On the following chart are the 3 planets going retrograde. This is a weekly chart of the DJIA.
Jupiter orange arrow pointed left
Saturn blue arrow pointed left
Pluto red arrow pointed left

The green squares show Saturn opposite the Moons North Node.

The vertical blue lines are the 65 week cycle which hits again the week of May 6, 2019.
The 65 week cycle is often at highs then down.




The same chart but in days rather than weeks.




Jupiter square Neptune will be with us for most of the year. Due to retrograde motion Jupiter will square Neptune 3 times. This combination can point to an increase in spending, inflation, currencies and potential debt problems and bankruptcies. This could be on and off all year. Neptune alone is about illusion and delusion. Jupiter can be very favorable but can tend to overdoing things. Jupiter in Sagittarius should emphasize banks, judge’s, barristers and the courts in general. This would also cover major institutions like universities. Both Jupiter and Neptune are in the signs they rule making them more natural and powerful.

When looking at any Astro analysis for 2019 we should remember the effect of Jupiter square Neptune and Saturn conjunct Pluto. These aspects will be with us all year and beyond.

There were 3 slow moving planets turning retrograde this month. Just Saturn left as it turns retrograde on April 29th.



Aspects to the South node can be about may be pointing to past actions which require attention now.


May 1              Uranus semi-square Neptune.
                        Powerful planets with a weak aspect. Uranus is technology and sudden events                         while Neptune is illusion, secrets and idealistic. Note above that the Sun                                               conjuncts Uranus in Taurus. Could this effect crop production.
                        Uranus is also about airplanes and aviation industry.

May 2              Transiting Mars conjunct Natal Mars of the USA Sagittarius Rising chart.
                        If you don’t you don’t have a knowledge of Astrology this puts Mars in the                                           7th house of open enemies. Watch for some potential violence or attack. +- a couple                              of days.


May 7          Venus waxing square Saturn.
                     With a wide orb this aspect is associated with Primary cycle, both                      crests and troughs.

May 9             Venus waxing square Pluto.
                        Strong correlation to stock market moves. When ever we have Venus                                   in strong aspects look at stock market values and                                                        currencies. This could be many currencies.

                   Venus waxing trine Jupiter
                      Often associated with crests. This may be the crest we have been                       waiting for.
Correction
And More:    Mercury  Venus conjunct Uranus May 8
                        A strong correlation to changes in the trend of the SP500.

All dates +- 3 td’s (trading days)

See the Bradley Indicator at the end of this section.
If the current volatility continues watch for a cycle turn during the next 2 weeks.

The following daily chart of the SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the basis of what we have been forecasting on.

Following is the 24 Harmonic chart we have shown for many months.

The Jan 2 date was a big range day. It is trying to move through the Jupiter Price line (blue)



The next hits are May 24th, 2019 then July 9, 2019

From the last few posts:
“This coming year could see an increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos. Watch closely for the next few weeks.

See the link under “Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS. Geophysical activity has been picking up.

There has been a number of volcano’s erupting as well.  Earthquakes were in Japan, Hawaii, Philippines, others and recently in Indonesia.

On a longer term basis the following monthly chart of the DJIA  shows the 15 year cycle (red vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle (blue lines). The 15 year is due now or took place April – June 2018. The 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.



Although we do not have enough data the 45 year cycle pointing to Sept 2022 this could also be the 90 year cycle. We do not have enough data to make the 90 year call. For a 90 year cycle I’m looking at the years 1842 – 1932 and then 2022.

The following daily chart of the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the centered 
20 week envelope channel. Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the Sun / Neptune square which is often a short term change in trend.

We have had this noted it was due for a sell.  Also note the dark blue squares. They are the dates of the Mars square Uranus transit.



The red averages are based on the 20 week so they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle. This is known as a centered moving average.

I brought up Iran on the last couple of posts. I’ll come back to those charts on any potential signs of conflict. It is getting close. Watch the news for problems with Iran.Watch for news from India and Pakistan as well.


Other

Other cycles and Astrological events are the 20 year cycle and heliocentric Jupiter in Sagittarius.

The vertical black lines are the 20 year cycle. Note the lows. It is due again near March 2022 but it needs a wide orb.

The blue x’s show when heliocentric Jupiter is in Sagittarius. This, most often, has the market moving up. The next chart shows both these items. The aspect Heliocentric Jupiter in Sagittarius came from MMA. And timing solutions.




2019 Eclipses

See the previous blog post for more details on the eclipses. More on the July eclipse in a couple of weeks.

Date                Eclipse                                   Saros Cycle               Sign

Jan 6, 2019     Solar Partial                            122                              15Cp25
Jan 21, 2019   Total Lunar                              134                              00Le51
July 2, 2019     Solar Total                               127                              10Cn37
July 16, 2019  Partial Lunar                           139                              24Cp4
Dec 26, 2019  Solar Annular                          132                              4Cp6

The Bradley Indicator
This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market Prediction".
On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called "the Bradley". The

Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points (where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.

It does not forecast or anticipate whether that turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.
It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered) but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.

In Bradley's own words:
"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock averages"

So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are trend changes?
- a rising market changes to a falling market
- a rising market changes to sideways
- a sideways market starts going up
- a sideways market starts going down
- a market going down changes to a rising market
- a falling market starts going sideways

The red line is the Bradley Indicator.



Gold

We are in the 25th week of the Primary cycle. The trough was either March 7th or it is the low on April 23th. May 2nd may have been a double bottom. Watch the 50.0% Fibonacci level on the Gold chart, currently at 1273.

Gold has been in a trading zone since late December 2018. I’m looking for Gold to break up or down. I’m watching the Fibonacci levels at 38.2% and 23.6% as well as the 50% Fib. These could act as support or resistance. I’m looking for Gold to go up.

On occasion the Primary cycle can extend away from it’s more normal length of 18 weeks. The Sun conjunct Uranus on April 22 was very volatile and affect precious metals, Gold and Silver.

I’ve got a bullish view but the US$ has to retreat.



The following chart shows two daily envelope channels. The vertical red lines are a 20 day cycle.



The following chart shows a 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (blue vertical lines). The last being
April 17, 2019. The next is May 14, 2019.

The Moon takes 27 days to orbit the Earth and the Sun takes 27 days to revolve once at the Sun’s equator.

The red lines headed up are the Mars price lines. Gold had been moving up and have found both resistance and support at the Mars price line. The darker red Mars lines are the main aspect. Moving below the red Mars price line was bearish now we need to move above the red Mars price line as a positive sign for a move up in Gold. Gold may follow the red, Mars price line up. Watch closely.

The small blue x’s on the chart show when heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius. We often see changes in trend in Gold when Mercury enters heliocentric Sagittarius.

Looking at this whole chart it is based on a 24 harmonic. If you count each line from one darker red line to the next you will find there are 15 of them. 15 * 24 degrees = 360 degrees.



The following chart shows when Mars enters a new sign (red squares). It often affects Gold. Mars is in Gemini and changes signs into Cancer on May 15, 2019. Note the sharp move up.
Watch for geophysical activity around this timeframe.



Crude

Oil is recovering from a strong move down and now 17 weeks up and may have reached the crest of the Primary cycle. Since putting in a high on April 23 , 2019 crude has started down. The low on Dec 24 was the Primary cycle low and may turn out to be a larger cycle low.

I’m expecting crude to go lower. Notice price stopped at the 45 day sma and the 15 day sma is curling over.

Price has broken through the 15 day sma. But not the 45 day sma yet.

The USA has asked that crude prices be reduced…again

Jupiter and Neptune are the co-rulers of Crude. April 10 +- 3 tds may have been a strong change in trend for crude. Price has fallen back for a couple of days. The high of April 23rd was one day after the Sun was conjunct Uranus.

Beyond affecting crude these two planets have to do with illusions and delusions.

The Sun square Saturn is often a strong price move in many market. Also Pluto is associated with Gold and crude, basically things from the ground. Crude maybe affected on April 22 Sun conjunct Uranus, April 24 Pluto retrograde and April 29 Saturn retrograde.



This puts us entering week 18 of the Primary cycle.

On the next chart note how price often follows the Sun price line up (green line) and often stops and reverses at the Sun price line or the Pluto price line (blue). We often get big range days.  The red vertical lines are the 40 cd (calendar day) lines. Crude price often bounce on a Pluto price line (blue) as well.

Watch the green Sun price line and see if crude follows that price line up and look for a potential turn down near the 40 day cycle like April 25th.












25 comments:

  1. Hi sir,

    The crest of S&P500 should be taking in next week right? Around May 9th +/- 3 days? But if the price break the top i mean 2960, what will happen? The probability of that is high or not sir?

    ReplyDelete
  2. We should see the pull back in the SP500 by May 17 and probably next week. Watch Gold.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. What u mean, pull back sir?

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    2. You mean we should see a pull back and then move down in S&P500?

      Delete
  3. Replies
    1. Hi sir. I am not sure about gold. Should we wait or go long at that price. Around 1280

      Delete
  4. Hi sir,

    S&P500 should mover lower right?

    ReplyDelete
  5. Replies
    1. Indeed it has been working since May 5. Now question is how do you see May 8th and 9th. I do know there has to be one more negative day or two before they shoot up. Low can be 8th or 9th but perhaps overnight they will try pump tonight or Wed.

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    2. A move lower then pull back?

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    3. Peter the last 15 Min buy back spoiled the day for shorts. They may pump it significantly till morning but who knows what will they do as much of the realtime bag holders work with algos. Its a mechanical thing. Human emotion may add panic as unless some trumpean tweet anything can happen. I must keep my underwater shorts for a significant low

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  6. I previously mentioned the London England based astrologer who over a year ago was looking for very bad u.s.a. stock market days may 8 and 9. she clarified her reasoning she said: Uranus in Taurus cycle not seen in 80+ years will bring a storm on the global bull market this week. Get ready!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. George thanks i know whom you refer to. I think 5th and 7th were probably catalysts and 8th and 9th can be tricky. My feeling is that most traders will load back btd ideas n it may not work and selling may be harder at some point if panic sets in. My best sensitive point i see is between Wed morning to mid day Thur. Dnt be surpised to see a big rally after that for a short time

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    2. What you mean a storm to the bull market? S&P500 will pull back then a move lower? Thanks

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  7. the VIX index has the largest speculator short position in history as reported by Bloomberg tv. the last two times it was close to this level the VIX exploded to 50 and 36. the VIX rally today to 21.84 closing over 19 will cause some speculators to cover their short position in the next day or two. if it keeps going up there will be more shorts covered. the VIX has been used to keep the u.s.a. stock market from going down. the VIX activity alone can cause the SPX to drop. people are really scared when the VIX which was under 13 last Friday is now over 19.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. True. Vix short cover or longs went into highs but today its down 6% again. Todays low so far has been bought twice only on deal is in pipeline when in reality Chinese reneged on all offers. Yet they want to keep market up by false hopes. If it becomes clear no progress may be Thur a big down may happen as today it looks suspicious for now its morning. This Sun Moon comb. usually calls for a low to buy and yet i was expecting a bigger low but it seems it may remain into highs for today.

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  8. tradingdaze Your analysis is very good and well researched. It looks this week may still remain into highs unless the reality strikes as they may keep false hopes on trade deal. So you think next week may be a more clear trough to form. One of the studies i follow had that Sun Taurus Moon Cancer usually is a certain low from where prices move up but 18th deg Tau is usually neg. for US markets 18th deg starts after around close today and 19th deg is usually into highs. But I have a feeling that trend towards lows should continue despite attempts to rally as weekly candle of last week is bearish. Thank you again and appreciate your views and comments greatly. Best wishes and Namaste

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Still looking for a low next week. If a trade deal with China is finalized the market obviously will rise quickly.
      Possible dates: May 15 - 2 planets changing signs
      May 18 - Venus conjunct Uranus

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    2. Thanks dear Friend. Considering the JUP Rx many times such deals may remain hanging. I think irrespective of a deal or extension of another 60/90 days I think a high may happen Fri now IF that will be sold or continue to get pumped till Monday is difficult to predict. My reading is if of any value that we may see next wave down on short term next week and then it aligns with your low or may be a turn from high to low?

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  9. There is a talk among wave readers that another minor wave up may happen BUT nobody knows when. For now May could be MAY happen or not kind of timing.

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  10. NO DEAL
    wst peddles delusional "open window" hoax!

    ReplyDelete
  11. crash delayed 2 weeks (after memorial day?). New AI media "open window " meme"

    ReplyDelete
  12. CNBC is owned by the Chinese!

    ReplyDelete