- Our second half 2015 forecast dates are now
available.
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
The market letter is now a monthly
report and the August issue will be sent out this weekend. We will be sending
ALERTS to subscribers with specific
dates when there are imminent trading opportunities forming.
SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are
entering the 5th week of a new
Primary cycle 1
cycle that started on July 7th. This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.
The next time band for a nominal
18 week (Primary) cycle trough is noted on the first chart and is from Oct 19 through Dec 1st 2015. There are
a number of longer term cycles that may hit their troughs about the same time, actually closer to year end or early in 2016.
First we should be looking for the
crest of the first nominal 6 week cycle of the Primary cycle. The nominal 18
week cycle often breaks down into 3 nominal 6 week cycles. They would have a
range of 5-7 weeks. As we are 5 weeks along in the 18 week cycle, we should
start looking for a crest for the 6 week cycle. But this doesn't look like a 6
week cycle about to hit it's crest. In fact if this is the first 6 week cycle
of the nominal 18 week cycle the crest was July 20th at 2128.28. This would be
only 2 weeks from the start of the nominal 18 week cycle. This is very left translated where the top of a cycle occurs before the
mid-point of the cycle. It is very bearish.
This is so bearish that we may
need to reconsider the July 7th date as the low for the nominal 18 week cycle.
We are leaving it there for now, just a note it may need to be changed.
If this turns out to be a left translated cycle with the crest in the first 2 weeks of of a new nominal 18 week cycle it could be signalling the beginning of a bear market. Stay tuned.
If this turns out to be a left translated cycle with the crest in the first 2 weeks of of a new nominal 18 week cycle it could be signalling the beginning of a bear market. Stay tuned.
This first cycle of the nominal
18 week cycle could be a 1/2 Primary cycle 1
, the 2nd most
common type, then the cycle would be approx. 9 weeks long with a range of 8-10
weeks. This would give more time for the SP500 to put in a crest above the July
20th date. The concept behind the 6 week and 1/2 Primary cycles were from the
work of Ray Merriman and Walter Bressert.
There are a number of planets
changing signs over the next week, Mercury into Virgo, Mars into Leo and
Jupiter into Virgo. Planets changing signs often results in a change in trend
for the major market indices. The short term trend is currently down.
With the Astrological transits
dead ahead it looks difficult for the markets to make it back up to the July
20th high. Of course with the FED injections anything is possible.
There is one aspect in the coming
week which may affect the USA
directly. Subs have the date.
The fact I'm looking for a slow
forming top for the whole 6 year move
means we may start seeing more left translated cycles or at least cresting in
the middle of the cycle rather than being right translated. Also we may have
already seen the top on May 20th at 2134.71 for the SP500.
From last weeks blog post:
"The Astrological aspects seem to be
pointing to a move down. If it does not move up this would be bearish as we could be looking at a very left
translated cycle."
And down we went, finishing near
the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the move down from June 22nd to July 7th.
You may have heard of the Hebrew
Shemitah date which is coming up in September. There appears to be a number of
groups possibly trying to exploit this time period. I'll look into it this
coming week and include it on next weeks blog. I bring this up now because it
is based on the well known 7 year cycle which I have mentioned numerous times.
It is also based on 7, 7 year cycles or 49 years. Having gone back there were
pullbacks near the Shemitah date but I need to do some more work, so...I'll
leave it for next week. Following is a chart with the 7 year cycle.
With or without this Hebrew,
Shemitah date, September is shaping up to be problematic for the markets with a
number of Astrological aspects and planets changing direction.
On the following daily chart of
the SP500 the light blue lines are Fibonacci retracements from June 22nd to
July 7th. Note today's move got stopped at the 38.2 % Fib retracement near 2077.
On the following chart which is
the average longitude of the planets Mars through Pluto
(blue lines) converted to price. Price
has fallen away from the think blue price line and touched one of the thinner
blue price lines at 2066.11. We have been getting support from this line so
watch this closely next week. A break through this average price line would be
another bearish indicator. I suspect a bounce early in the week.
On the chart the red dots are
previous OPEX dates. (Option expiry, 3rd Friday of each month). The market has
been pulling back after these dates. I read this somewhere
but forgotten the source. The next OPEX date is August 21st.
The coming aspects could also
indicate earthquake activity or severe weather. Anytime Uranus and Saturn or
Pluto are emphasized I'll be looking for potential earthquake activity. Violent
events continue. What a world.
At this point, following are the
highs in the US
indexes.
DJIA May 19, 2015
DJTI Nov 28, 2014
SP500 May 20, 2015
NYSE May 21, 2015
RUT Jun 23, 2015
COMPQX July 20, 2015
Another chart we have not looked at for awhile is the
following daily chart of the SP500 with a fan indicator. The dark blue fan line
is 45 degrees. The starting point is the low at March 6, 2009. The blue 45 degree line is currently at 2110. Price has broken through this
line on 3 occasions recently. This hasn't happened for some time. This would be
another bearish indicator if price cannot get above this long term, 45 degree
line.
Another long term chart showing
weakness is the following weekly chart of the SP500 with a 21 week (red) and 34
week (blue) weekly averages again showing weakness. Price has not spent much
time below these moving averages during the massive move up. The 3 red squares
are the Saturn / Uranus sesquisquare (135 degrees). I'm watching this weekly
chart to see if the 21 sma crosses below the 34 week moving average.
In summary Early in
the week there are no harsh Astrological aspects. Monday we may see a short period of
negativity but we may then get a bounce early on. Later in the week there is a
significant negative aspect which may affect the USA directly. Subscribers have the
date. If the SP500 does not move up this would be very bearish as we could be
looking at a very left translated cycle.
In addition to the monthly report,
subscribers also receive forecast turn dates for the SP500 and Gold. The following
chart show the dates, so far, in the 2nd half of 2015 for the SP500 index. The red arrows show where
the forecast dates occurred. This is an hourly chart.
On Aug 3rd Jupiter made a waning
trine to Saturn. There's a lot to say about this aspect. Here's one point.
Every pass of the waning square between Jupiter and Saturn that has been a 3
pass has resulted in a longer term cycle unfolding between the first and last
passages. This will be a 3 pass. The dates are Aug 3, 2015, March 23, 2016 and June 26, 2016. We should be looking for
a longer term cycle to occur between the Aug 3, 2015 and June 26, 2016. Subscribers
have the longer term cycles. Subscribers also have information on the upcoming
"Mutation Conjunction" in Air, which should be an exciting period of
time. The last time this happened was
the year 1226.
See the following weekly chart of
the DJIA. The red squares are the Jupiter Saturn waning square, 3 pass. The
green squares are the Saturn Neptune square. They overlap and could be pointing
to a period of dramatic change.
Gold
Gold put in a Primary cycle 1
trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the
Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 21st week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week.
It should be noted Gold has followed an 18-19 week cycle
fairly closely for 2 years although there were some inversions (a high where a
low was expected). We should be getting close to a trough. Besides the 18 week cycle there are a number
of longer term cycles due and potent aspects which have a history of turns in
precious metals.
Watch the period around the Sun waxing trine Uranus on Aug 13 +- 4 tds. for a turn in precious
metals. This could be late this week near the New Moon on Aug 14th or early the following week. This is also near the mid-point of the Venus retrograde period another
period where PM's tend to reverse. There is also a very powerful
Astrological aspect which will be hitting the Sun in the USA natal
chart, reserved for subscribers.
The Gold chart is fulfilling all our requirements for a
nominal 18 week cycle low, that is price is below the 15 and 45 day sma's and
the 15 day is less than the 45 day and there are a number of Astrological
aspects which have a history of changes in trend for Gold. Watch for a reversal
in trend within 4 td's of the dates mentioned above. A number of technical
indicators are pointing to a potential change in trend.
The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus
(green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold has been moving sideways over last
week.. The Miners (Gold Mining companies) often lead Gold higher. Some
indicators like "TSI" are improving for The Miners. On the following
chart Gold needs to break above the Jupiter price line near 1096-1097 for an
early sign of a trend change.
On July 19, 2015
approximately 2.7 billion dollars of Gold was dumped on the market at 9:30 pm
on a Sunday evening. This was at a time when the market was the least liquid.
Whoever was selling was guaranteed to get the lowest price. This had the effect
reducing Gold prices by $50.00 per ounce or approx. 4.2%. I bring this up as an
example of market manipulation that is occurring. There are many other
examples.
Crude
This coming week of Aug
10th we should be entering the 21st
week of a Primary cycle which started Mar
18, 2015.
I'm watching the dates around any Neptune or Jupiter aspects and there is a big one in September.
Crude also tends to have a change in trend, either a crest or a trough when
geocentric Mars is in Leo. Mars entered Leo on August 8th and will be there
until Sept 24th. Watch for a change in trend during this period.
Crude put in a "W" bottom, marked PB (Primary
bottom) and DB ( double bottom).
As seen on the following chart crude dropped away from the Neptune price line (green) and now continues with lower
lows.
The lines are 45 degrees apart. 45 degrees is (360 / 8) = 45
or also known as the 8th harmonic.
We are getting late in the nominal 18 week cycle in crude.
Watch price closely as it approaches any of the price lines.
Another chart we have not shown for awhile is the weekly
crude chart with the 16 week (red) and 24 week (blue) cycles. Where they meet
the cycle line is green and is typically found at crests but sometimes inverts
to a trough. The next green line is early
November. 2015 close to a Neptune direct
signature.
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude
also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?
The 2nd half 2015
dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in July) are available
for purchase.
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