- Our second half 2015 forecast dates are now
available.
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
We will be sending ALERTS to
subscribers with specific dates when
there are imminent trading opportunities forming. There was a second ALERT sent
out to subscribers on Aug 24th and
another on Sept 9th covering the critical
dates in September
SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are
entering the 13th week of a new
Primary cycle 1
cycle that started
on July 7th. This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15
to 21 weeks.
The next time band for a nominal
18 week (Primary) cycle trough is noted on the second chart of the SP500 below and
is from Oct 19 through Dec 1st 2015.
There are a number of longer term cycles that may hit their troughs about the
same time. Details on the subscriber letter.
There are 2 periods of time coming
up over the next 4 weeks where a cycle low in the current Primary and possibly
some longer term cycles are due.
As this primary cycle started on July 7 and at this point made a crest on July 20th it is a very left
translated and therefore quite bearish. I don't expect the high will be taken
out during this nominal 18 week cycle. I'm expecting the first part of October
to be very volatile and most likely we will see another sharp move.
The low at August 25th was either a nominal 6 week cycle trough which was 7 weeks along or a 1/2 primary cycle trough. It could
quite possibly be the 50 week cycle low and also possible is the 4 year low.
This is very important, it could have been a 4 year cycle low, although I
suspect we'll see it over the next few weeks at a deeper level. If it was a 4
year cycle low the markets should be bullish.
The Sun has entered Libra, a
Cardinal, Air sign and this time of the year has a strong history of sharp
moves down in the US
indices. September's sharp move could have been it this year, but I think we
have another in front of us before the markets move up.
On Friday Oct 2nd we had a very negative jobs report in the US . On this news the markets
did not tank, they shot up. The thinking is, increased unemployment is going to prevent the FED
from increasing rates thus stocks can continue the trend where companies get
money cheap, and buy-back stocks and get a higher return than the loan. We have
the same situation with top management receiving cheap loans and buying their
company stock driving up prices. Similarly Gold and Crude moved up big with the
knowledge the US $
won't go up due to an increase in rates. Also, companies will be able to sell
more product abroad with a lower US$.
So the economy has not increased and
the majority seem to be looking for no FED rate increase this year after this
jobs report.
In our work we see two time
periods coming up where we could get a significant pullback. Subscribers have
the dates.
We should be looking for a nominal
18 week cycle low between October 19 and December 1st. This may be a short
nominal 18 week cycle. If it comes in on the short side that would be the week
of October 19th or close to it. This may also be the time for the 4 year cycle
to hit it's trough.
Before we get there I'm looking
for continued volatility.
We just had Pluto turning direct
on Sept 26th and early October we have a number of transits to Pluto.
The reason this is important is
that transiting Pluto has just turned direct and is opposing the Sun in the
natal U.S.A.
chart. For Astrologers this is using the Sagittarius rising chart. Transiting
Pluto is also squaring the natal Saturn in the U.S.A. chart as well. This is
creating a powerful T-square between transiting Pluto and the natal US Sun and
Saturn. These aspects will be in orb well into 2016. This may not be a great
time to live in the US .
Pluto will force a change in the status quo and the future is very much
dependent how change is handled.
Pluto is all about transformation
that will happen or be forced to happen. It is about the end of the status quo
possibly in a violent way.
It is about extremes and the use
or mis-use of power, including nuclear energy. In Capricorn this can stand for
the people rebelling against the establishment or the "powers that be"
using their power to control the people. Such control is often accomplished
through fear.
Due to retrograde / direct motion
(Pluto turns Direct and Mercury turning Retrograde) Mercury (the messenger)
will square Pluto three times with the last one coming on October 22nd, a rare occurrence.
This is the first time Pluto has
opposed the US
Sun ever. Pluto moves very slowly. The Pluto / US Sun opposition has been going
on since early February 2014. It should be noted, some countries that have
experienced this aspect have gone through periods of massive change. This can
best be described as a period of creative destruction where things are broken
down in order to build up a new more functional and effective base. If you live
in the U.S.
this period will continue for a number of months, well into 2016.
Perhaps the US market
gyrations are symptom of this Pluto transit as well. If we look back at when
Pluto was conjunct the natal U.S.
Sun it was the roaring twenties, before the collapse. That was the conjunction
and we are now experiencing the Pluto / Sun opposition. Pluto is about change
but with an opposition the change may come from the U.S. allies or enemies.
There are a number of transits to
Pluto which should emphasize the above.
Following is a monthly chart of
the SP500 with the 7 year cycle on it. The red bars near the bottom of the
cycle indicator show time period that the 7 year cycle is estimated to hit it's
trough. Due to the influence of other long term cycles I'm looking at December
2015 / January 2016 as a period of time for the 7 year cycle low.
On the following daily chart I've
noted the time period to look for a trough for this nominal 18 week cycle. Also
note, after the sharp move down in August the bounce was running out of steam
until today, Oct 2nd, when the poor employment report came out.
Remember we could have already had
the 4 year trough on August 25th. Again, I think it's in front of us.
On the following chart which is
the average longitude of the planets Mars through Pluto
(blue lines) converted to price. Price
has fallen through a number of average price lines.
Note the other recent OPEX dates
(red circle). They have been at highs then down. The blue midpoint lines are
acting as resistance for the SP500. It is currently at 1940.17 for the SP500.
At this point, following are the
highs in the US
indexes. Also noted are the dates the 50 day simple moving average crossed the
200 day sma, the so-called death cross.
DJIA
May 19, 2015 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Aug 11th
DJTI
Nov 28, 2014 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on May 26th
SP500
May 20, 2015 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Aug 27
NYSE
May 21, 2015 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Aug 11th
RUT
Jun 23, 2015 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Sept 1st
COMPQX July
20, 2015 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Sept 25td
Some of the biggest moves in the US
markets have occurred when Saturn is in mutable signs. The mutable signs are
Gemini, Virgo, Sagittarius and Pisces. As mentioned above Saturn will be
entering Sagittarius this month.
And one more showing the
geocentric Jupiter / Saturn square (red squares) including the following note (Every
pass of the waning square between Jupiter and Saturn that has been a 3 pass has
resulted in a longer term cycle unfolding between the first and last passages).
Could this forming low be it? There is
more useful information on this chart, reserved for subscribers.
In Summary
So subscribers had the September 17th and 25th dates well in
advance. In fact, subscribers get a 6 month list of potential turn dates when
they register. If they look back at this list I had September 16th as the CIT date (Change In Trend). This list of
dates was done in May of 2015. This is the power of Astrology. One can forecast
important dates months or even years in advance. This list also had August 18th, the start of the severe
move down.
Subscribers have dates where bigger moves are expected.
Expect volatility and keep in mind the comments made above about Pluto and the United States
natal Sun.
The surprise I had mentioned
coming up, may have been the announcement of water on Mars. As mentioned it was
not related directly to the markets.
Looking forward the days around
Oct 19 maybe prime for a nominal 18 week cycle trough in the 15th week. Before
we get there I suspect volatility, trending down and the possibility of another
severe move down. Subscribers have the other dates where a more severe move
down may occur.
During the Mercury retrograde
period buying and selling, communications and negotiations are highlighted.
Buying and selling can mean the markets. This is a period where you should be
careful signing agreements or any contractual commitments. This does not mean
not to go ahead with anything, just be extra careful on what you are doing. Mercury
will move to direct motion on Oct 9th.
I've mentioned crude being affected when there are significant aspects to Jupiter or Neptune. Hard transits to Neptune can also bring out illusion, delusion, lies and deceit. Watch this over the next few weeks. If war heats up in the mid-East area remember the following, attributed to a number of people. "The first casualty of war is the truth".
Gold
Gold put in a Primary cycle 1
trough on March 17th. It appears we got the nominal
18 week trough on July 24th. This
could turn out to be a very important low.
We are entering the
11th week of the nominal 18 week
cycle. It appears we have put in the
nominal 6 week cycle trough on Sept 11th. If so Gold should be bullish here. There
is much confusion in the financial markets and I expect Gold to reflect this
confusion as well. At a minimum we want to see Gold break above it's down
sloping trend line from Jan 22, 2014 (light blue on the following chart). Any
move above 1169.80 on a daily basis should be viewed as bullish as well. If precious metals are relatively high watch for a pullback around Oct 16th, 19th.
With the currency wars heating up Gold should benefit. We
need to see more price action for PM's over the next few weeks. Gold often puts
in a low while Jupiter moves through Virgo. Jupiter entered Virgo on August
11th and will be there until Sept 9, 2016.
Besides the 18 week cycle there are a number of longer term
cycles due and potent aspects which have a history of turns in precious metals.
I was looking at the period around November 26th for a change in trend. Gold
also often changes trend close to Mercury turning direct which is this week,
Oct 9th.
On the following daily Gold chart notice Gold moved down to
the heliocentric Venus price line (green) and then bounced up. Watch to see if this is a short term bounce or
the beginning of a longer term move. The blue lines are the heliocentric
Jupiter price lines (blue).
Crude
This coming week of Oct
5tht we should be entering the 7th
week of a new nominal 18 week cycle
which started August 24th.
I've mentioned a number of times to watch dates near Neptune or Jupiter aspects and the Sun
was conjunct Jupiter on Aug 26th. The
Sun opposed Neptune on August 31. This is looking like the crest for the first nominal 6
week cycle of the Primary cycle. This would have the cycle quite left
translated and therefore bearish. I expect a bigger move in crude in late
November.
There are a number of potent aspects to Jupiter and Neptune
on the month of October and I therefore expect crude to be quite volatile. For
example the first two are Mars opposing Neptune on Oct 6th and Jupiter trine
Pluto on Oct 11th. Give each +- 2 td's (trading days). Subscribers have
additional dates.
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude
also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?
The 2nd half 2015
dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in July) are available
for purchase.
Can you provide the link to subscribe. TIA Gary L
ReplyDeleteClick the Buy Now button at the top of the blog page.
ReplyDeleteRegards,
When you say Gold changes trend around the 9th October, do you see this trend change as being up or down?
ReplyDeleteGord,we have 2 bradley turndates this weekend then one on 17th.As,bullish as markets are now should we,expect a top today the 9th and then down/low into 17th
ReplyDeleteTwo questions. For Gold I'm looking for the CIT to be up.
ReplyDeleteOn the second question I look at the Bradley but it is notoriously wrong. I am looking for a high on Oct 9 or 12 then down into the week of Oct 19th +- 4 td's.