Saturday, August 29, 2015

Financial Astrology - August 31, 2015

 - Our second half 2015 forecast dates are now available.
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We will be sending ALERTS to subscribers with specific dates when there are imminent trading opportunities forming. The last one is posted below this post. There was a second ALERT sent out to subscribers on Aug 24th covering most of the critical dates in September

For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 8th week of a new Primary cycle  1 cycle that started on July 7th.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.

The next time band for a nominal 18 week (Primary) cycle trough is noted on the second chart of the SP500 and is from Oct 19 through Dec 1st 2015. There are a number of longer term cycles that may hit their troughs about the same time. Details on the subscriber letter.

The big move down during the week of Aug 17th makes it difficult to determine where we are in the nominal 18 week cycle. We know we are in the 8th week but was the low on Aug 24th the trough for the first nominal 6 week cycle of the 18 week cycle. Quite possible, but with such violent action we could see a 1/2 Primary cycle. I'm expecting a further pullback.

Pullback or not this cycle is still very bearish. It stared on July 7th and put in a crest on July 20th. This is very left translated and very bearish.

Two weeks ago we made the point, the Sun was about to begin it's translation of a T-square beginning on Aug 21 with the Sun in waning square to Saturn. In this case Saturn was the focal point of a T-square between Jupiter, Saturn and Neptune. Jupiter and Neptune may point to confusion but remember Saturn is still in Scorpio, debt and other peoples money and continues in mutual reception with Pluto, making both stronger. We may be hearing more news of debt problems or confusion surrounding debt or financing This configuration could also be pointing to violent weather. Saturn leaves Scorpio this month and goes into Sagittarius. This is better stated, karmic Saturn enters spiritual Sagittarius this month. Saturn will lose some strength as it will no longer be in mutual reception with Pluto.

The Sun's translation of this powerful T-square continued with the Sun conjunct Jupiter on August 26 and then Sun opposition Neptune on August 31st. Aug 31 or Sept 1 should be a time period for deception, trickery, lies and fakes. I'm looking at the next period of time to continue being volatile. At this point, I look at next week as being very volatile with the possibility of more sharp down moves although this may be later in the month.

 There is also a perigee Full Moon on August 29th. Beyond the markets the perigee (closest pass to Earth) Full Moon can be a time of severe weather, earthquakes / volcanoes and general violent actions. This  Full Moon is very close to the Jupiter / Neptune opposition. Neptune is in Pisces, the sign that it rules. It rules water and crude among other things. This Full Moon emphasizes water. The forming hurricane or other storm may be the cause of a great deal of water damage via flooding.

Following is a monthly chart of the SP500 with the 7 year cycle on it. The red bars near the bottom of the cycle indicator show time period that the 7 year cycle is estimated to hit it's trough.

On the following daily chart I've noted the time period to look for a trough for this nominal 18 week cycle.

On the following chart which is the average longitude of the planets Mars through Pluto
(blue lines) converted to price. Price has fallen through a number of average price lines. We'll come back to this chart when the markets settle down.

Note the other recent OPEX dates (red circle). They have been at highs then down. Also note the red vertical lines (Fibonacci grid) which started at the Oct 15, 2014 low. The next red vertical line is Fib 233 td's from that October low. More details for subscribers.

Violent events continue.

At this point, following are the highs in the US indexes. Also noted are the dates the 50 day simple moving average crossed the 200 day sma, the so-called death cross.
DJIA               May 19, 2015 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Aug 11th
DJTI               Nov 28, 2014 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on May 26th
SP500             May 20, 2015
NYSE             May 21, 2015  50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Aug 11th
RUT               Jun 23, 2015
COMPQX      July 20, 2015

Another chart is the following daily chart of the SP500 with a fan indicator. The dark blue fan line is 45 degrees. The starting point is the low at March 6, 2009. The blue 45 degree line is currently at 2126. Price has broken through this line on 3 occasions recently and has now created some separation. This hasn't happened for some time. This is another bearish indicator.

And I've been waiting for this weekly chart of the SP500 with the 21 and 34 weekly moving averages to turn for some time. Another bearish indicator. The last time price broke this far below the moving averages it was October 2011 which many have picked as the 4 year cycle low. Is this the next 4 year cycle low forming? It's quite possible.

Some of the biggest moves in the US markets have occurred when Saturn is in mutable signs. The mutable signs are Gemini, Virgo, Sagittarius and Pisces. The following monthly chart of the DJIA shows when Saturn was in mutable signs, the colored x's. As mentioned above Saturn will be entering Sagittarius this month.

In Summary
The expected down turn started and was more severe than anticipated. Such a move in a few days should result in volatile environment, for some time. This should be a great environment for those who enjoy short term trading, like me. {^_^}. The dates where the Sun will again translate the T-square mentioned above are prime candidates for volatility. Again they are Aug 26th and Aug 31st. All dates are +- 2 td's unless otherwise noted. The perigee Full Moon on August 29th is also very close to the forming Jupiter / Neptune opposition.

An Alert has been sent to subscribers with specific dates when big moves are most likely to occur in September.

4 year  6.5-7 year
See the following weekly chart of the DJIA. The red squares are the Jupiter Saturn waning square, 3 pass. The green squares are the Saturn Neptune square. They overlap and could be pointing to a period of dramatic change. Other items noted on the chart are Saturn in Sagittarius, the time frame for the 3.3 year Kitchin cycle trough and the next Primary cycle trough. I look to the periods of overlap to determine more major market moves. I bring this up since I think there will be a stronger down move late in 2015 or early 2016.

Gold put in a  Primary cycle   1 trough on March 17th. It appears we got the nominal 18 week trough on July 24th.

We are either in the first nominal 6 week cycle or just put in the trough for the first 6 week cycle on Aug 27 or we are still in the first cycle which will turn out to be a 1/2 Primary cycle crest.

I'm looking at this as still being in the first nominal 6 week cycle. We may have further to go down.
With the currency wars heating up Gold should eventually benefit. This may not be until  the next 18 week cycle trough, that is late 2015 / early 2016. We need to see more price action for PM's over the next few weeks. I'm expecting a pullback.

Besides the 18 week cycle there are a number of longer term cycles due and potent aspects which have a history of turns in precious metals.

The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold started moving up when it hit the 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (red vertical line). It moved up sharply but has since turned down. The next 27 cd cycle is Sept 2nd.

This coming week of Aug 31st we should be entering the 24th week or the first of a nominal 18 week cycle which started Mar 18, 2015.

I said to watch dates near Neptune or Jupiter aspects and the Sun was conjunct Jupiter on Aug 26th. We are very late in the older nominal 18 week cycle at 24 weeks. This currently looks like a nominal 18 week cycle low on Aug 24th. We will need to see further price action next week.

As seen on the following chart crude dropped away from the Neptune price line (green) and bounced off the Jupiter price line (orange), the day crude appeared to put in a trough.

The lines are 45 degrees apart. 45 degrees is (360 / 8) = 45 or also known as the 8th harmonic.

Keep in mind there has been some war news with Saudi Arabia sending ground troops into Yemen. Problems with Saudi crude operations, plants or ports could change the price for crude very quickly.

Another chart we have not shown for awhile is the weekly crude chart with the 16 week (red) and 24 week (blue) cycles. Where they meet the cycle line is green and is typically found at crests but sometimes inverts to a trough. The next green line is early November. 2015 close to a Neptune direct signature.

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 2nd half 2015 dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in July) are available for purchase.

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