- Our second half 2015 forecast dates are now
available.
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
We will be sending ALERTS to
subscribers with specific dates when
there are imminent trading opportunities forming. There was a second ALERT sent
out to subscribers on Sept 9 and another
on Oct 4th covering the critical
dates in Sept / early Oct.
SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are
entering the 14th week of Primary
cycle 1
cycle that started
on July 7th. This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15
to 21 weeks.
The next time band for a nominal
18 week (Primary) cycle trough is noted on the second chart of the SP500 below and
is from Oct 19 through Dec 1st 2015.
The 50 week and 4 year cycles may
have seen their troughs at the Aug 24th lows but this is not definite. Other
longer term cycles that are close to seeing their lows are the 7 year cycle and the Kitchin cycle (40 months)
I'm looking at Oct 12th (+- 3 tds) as being the start
of a move down and the week of Oct 19 (+- 3 tds) as recording a low.
If the markets do not go down next
week, the move down and the trough could both occur during the week of Oct
19th.
As this primary cycle started on July 7 and at this point made a crest on July 20th it is a very left
translated and therefore quite bearish. I don't expect the high will be taken
out during this nominal 18 week cycle.
The low at August 25th was either a nominal 6 week cycle trough which was 7 weeks along or a 1/2 primary cycle trough. It could
quite possibly be the 50 week cycle low and also possible is the 4 year low.
This is very important, although I suspect we'll see it over the next few weeks
at a deeper level.
From last weeks blog;
"If it was a 4 year cycle low the
markets should be bullish."
They've been bullish since Sept
29th 2 days after the Lunar eclipse.
The Sun has entered Libra, a
Cardinal, Air sign and this time of the year has a strong history of sharp
moves down in the US
indices. September's sharp move could have been it this year, but I think we
have another in front of us.
On Friday Oct 2nd we had a very negative jobs report in the US . On this news the markets
did not tank, they shot up. Increased unemployment is going to prevent the FED
from increasing rates thus stocks can continue the trend where companies get
money cheap, and buy-back stocks and get a higher return than the loan. We have
the same situation with top management receiving cheap loans and buy their
company stock driving up prices. Similarly Gold and Crude moved up big with the
knowledge the US $
won't go up due to an increase in rates. Also, companies will be able to sell
more product abroad with a lower US$.
So the economy has not increased and
the majority seem to be looking for no FED rate increase this year after this
jobs report.
In our work we see two time
periods coming up where we could get a significant pullback. Subscribers have the
dates.
We just had Pluto turning direct
on Sept 26th and early October we have a number of transits to Pluto.
The reason this is important is
that transiting Pluto has just turned
direct and is opposing the Sun in the natal U.S.A. chart. For Astrologers this
is using the Sagittarius rising chart. Transiting Pluto is also squaring the
natal Saturn in the U.S.A.
chart as well. This is creating a powerful T-square between transiting Pluto
and the natal US
Sun and Saturn. These aspects will be in orb well into 2016. This may not be a
great time to live in the US .
Pluto will force a change in the status quo and the future is very much
dependent how change is handled.
Pluto is all about transformation
that will happen or be forced to happen. It is about the end of the status quo
possibly in a violent way.
It is about extremes and the use
or mis-use of power, including nuclear energy. In Capricorn this can stand for
the people rebelling against the establishment or the "powers that be"
using their power to control the people. Such control is often accomplished
through fear.
Pluto energies and
their effect on the USA
will be emphasized during transits to Pluto. This coming week we have Jupiter waning trine Pluto on Oct 11, Mars waning trine Pluto on Oct 15. Oct
15th could be interesting as it also has the Sun sesquisquare Neptune
which is often found near market turns +- 3 tds. There are other dates coming
up.
Due to retrograde / direct motion
(Pluto turns Direct and Mercury turning Retrograde) Mercury (the messenger)
will square Pluto three times with the last one coming on October 22nd, a rare occurrence.
This is the first time Pluto has
opposed the US
Sun ever. Pluto moves very slowly. The Pluto / US Sun opposition has been going
on since early February 2014. It should be noted, some countries that have
experienced this aspect have gone through periods of massive change. This can
best be described as a period of creative destruction where things are broken
down in order to build up a new more functional and effective base. If you live
in the U.S.
this period will continue for a number of months, well into 2016.
Perhaps the US market
gyrations are symptom of this Pluto transit as well. If we look back at when
Pluto was conjunct the natal U.S.
Sun it was the roaring twenties, before the collapse. That was the conjunction
and we are now experiencing the Pluto / Sun opposition. Pluto is about change
but with an opposition the change may come from the U.S. allies or enemies.
Following is a monthly chart of
the SP500 with the 7 year cycle on it. The red bars near the bottom of the
cycle indicator show time period that the 7 year cycle is estimated to hit it's
trough. Due to the influence of other long term cycles I'm looking at December
2015 / January 2016 as a period of time for the 7 year cycle low.
On the following daily chart I've
noted the time period to look for a trough for this nominal 18 week cycle. Also
note, after the sharp move down in August the bounce was running out of steam
until Oct 2nd when the poor employment report came out.
Remember we could have already had
the 4 year trough on August 25th. Again, I think it's in front of us.
On the following chart which is
the average longitude of the planets Mars through Pluto
(blue lines) converted to price. Price
has fallen through a number of average price lines.
Note the other recent OPEX dates
(red circle). They have been at highs then down. The next OPEX date is Oct 16th. The blue midpoint lines are
acting as resistance for the SP500. The next blue midpoint line is currently at 2031 for the SP500.
At this point, following are the
highs in the US
indexes. Also noted are the dates the 50 day simple moving average crossed the
200 day sma, the so-called death cross.
DJIA
May 19, 2015 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Aug 11th
DJTI
Nov 28, 2014 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on May 26th
SP500
May 20, 2015 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Aug 27
NYSE
May 21, 2015 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Aug 11th
RUT
Jun 23, 2015 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Sept 1st
COMPQX July
20, 2015 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Sept 25td
Some of the biggest moves in the US
markets have occurred when Saturn is in mutable signs. The mutable signs are
Gemini, Virgo, Sagittarius and Pisces. As mentioned above Saturn will be
entering Sagittarius this month.
And one more showing the
geocentric Jupiter / Saturn square (red squares) including the following note (Every
pass of the waning square between Jupiter and Saturn that has been a 3 pass has
resulted in a longer term cycle unfolding between the first and last passages).
Could this forming low be it? There is
more useful information on this chart, reserved for subscribers.
In Summary
So subscribers had the September 17th and 25th dates well in
advance. In fact, subscribers get a 6 month list of potential turn dates when
they register. If they look back at this list I had September 16th as the CIT date (Change In Trend). This list of
dates was done in May of 2015. This is the power of Astrology. One can forecast
important dates months or even years in advance. This list also had August 18th, the start of the severe
move down.
As an example I'm looking at the
period around Nov 26th as being very
difficult. This may effect crude or the countries producing crude. That
includes the U.S.
Subscribers have dates where bigger moves are expected.
Expect volatility and keep in mind the comments made above about Pluto and the United States
natal Sun.
One of the potent aspects coming
up is Mars conjunct Jupiter on October
17th. Among other things, Mars stands for war and Jupiter the financial
sector. This could stand for a currency war, aggression towards banks, sudden
changes to the financial sector. This aspect has a history of occurring near
trend changes in the Primary cycle. This aspect has had an effect on Gold and
Crude in the past. See comments below.
Jupiter also stands for religion
and the activities in the mid-East are a perfect description of Mars / Jupiter
aspects, "war against religion".
Looking forward 2 days, around Oct 19 we have had in our radar for
some time and maybe prime for a nominal 18 week cycle trough in the 15th week.
Before we get there I suspect volatility in many markets.
Following are a few of the strong aspects occurring this week. Note they are 3 days in a row,.
Watch this coming week, particularly Oct 12th, and the first half of the next week for explosions and attacks that are stronger than the norm.
Following are a few of the strong aspects occurring this week. Note they are 3 days in a row,.
Sun sesquisquare Neptune Oct 15th
Venus opposing Neptune Oct 16
Mars conjunct Jupiter Oct 17th
Watch the dates from Oct 15 through Oct 19 for a move in the SP500 and probably a number of broad market indices. I'm looking for a move down.Watch this coming week, particularly Oct 12th, and the first half of the next week for explosions and attacks that are stronger than the norm.
Gold
Gold put in a Primary cycle 1
trough on July 24th. This could turn out to be a
very important low.
We are entering the
12th week of the nominal 18 week
cycle. It appears we have put in the
nominal 6 week cycle trough on Sept 11th. If so Gold should be bullish here. There
is much confusion in the financial markets and I expect Gold to reflect this
confusion as well. At a minimum we wanted to see Gold break above it's down
sloping trend line from Jan 22, 2014 (light blue on the following chart) which it has.
That trend line is currently at 1139. A move below this
trend line would be a bearish indicator.
Any move above 1169.80 on a daily closing basis should be viewed as bullish as it would change the current
Primary cycle from left translated to right translated. There are also a number
of volatile aspects.
With the currency wars heating up Gold should benefit. We
need to see more price action for PM's over the next few weeks. Gold often puts
in a low while Jupiter moves through Virgo. Jupiter entered Virgo on August
11th and will be there until Sept 9, 2016.
Besides the 18 week cycle there are a number of longer term
cycles due and potent aspects which have a history of turns in precious metals.
I was looking at the period around November 26th for a change in trend. Gold
also often changes trend close to Mercury turning direct which is,
Oct 9th. There are also a number of potent Astrological aspects that point to
volatility but not the direction. The next two weeks should be volatile in many
markets.
There is one aspect coming up, Mars conjunct Jupiter on Oct 17th which should mark a turn down in
Gold, if Gold has not already moved down. Give this aspect and date +- 2 td's.
On the following daily Gold chart notice Gold bounced off
the heliocentric Venus price line (green) on Oct 2nd and has moved up through
the heliocentric Jupiter price lines (blue). Watch for either this move to
continue or Gold moves below 1147 which is the current heliocentric Jupiter
price line. This would be bearish.
Crude
This coming week of Oct
12th we should be entering the 8th
week of a nominal 18 week cycle which started August 24th.
I've mentioned a number of times to watch dates near Neptune or Jupiter aspects and the Sun
was conjunct Jupiter on Aug 26th. The
Sun opposed Neptune on August 31. The move up in crude this week has changed the current
nominal 18 week cycle from being left translated to right translated. This is
bullish if we stay above current levels.
There are a number of potent aspects to Jupiter and Neptune in the month of October and I therefore expect crude to be quite volatile.
For example
Mars opposing Neptune on
Oct 6th
Jupiter trine Pluto on Oct 11th.
Sun sesquisquare Neptune
Oct 15th
Venus opposing Neptune Oct
16
Mars conjunct Jupiter Oct 17th
Give each +- 2 td's (trading days).
This could be a very important but confusing week in many
markets with the emphasis on Neptune . Remember Neptune, illusion, delusion, lies and deceit. Sounds like a politician. Crude in
particular could see some wild swings.
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude
also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?
The 2nd half 2015
dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in July) are available
for purchase.
You're welcome.
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