Saturday, August 15, 2015

Financial Astrology - August 17, 2015

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For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 6th week of a new Primary cycle  1 cycle that started on July 7th.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.

The next time band for a nominal 18 week (Primary) cycle trough is noted on the second chart of the SP500 and is from Oct 19 through Dec 1st 2015. There are a number of longer term cycles that may hit their troughs about the same time. Details on the subscriber letter.

Before we get there I'm expecting a more major pullback in the major market indices in late August / early September. I'm looking for a rise first and that maybe next week which would coincide with the middle of the Venus retrograde time period. We often get a move, either high or a low near the mid-point of the Venus retrograde period. I'm looking for a move higher next week which could reverse down as soon as Aug 21st.

The Sun will begin it's translation of a T-square beginning on Aug 21 with the Sun in waning square to Saturn. In this case Saturn is the focal point of a T-square between Jupiter, Saturn and Neptune. Jupiter and Neptune may point to confusion but remember Saturn is still in Scorpio, debt and other peoples money and continues in mutual reception with Pluto, making both stronger. We may be hearing more news of debt problem or confusion surrounding debt or financing This configuration could also be pointing to violent weather.

 There is also a perigee Full Moon on August 29th. Beyond the markets the perigee (closest pass to Earth) Full Moon can be a time of severe weather, earthquakes / volcanoes and general violent actions.

There are other potent aspects in September, particularly Sept 6 - 17th. This will be covered in a future post.

First we should be looking for the crest of the first nominal 6 week cycle of the Primary cycle. The nominal 18 week cycle often breaks down into 3 nominal 6 week cycles. They would have a range of 5-7 weeks. Assuming we are 6 weeks along the crest currently was back on July 20th. As discussed recently this is very left translated and very bearish.

This is so bearish that we may need to reconsider the July 7th date as the low for the nominal 18 week cycle. We are leaving it there for now, just a note it may need to be changed.

This first cycle of the nominal 18 week cycle could be a 1/2 Primary cycle  1   , the 2nd most common type, then the cycle would be approx. 6 weeks along with a range of 8-10 weeks. This would give more time for the SP500 to put in a crest above the July 20th date. This also fits better with my forecast for a move up then a more severe move down in September. Note: This could be as early as August 21. The concept behind the 6 week and 1/2 Primary cycles were from the work of Ray Merriman and Walter Bressert.

The fact I'm looking for a slow forming top for the whole 6 year move means we may start seeing more left translated cycles or at least cresting in the middle of the cycle rather than being right translated. Also we may have already seen the top on May 20th at 2134.71 for the SP500.

From last weeks blog post:
"Later in the week there is a significant negative aspect which may affect the USA directly."

Now I had originally thought this date was August 13th; however, the down moves were August 11th and 12th with the Chinese revaluing their currency, 1 and 2 days before the Aug 13th forecast dates. Another good reason to use +- 2 or 3 tds in this case. There is a little more quantum flux in the Universe than many allow for. We typically need to look at a range of days.

I also mentioned looking at this Hebrew SHEMITAH date at the request of a subscriber. This is not Astrology. Apparently there is a movie, DVD's and multiple websites covering this subject. I guess I don't get out much?

SHEMITAH and Blood Moons

A brief summary and definitions of these events which are getting more mainstream attention as we approach mid-September 2015

Let me first say I am no Bible expert and was looking at the past effects of these events on the stock market. I realize there are other claims and forecasts and potential dire events. I'll let the reader search these as they see fit.

First some definitions.

SHEMITAH is based on the Hebrew calendar not the western calendar (as used in North America). It is based on a 7 year cycle.

Separate from this, there is a very reliable 7 year cycle in the stock market.

The 7 year stock market cycle is due this year.

What is a Shemitah Year…? The Shemitah Year is the seventh year of the seven-year agricultural cycle mandated by the Torah for the Land of Israel and still observed in contemporary Judaism. When Moses received the Levitical law, God gave the commandment to rest on the seventh day… the Sabbath. Moses also applied the cycles of "seven" to weeks and years. A cycle of seven weeks points to the 50th day, called Pentecost. And a cycle of seven sets of seven years points to the 50th year, the year of Jubilee. The year of Jubilee is based on letting the land rest every seventh year as follows; "For six years sow your fields, and for six years prune your vineyards and gather their crops. But in the seventh year the land is to have a Sabbath of rest, a Sabbath to the Lord." (Leviticus 25:3-4)

The 2015  SHEMITAH falls of the 29th of Elul in the Hebrew calendar which will be Sept 13, 2015. That date is also a partial Solar eclipse. From a review of past SHEMITAH dates this could be the start of a move down in the markets or the bottom of a move that has already taken place.

This is also a Jubilee year which is 7 * 7 SHEMITAH years or 49 years.

If you look at the chart below the last SHEMITAH year was 1966 and is the last red line on the chart. It did occur on a market pull back.

Blood Moons Tetrad and some other Definitions

Tetrad: When four consecutive lunar eclipses are all total eclipses, the group is known as a tetrad. The next Total Lunar Eclipse is Sept 27th and by definition is a blood moon.

The Saros Cycle: is an eclipse cycle with a period of about 18 years 11 days 8 hours (approximately 65851/3 days) that can be used to predict eclipses of the Sun and Moon.  One cycle after an eclipse… the Sun, Earth, and Moon return to approximately the same relative geometry, and a nearly identical eclipse will occur west of the original location.

Tishri: Is the seventh month of the religious year for Israel and the first month of the civil year for Israel. This month holds the feasts of Rosh Hashanah, Yom Kippur, and Tabernacles (also known as Sukkoth).

Rosh Hashanah: This is a two day feast occurring on Tishri 1 and Tishri 2 of the Hebrew calendar. This is also called the feast of trumpets. A lot of people believe this feast day is tied to the rapture of the Christian Church prior to the start of the tribulation.

Yom Kippur: This is known as the Day of Atonement. It is considered to be one of the most important of Jewish Holidays of the year. It is a day set aside to atone for the sins of the past year. It occurs on the 10th day of Tishri. It is found in Leviticus 23:26-32.

Sukkoth (Tabernacles): The feast of Sukkoth begins on Tishri 15, the fifth day of Yom Kippur. It is a joyous feast day while Yom Kippur is one of the most solemn of feast days. Sukkoth is a feast day with a festival atmosphere. It marks a season of rejoicing. Sukkoth means booths and refers to temporary dwelling places the Jews gather into during this holiday.

Nissan: The first month of the Jewish Religious Year - this occurs in the spring time. Passover Occurs on the 15th day of this month.

Passover: The Hebrew feast day commemorating the Lamb Sacrifice in Exodus where the Angel of Death passed over Israel while the firstborn in Egypt were slain. It also is the same day the Lord Yeshua (Jesus Christ), our lamb sacrifice for sins, was crucified.

Following is a monthly chart of the SP500 with the 7 year cycle on it. The red bars near the bottom of the cycle indicator show time period that the 7 year cycle is estimated to hit it's trough. Note the negative divergence between price and the TSI indicator.

On the following daily chart of the SP500 the light blue lines are Fibonacci retracements from June 22nd to July 7th. I'm watching to see if price can get above some of the previous highs.

On the following chart which is the average longitude of the planets Mars through Pluto
(blue lines) converted to price. Price has fallen away from the think blue price line and touched one of the thinner blue price lines at 2066.11. Again we got support at the thinner blue line.

Note the other recent OPEX dates (red circle). They have been at a high then down. If we move up into the Aug 21 OPEX date and turned down from there it would fit the above forecast realizing the high may be later than Aug 21.

The coming aspects could also indicate earthquake activity or severe weather. Anytime Uranus and Saturn or Pluto are emphasized I'll be looking for potential earthquake activity. Violent events continue.

At this point, following are the highs in the US indexes. Also noted are the dates the 50 day simple moving average crossed the 200 day sma, the so-called death cross.
DJIA               May 19, 2015 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Aug 11th
DJTI               Nov 28, 2014
SP500             May 20, 2015
NYSE             May 21, 2015  50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Aug 11th
RUT               Jun 23, 2015
COMPQX      July 20, 2015

Another chart we have not looked at for awhile is the following daily chart of the SP500 with a fan indicator. The dark blue fan line is 45 degrees. The starting point is the low at March 6, 2009. The blue 45 degree line is currently at 2117. Price has broken through this line on 3 occasions recently. This hasn't happened for some time. This would be another bearish indicator if price cannot get above this long term, 45 degree line and it's still below.

In summary Early in the week there no harsh Astrological aspects until Aug 21 where we have the Sun in waning square to Saturn. This week is also the mid-point of the Venus retrograde period. If we move up this week onto Aug 21 I'll be looking to short the general markets. We then get into the Sun translating the T-square noted above. There is further heavy Astrological transits in September along with a partial Solar eclipse and a total Lunar eclipse.

See the following weekly chart of the DJIA. The red squares are the Jupiter Saturn waning square, 3 pass. The green squares are the Saturn Neptune square. They overlap and could be pointing to a period of dramatic change. Other items noted on the chart are Saturn in Sagittarius, the time frame for the 3.3 year Kitchin cycle trough and the next Primary cycle trough. I look to the periods of overlap to determine more major market moves. I bring this up since I think there will be a stronger down move late in 2015 or early 2016.

Gold put in a  Primary cycle   1 trough on March 17th. It appears we got the nominal 18 week trough either July 24th or August 6th.  

Either way we are in the first nominal 6 week cycle of a new Primary cycle. As mentioned many times we often get a pullback in the 2nd or 3rd weeks before the cycle moves up. With the currency wars heating up Gold should benefit. This may wait until the next 18 week cycle trough. We need to see more price action for PM's over the next few weeks.

Besides the 18 week cycle there are a number of longer term cycles due and potent aspects which have a history of turns in precious metals.

The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold started moving up when it hit the 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (red vertical line). It pulled back when it was close to the Venus price line (green) on Aug 13th. Note the 9 day CCI at the bottom of the chart. Not positive short term. 27 is an interesting number. It takes 27 days for the Moon to circle the Earth and then another approx. 2.5 days for the Moon to catch up to the Earth;s movement. Also it takes 27 days for the Sun to rotate once at the equator. 108 is an ancient Vedic number 108 / 4 = 27.

This coming week of Aug 17th we should be entering the 22nd week of a Primary cycle which started Mar 18, 2015.

I'm watching the dates around any Neptune or Jupiter aspects and there is a big one in September. The T-square mentioned above includes Saturn, Jupiter and Neptune and the Sun will be translating all 3 from now to the end of the month. Although Saturn may be emphasized, the influence of Jupiter and Neptune should be felt. Beyond the price of crude this may see a period of confusion or delusion over this period. Crude also tends to have a change in trend, either a crest or a trough when geocentric Mars is in Leo. Mars entered Leo on August 8th and will be there until Sept 24th. Watch for a change in trend during this period.

Crude put in a "W" bottom, marked PB (Primary bottom) and DB ( double bottom).

As seen on the following chart crude dropped away from the Neptune price line (green) and now continues with lower lows.

The lines are 45 degrees apart. 45 degrees is (360 / 8) = 45 or also known as the 8th harmonic.

We are getting late in the nominal 18 week cycle in crude. Watch price closely as it approaches any of the price lines. We may have seen the beginning of a bounce this week as crude touched the Jupiter price line (orange) and finished just below the Neptune price line.

Another chart we have not shown for awhile is the weekly crude chart with the 16 week (red) and 24 week (blue) cycles. Where they meet the cycle line is green and is typically found at crests but sometimes inverts to a trough. The next green line is early November. 2015 close to a Neptune direct signature.

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

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