- Our second half 2015 forecast dates are now
available.
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
- Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
- We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses
We will be sending ALERTS to
subscribers with specific dates when
there are imminent trading opportunities forming. The last one is posted below
this post.
SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are
entering the 7th week of a new
Primary cycle 1
cycle that started
on July 7th. This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15
to 21 weeks.
The next time band for a nominal
18 week (Primary) cycle trough is noted on the second chart of the SP500 and is
from Oct 19 through Dec 1st 2015.
There are a number of longer term cycles that may hit their troughs about the
same time. Details on the subscriber letter.
From last weeks blog post
"I'm looking for a move higher next week which could reverse down as soon as
Aug 21st. +- 2 tds:
From two weeks ago blog post:
"Later in the
week there is a significant negative aspect which may affect the USA directly."
We made the point, the Sun was
about to begin it's translation of a T-square beginning on Aug 21 with the Sun
in waning square to Saturn. In this case Saturn is the focal point of a
T-square between Jupiter, Saturn and Neptune. Jupiter and Neptune may point to
confusion but remember Saturn is still in Scorpio, debt and other peoples money
and continues in mutual reception with Pluto, making both stronger. We may be
hearing more news of debt problems or confusion surrounding debt or financing
This configuration could also be pointing to violent weather.
The Sun's translation of this
powerful T-square continues with the Sun
conjunct Jupiter on August 26 and the Sun
opposition Neptune on August 31st. The move down has been so strong I'm
looking at the next period to be very volatile. With Neptune
involved we could see confusions and deception. After such a strong move,
immediate aspects will probably mark periods of volatility. As we get closer
I'll send ALERTs to subscribers if we have a firm idea of direction. At this
point, look at next week as being very volatile.
There appears to be further serious problems in September. The dates will be in the subscribers September letter.
There is also a perigee Full Moon on August 29th. Beyond the markets the perigee
(closest pass to Earth) Full Moon can be a time of severe weather, earthquakes
/ volcanoes and general violent actions. This
Full Moon is very close to the Jupiter / Neptune
opposition. We may see another drastic
slide near this date.
Cycle wise this weeks sharp down
move really confuses the cycle outlook. A new nominal 18 week cycle started July 7th with the
trough at week 21. What now looks like the high for the cycle was on July 29th.
Now in week 7 we are either headed
down to a nominal 6 week cycle low
or a 1/2 Primary bottom in the 8-9th
weeks. Since we have broken below the start of the 18 week cycle which was
July 7th, this 18 week cycle should stay below the July 7th value at 2081 until the
next cycle trough which would be 11-15 weeks along. The fact the high came so
early in the cycle on July 29th makes this cycle very left translated and therefore very negative.
This is so bearish that we may
need to reconsider the July 7th date as the low for the nominal 18 week cycle.
We are leaving it there for now, just a note it may need to be changed.
The fact I'm looking for a slow
forming top for the whole 6 year move
means we may start seeing more left translated cycles or at least cresting in
the middle of the cycle rather than being right translated. Also we may have
already seen the top on May 20th at 2134.71 for the SP500.
Following is a monthly chart of
the SP500 with the 7 year cycle on it. The red bars near the bottom of the
cycle indicator show time period that the 7 year cycle is estimated to hit it's
trough. It's due, as is the 4 year cycle.
On the following daily chart I've
noted the time period to look for a trough for this nominal 18 week cycle.
On the following chart which is
the average longitude of the planets Mars through Pluto
(blue lines) converted to price. Price
has fallen away from the thick blue price line and is now three price lines
below it near 1978.
Note the other recent OPEX dates
(red circle). They have been at highs then down. Also note the red vertical
lines (Fibonacci grid) which started at the Oct 15, 2014 low. The next red
vertical line is Fib 233 td's from that October low on Sept 17th. This and
other items should make mid September very important. More
details for subscribers.
The coming aspects could also
indicate earthquake activity or severe weather. Violent events continue.
At this point, following are the
highs in the US
indexes. Also noted are the dates the 50 day simple moving average crossed the
200 day sma, the so-called death cross.
DJIA May 19, 2015 50 day sma crossed
below the 200 day sma on Aug 11th
DJTI Nov
28, 2014 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on May 26th
SP500 May 20, 2015
NYSE May 21, 2015 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Aug 11th
RUT Jun 23, 2015
COMPQX July 20, 2015
Following is a daily chart of the SP500 with
a fan indicator. The dark blue fan line is 45 degrees. The starting point is
the low at March 6, 2009. The blue
45 degree line is currently at 2122.
Price has broken through this line on 3 occasions recently and has now created
some separation. This hasn't happened for some time. This is another bearish
indicator.
And I've been waiting for this weekly chart of the SP500
with the 21 and 34 weekly moving averages to turn for some time. Another
bearish indicator.
Saturn will be moving into
Sagittarius in September. This is better stated that karmic Saturn will enter
spiritual Sagittarius.
Some of the biggest moves in the US markets have
occurred when Saturn is in mutable signs. The mutable signs are Gemini, Virgo,
Sagittarius and Pisces. The following monthly chart of the DJIA shows when
Saturn was in mutable signs, the colored x's
In Summary
The expected down turn started and
was more severe than anticipated. Such a move in a few days should result in
volatile environment, up and down, for some time. This should be a great
environment for those who enjoy short term trading, like me. {^_^}.
The dates where the Sun will again translate the T-square mentioned above are prime candidates for volatility. Again they are Aug 26th and Aug 31st. All dates are +- 2 td's unless otherwise noted. The perigee Full Moon on August 29th is also very close to the forming Jupiter / Neptune opposition. I'll send out alerts to subscribers when trading opportunities appear.
The dates where the Sun will again translate the T-square mentioned above are prime candidates for volatility. Again they are Aug 26th and Aug 31st. All dates are +- 2 td's unless otherwise noted. The perigee Full Moon on August 29th is also very close to the forming Jupiter / Neptune opposition. I'll send out alerts to subscribers when trading opportunities appear.
With the strength of the move down
this week we can't discount a longer term cycle forming.
4 year 6.5-7 year
See the following weekly chart of
the DJIA. The red squares are the Jupiter Saturn waning square, 3 pass. The
green squares are the Saturn Neptune square. They overlap and could be pointing
to a period of dramatic change. Other items noted on the chart are Saturn in
Sagittarius, the time frame for the 3.3 year Kitchin cycle trough and the next
Primary cycle trough. I look to the periods of overlap to determine more major
market moves. I bring this up since I think there will be a stronger down move
late in 2015 or early 2016.
Synodic Cycles
VIDEO
Based on the work of the French Astrologer, Barbault, the Jupiter Neptune cycle is related to the economies of the European eastern bloc and particularly with France. Watch for news out of Europe over the next few weeks, probably negative news, dealing with their economies or the influx of migrants from the mid-East and northern Africa.
Gold
Gold put in a Primary cycle 1
trough on March 17th. It appears we got the nominal
18 week trough on July 24th and we are entering the 5th week.
We are in the first nominal 6 week cycle of a new nominal 18 week cycle. As mentioned many times we often get a pullback in the 2nd or 3rd weeks
before the cycle moves up. We got a small pullback Aug 13, 14, 17. With the
currency wars heating up Gold should benefit. This may wait until the next 18 week
cycle trough, that is late 2015 / early 2016. We need to see more price action
for PM's over the next few weeks. I'm expecting a pullback. Since heliocentric Mercury is about to enter Sagittarius Gold may go up or hold it's value until heliocentric Mercury exits Sagittarius on Sept 3rd. I suspect Gold will go down before then.
Besides the 18 week cycle there are a number of longer term
cycles due and potent aspects which have a history of turns in precious metals.
The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus
(green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold started moving up when it hit the
27 cd (calendar day) cycle (red vertical line). It moved up sharply when the Venus
price line crossed the Jupiter price line as it has so many times. Nevertheless
I'm looking for a pullback. Note the 9 day CCI at the bottom of the chart. Not
positive short term.
Crude
This coming week of Aug
24th we should be entering the 23rd
week of a Primary cycle which started Mar
18, 2015.
I'm watching the dates around any Neptune or Jupiter aspects and there is a big one in September. The
T-square mentioned above includes Saturn, Jupiter and Neptune and the Sun will
be translating all 3 from now to the end of the month. Although Saturn may be
emphasized the influence of Jupiter and Neptune should be felt. Beyond the
price of crude this may see a period of confusion or delusion over this period.
Crude also tends to have a change in trend, either a crest or a trough when
geocentric Mars is in Leo. Mars entered Leo on August 8th and will be there until Sept 24th. Watch for a change in
trend during this period.
Crude put in a "W" bottom, marked PB (Primary
bottom) and DB ( double bottom).
As seen on the following chart crude dropped away from the Neptune price line (green) and now continues with lower
lows.
The lines are 45 degrees apart. 45 degrees is (360 / 8) = 45
or also known as the 8th harmonic.
We are getting late in the nominal 18 week cycle in crude.
Watch price closely as it approaches any of the price lines or dates mentioned
above.
Another chart we have not shown for awhile is the weekly
crude chart with the 16 week (red) and 24 week (blue) cycles. Where they meet
the cycle line is green and is typically found at crests but sometimes inverts
to a trough. The next green line is early
November. 2015 close to a Neptune direct
signature.
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude
also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?
The 2nd half 2015
dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in July) are available
for purchase.
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